Downstream Of Viscose Staple Talks About Space, Market And Market.
The market price of viscose staple fiber has been steadily lowered. The official quotations of the middle end manufacturers are all at 13700 yuan / ton, and the actual implementation of the negotiations is more than 13600 yuan / ton or slightly higher, some of which are 13500 yuan / ton. Lower turnover in the 13300-13400 yuan / ton, high-end market negotiated at 13700-13900 yuan / ton. Because the market is expected to be weak, it is difficult to boost downstream demand. Viscose factory prices conform to the steady downward trend of the market, local talks about a single talk, slightly enlarged negotiation space.
Xiaoshan The price of human cotton yarn is very weak. The quotation of 30S market for ring spinning is discussed at 17800-18000 yuan / ton. In the northern market, the overall orders were weak and some of them were converted to high count yarn. Viscose market is expected to be weak, the downstream cotton mills own orders are weak, some cotton mills plan to reduce production or even close down after the new year's day plan. It is expected that the latter will continue to be vulnerable.
The overnight price of oil is small. Now the polyester market is weak and stable. The price of polyester and short manufacturers is temporarily stable. The mainstream of Jiangsu and Zhejiang 1.4D direct spinning polyester and short market is reported to be 6400-6500 yuan / ton, and the actual deal can be discussed. Fujian polyester short market quotation temporarily stable, 1.4D direct spinning polyester short market mainstream newspaper 6300-6400 yuan / ton short delivery, actual business negotiation, morning PTA After opening, narrow and strong trend.
Shandong, Hebei market short and short quotation temporarily stable, 1.4D direct spinning Polyester and short The mainstream newspaper was sent to 6500-6600 yuan / ton, and the actual turnover could be negotiated. At present, the short and short cash flow is near 200 yuan / ton. Shandong Changyi market yarn prices are weak, manufacturers low enthusiasm, slow return of funds. The price of pure polyester yarn is down, and turnover is very low. The mainstream of 32S is near 10200 yuan / ton. The overall atmosphere of the polyester market continued to weaken, and there was no obvious positive boost, short term negative trend or impact on the 6000 level.
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Recently, Zheng cotton main contract continued downward 1605, the average system also diverged. Textile consumption in the lower reaches is sluggish, and it is expected that the latter will continue to decline. Under the constraints of the poor economic environment, the domestic demand market downturn, the fierce competition in the export market, the import of yarn and cloth to occupy the domestic share and the substitution of chemical fiber, China's textile industry is facing a serious situation, and cotton consumption has obviously shrunk.
The terminal demand of cotton downstream is very low, which restricts the textile enterprises to take the goods, thereby dragging their enthusiasm for stocking. Moreover, the shortage of funds in textile enterprises is relatively common, which restricts the procurement progress, and the supply of cotton market is still loose. Before the substantial improvement in downstream consumption, cotton prices rose powerless.
First, textile and garment retail has improved, but the effect is not obvious. According to the statistics of the China National Business Information Center, in October 2015, the retail sales of clothing commodities of hundreds of major retail enterprises in China increased by 1.9% over the same period last year, reversing the 3 consecutive month of decline since June. The growth rate is 4.4 percentage points faster than the same period in 2014, which is 6.7 percentage points higher than that in September. At the same time, retail sales data show that in October, the volume of retail sales of all kinds of clothing in 100 major large retail enterprises increased by 8.5% over the same period last year, 0.5 percentage points lower than that in September. According to the published data, domestic clothing sales improved in October, but it was not obvious. The domestic sales of China's textile and clothing remained depressed.
Second, textile and clothing exports continued to grow negative year-on-year. According to the latest data from the General Administration of customs, in November 2015, China's textile and clothing exports amounted to US $21 billion 982 million, a decrease of 7.07% compared to the same period, down 9.71% from the same period last year. As of November 2015, there was a negative growth in export of textiles and clothing in 10 months, indicating that the downstream consumption demand of cotton is not optimistic.
Third, the enthusiasm of the textile enterprises as a whole is poor. China cotton information network statistics show that in November 2015, the textile enterprises in the warehouse stock of 419 thousand tons, an increase of 29 thousand and 600 tons compared to October, textile enterprises can control cotton inventory of 421 thousand and 900 tons, compared with October to reduce 15 thousand tons. In that month, cotton spot market resources were relatively abundant. Most enterprises were worried about the limited number of high-grade cotton, and later procurement was not easy to group, but centralized replenishment.
However, due to the lack of confidence in the market and the tight funds, many enterprises maintain a relatively low disposable inventory and weaken their purchasing intention later.
The US Department of agriculture's December supply and demand report predicts that the total cotton output in 2015/2016 will be 22 million 580 thousand tons, 417 thousand tons lower than the November forecast value, the global consumption of 24 million 252 thousand tons, the reduction of 44 thousand tons, the global import and export volume of 7 million 700 thousand tons, the increase of 220 thousand tons, the end of the global period 22 million 729 thousand tons, the reduction of 369 thousand tons, and the global inventory consumption ratio of 93.72%, down by 7.76 percentage points year-on-year.
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