Cotton Subsidies In The Mainland Are Not Yet Released

"I just heard that the cotton producers were given the above.

Is there any subsidy? "In January 2015, subsidies will not be fulfilled in 2014.

Or is it a relief, subsidy or relief? Is it better for the country to give the peasants the better in time? "

Recently, farmers mentioned such complaints in the countryside when they mentioned cotton target price subsidies in the 9 provinces of the mainland.

Actually, the mainland

The current situation of production and marketing is far from the complaining and puzzling of these farmers. Most of them are the price drop of cotton market and the shadow of the overall hardship of the textile enterprises.

In the traditional cotton growing areas of Northern Jiangsu Province, cotton and grain production and cotton extension have become the slogan of structural adjustment in the main cotton producing areas, and have been put into practice in the vast cotton producing areas in Jiangsu.

According to the survey, a city's autumn sowing in 2014 has pferred about two hundred thousand mu of land, of which nearly 30% of them were originally planted with cotton.

In the cotton producing area, almost a lot of people considered cotton production in the spring.

Arrangements for cotton seeds and seedlings are also quiet.

Recently, the price of seeds and lint in North Jiangsu and other places is still low. Due to the trend of seed cotton purchase, the market is now offering high and low prices. From 2.50-3.00, buyers are willing to trade, because the quantity is very small, so the price is no longer the focus of disputes.

However, since the purchase is not good enough, the purchase and sale have not been active in the past. The people predict that the cotton in the mainland will evolve into a dish of spun yarn, which will eventually become fragrant and damaged.

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According to relevant information, in 2015, if domestic cotton prices did not show larger supply and demand contradictions and prices rose sharply, the government departments would not issue additional quotas other than 894 thousand tons and 1% tariff quotas in principle. This news dispelled the idea that the foreign trade companies, trade companies and cotton textile enterprises should supplement the import mode of sliding tariffs and processing trade quotas.

According to customs statistics, imports of cotton in 2012, 2013 and 2014 were 513 tons, 4 million 150 thousand tons, 2 million 440 thousand tons, 2013 and 2014, respectively, down to 19.1% and 41.2% respectively. Among them, the proportion of US cotton, India cotton and West African cotton decreased to varying degrees. The influence of quotas, prices and textile enterprises' ability to bear the market share was a major factor. Several large foreign and domestic traders were generally pessimistic about the import situation of foreign cotton in 2015. They even thought that the total import volume in 2015 would not exceed 150 tons, while the forecast data in the monthly reports of USDA and ICAC were 1 million 524 thousand tons and 1 million 733 thousand tons respectively, which were larger than those in the previous months.

First, the export quota of cotton within 894 thousand tons or 1% tariff will be adjusted or adjusted, but the hard index of cotton mill with more than 50 thousand spindles and import and export performance will not change, so the 894 thousand tons will not digest fully in full year.

The 1% tariff quota that has been carried down is about 300 thousand tons (which must be used before the end of February), so the total quota of 2015 is about 1 million 200 thousand tons. So, what is the expected amount of the 1 million 500 thousand ton? 1, the industry rumors that the government will give incentives and incentives to the textile enterprises of Xinjiang cotton for 2014/15 in the year of 6:1, and the proportion of the original allocation will be broken down according to the proportion of 6:1 or 7:1 or 8:1. This is also the reason why the quota policy can not be released at the end of January. Industry estimates 2014

Two, the probability of paying the full amount of tariff on the import of cotton is objective.

India cotton CIF quotation fell to 60 cents / pound and the following customs tariff clearance rate is large, but from the angle of "minimum purchase protection price of seed cotton" in 2015, and the protection of farmers by the "India cotton" and the stability of the cotton planting area in 2015, the price of India state owned Cotton Corp will not be very low.

截止1月15日,美棉簽約出口量已占其年度出口總量的87%以 上,美棉可供出口和選擇的棉花資源已所剩不多,中國(guó)買家要想訂購(gòu)到高等級(jí)美棉只能從外商或其它國(guó)家企業(yè)“口中奪食”,困難可想而知,因此ICE面臨的下壓 或探底空間都已不大,從美棉簽約的ICE盤面價(jià)格、現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格來(lái)看,不存在繳納全額關(guān)稅進(jìn)口的機(jī)會(huì),而從近日中國(guó)上游、下游和貿(mào)易商的反饋來(lái)看,國(guó)內(nèi)地產(chǎn) 棉、新疆棉的市場(chǎng)售價(jià)已分別在13000元/噸、14000元/噸附近企穩(wěn),目前港口印度棉凈重提貨價(jià)也在14000元/噸附近,與新疆2128級(jí)“同臺(tái) 競(jìng)技”,但用棉企業(yè)、中間商則認(rèn)為印度棉的定位應(yīng)該是同地產(chǎn)棉較量,即短線S-6的CIF價(jià)格向60美分/磅靠攏(1月24-26日印度國(guó)內(nèi)S-6軋花廠出廠價(jià)集中在63-64美分/磅),因此一旦CCI拋儲(chǔ)引發(fā)2014/15年度印度棉新花報(bào)價(jià)大幅下調(diào)6-8美分/磅,在中國(guó)國(guó)儲(chǔ)棉不再輪出的情況下,不排除中國(guó)買家繳納40%

The possibility of purchasing cotton in India by tariffs.

Three, high-grade cotton picking is still the focus of purchasing and operation of China's cotton textile enterprises and traders in 2014/15.

With the continuous weakening of consumption power, Xinjiang cotton sales moved to the mainland. Uzbekistan and other Central Asian cotton and high grade cotton in the Chinese market are much more difficult to enter the Chinese market than American cotton, Australian cotton and India cotton.

It is understood that in the international market, only the United States, Australia and Brazil are the main cotton pickers in the international market. Among them, the quality of Brazil cotton belongs to the middle and inferior parts of the machine. The control of the "three silk" and impurity content is basically the same as that of the Xinjiang regiment, and there is a big gap in spinnability and grade between the Australian cotton and the American cotton. Therefore, the recognition and cognition of the Chinese buyers are significantly lower than those of the previous years.

Increase the tax rebate, tax and credit loans, financial support, and so on, to reduce the risk of a large number of skilled workers laid-off and social stability; second, the appreciation of the dollar, the RMB into the rapid depreciation of the channel, the impact on the import of cotton outside the cotton industry gradually increased, the Chinese textile enterprises to buy cotton, India cotton, West Africa cotton costs increased; third, in the US cotton and cotton cotton contract signing export "red hot", India cotton production, export volume continued to increase, domestic consumption accelerated weak "internal distress" situation, the United States cotton or will seize the India cotton prices and export policy errors, in India cotton and India cotton merchants in China to be squeezed out of the market periphery. Some cotton traders reflected 2-5 points of attention to cotton imports in three months: first, the Chinese government's support for the entire textile industry after the Spring Festival.