What Is Guo Shiliang'S Attitude Towards The Stock Market?

Recently, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences released the "2016 economic blue book" forecast.

Among them, the blue book also predicted the stock market, and said that the Shanghai Composite Index fluctuated in 2016 or from 3200 to 4000 points.

We should not be too optimistic about the stock market in 2016, nor should we be too pessimistic.

On the whole, the value center of the A share market is expected to keep rising. Next year, the volatility risk of the stock market is expected to decrease significantly, and the trend of the market will be more stable.

In fact, to a certain extent, the CASS report often represents the attitude of the upper class, and the CASS report often points out the direction for the market and depicts the general track of future market operation.

In response, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences's prediction report has also attracted the attention of the market.

The author believes that from this blue book, it also reflects that the Academy of social sciences still has some good expectations for the future development of China's economy.

At the same time, from its analysis of the stock market, it also holds a more objective attitude, which signals positive signals for the stock market operation in 2016.

Among them, from January 1, 2016 onwards, the A share market futile mechanism will be formally implemented.

At this point, with the landing of the A share fusing mechanism, in fact, it also provides a "cooling off period" for the irrational market, and mitigates the potential volatility risk of the market.

Thus, under the premise that the probability of irrational drop risk in the market is greatly reduced, the trend of the future market will also tend to be gentle, and the overall volatility will also decline.

At the same time, in 2016, the A share market will usher in the landing of the new IPO regulation policy, which will completely change the new mode of the pre payment purchase mechanism, and then turn to the mode of cancelling the prepayment purchase.

Perhaps, the whole nation is not far away from the new era.

But the future

The new difficulty will also be greatly improved, and the probability of winning the new shares will also be greatly reduced.

However, in another way of thinking, with the continued decline of the new comprehensive yield in the future, some new funds will be forced back to the two tier market in the future, which will indirectly benefit the trend of the two tier market.

Registration system is one of the most popular key words in China's stock market in recent years.

However, with the acceleration of the registration system in the future, the way of issuing the A share market will also be comprehensively changed in the future.

In accordance with the original rules, before the registration system is launched, it is necessary to complete the revision and improvement of the securities law ahead of schedule.

However, due to the impact of the year's stock market turmoil, the revision of the securities law during the year had to be caught in a dilemma.

As a result, the old registration system may not be formally released by the end of 2016.

At this point, the registration system reform will be carried out in the form of authorization to be implemented by the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress, and the validity of the authorization will be two years.

At the same time, for the early stage of the registration system, the SFC also emphasized that the rhythm and price of IPO will not be released at once, and it will not cause.

Large scale expansion.

In essence, the SFC's position has also reassured the market.

It is undeniable that

It needs a series of complete supporting measures.

If this is not done, the effect of registration system will be greatly reduced.

In addition, major events such as pensions entering the market, RMB joining SDR, Shenzhen Hong Kong Tong accelerating and MSCI absorbing A shares will have a profound impact on the A share market in 2016.

At the same time, it will also profoundly change the investor structure of the A share market and deliver more immeasurable influence to the market.