Business Opportunities Announced Under The Financial Crisis
Internationally, the financial crisis has worsened and the trend of global spread has intensified. The expectation that the economy has entered the downlink has already been formed. The pattern of the United States and the US dollar will be weakened. The new economic and physical Bureau of the European Union and Asia (China and India) is emerging. The next ten years may be the era of tripartite confrontation.
The domestic export will be weak in the next few years and the consumption will continue to shrink. So we can see that the national capital has built a strong attack on infrastructure and railway and highway 900 billion. Strengthening the pformation of rural infrastructure and water conservancy facilities is a major task; as for property, it is no longer the main focus of ZF.
In addition to the property market, stock market and car market, many people began to be irritated rather than boring the way to create wealth. During this period, more people chose to hibernate, wait and wait.
Are there any business opportunities in the crisis?
Investing in doubtful debts is even more untouches, such as car appliances, three, and the stock market is now warming up policy, but the new year's cash flow is the mentality of investors. Therefore, after the Spring Festival, it is possible to stabilize, and the trend is also more clear. From now on, we should pay attention to low quality stocks (less than 5 yuan), buy or fail to buy up; four, as for agricultural projects, I have been paying close attention to rural areas. The rural land circulation has been inspecting the hilly area of 1 hours driving in the suburbs of the first tier cities, the proportion of land investment (planting: Catering = 7:3), and more understanding of the sloping land or woodland with less foam, and the proposal is not higher than 500 yuan per mu / year; the land in the next 10 years will definitely increase in value. The luxury goods are not reliable, the bubble is serious and the decline is huge. In the troubled times of golden age, I think it's not the right time to search for antiques; two.
五、地產項目,也不是談“房”色變,寧買商鋪不碰住宅,一線城市的二級商圈,近期也會緩跌,無論哪個城市,地產下行預期已然形成,估計會持續到09年下旬,不過春節應該是一個指針,如果春節尚無回暖,則明年更慘(國.家加大經濟房廉租房建設力度,商品房必受影響)持有現金,明年下半年看看商鋪吧; 六、關注低值日用品和小餐飲,無論金融危機幾何,人總得吃飯穿衣,生活區附近的小餐飲和小百貨,個人感覺抗跌性好,最近走訪幾家蘭州拉面店、福建沙縣小吃,十元店,兩元店;賺大錢當然不行,逢低收購,連鎖經營,或許是個不錯的商機; 七、清掃設備:珠(長)三角,倒閉成風,廠房設備應聲倒下,有資金和信心的人可以去掃掃貨,經濟回暖,必然賺錢; 八、至于無產階級,暫時回流家鄉是個避險的方法,沿海企業說垮就垮,
Don't do it, get your wages back home early. It's not spring pportation. It's not crowded. It is understood that the employment environment in the mainland is improving. Nine, white-collar job hopping, unless you have to start your own business, focus on your performance, perform well and work hard when others complain, perhaps the promotion of job salary is the biggest business opportunity.
Ten, give advice to yourself: promote sales, return cash, encourage employees, improve performance, read more books, think more and read more news. Learning, enrichment, calmness and clarity are always the most valuable things in crisis. If opportunity comes, it will not be too risky to invest in 30% capital, but I still pay more attention to next year's shops and rural areas.
農村的機遇 一、投資門檻低:農村土地資源被嚴重低估,目前承包均價100~800元/畝/年,承包20畝才1萬元/年左右,1萬元在城市很難進行投資,也就是說同樣的資金,農村的投資門檻低于城市,當然后期建設的投資必須算上,不過可以按照承包年份分攤稀釋; 二、投資回報大:投資農村項目無不過養殖、種植、農莊和深加工,而在選擇項目上盡量選擇經濟效益高直接面對城市的農副產品,(比如可出口韓國的紫蘇),加上農村勞動力相對便宜,畝產的經濟效益立即顯現,如果進行立體經營,充分利用土地,最高畝產可以達到1萬元以上(立體經營如:果樹,樹下養雞,雞糞喂魚,魚糞作為果肥);1萬/畝×20畝=20萬; 三、宏觀環境好:當然這里說的“好”知識相對的,ZF的方向逐漸關注并轉向農村,農村的土地流轉制度呼之欲出,支持和鼓勵有實力
And the investors of the way of thinking pfer land to scale agricultural development and operation, improve the added value of land use, and promote the prosperity of one side of the people. Let's not ignore the intention of ZF. If we can really drive one side of the people through our own efforts, it will be a good thing, but investment is not a tiny bit.
Four, low technical barriers: the same investment, if it is not high-tech and patent, there will be a lot of competitors competing, if it is high-tech and patented projects, and the need for expensive equipment, and most of the rural projects involve planting and breeding, so long as we spend more time buying books and studying, we should not be too difficult for intellectuals.
Five, low risk: in today's financial crisis environment, rural and agricultural projects are relatively safe and value-added ports. This is not enough. When did you see the land depreciated?
Six, rural consumption is low, air is good, the environment is beautiful... Maybe I am possessed, ha, a little back to the original, everyone clap bricks!
Related reading: Rural opportunities for small and medium investors, "land is one of China's most important resources.
This round of land circulation will be the last profiteering opportunity of the Chinese market after the real estate development 10 years ago.
In mid October, the head of a foreign fund could hardly conceal his excitement.
In 10 months, almost every venture investor has an agricultural investment project under investigation. After energy and environmental protection, agriculture has become the new trend of investment circles nowadays, and many foresight funds have penetrated into this area through various channels earlier.
However, in addition to exploring investment opportunities in agricultural industrialization, PE is generally cautious based on the real estate development opportunities arising from the circulation of land contractual management rights and intensive farmland.
"There may be some investment opportunities in the initial stage of urbanization and some tourism and leisure projects in the three or four tier cities."
Qu Junhui, an angel investor with real estate investment background, told reporters.
In the seventeen third session, which was closed recently, it is clear that we should strengthen the management and service of the circulation and management of land contractual management rights, and establish and improve the circulation market of land contractual management rights. In accordance with the principle of lawfully, voluntarily and paying, farmers are allowed to pfer the right to contracted management of land in the form of subcontracting, leasing, swapping, pferring and stock cooperation, so as to develop various forms of moderate scale operation.
In the eyes of the foregoing foreign fund managers, the land pfer can activate the potential value of the rural land. In the early stage, if the land resources can be mastered, the future returns will be considerable.
At present, apart from making real estate investment in China, the fund is also preparing to invest in the new agricultural sector.
However, in the view of Qu Jun Hui, from the perspective of real estate development, the land circulation in addition to facing greater policy compliance risks, the market demand of commercial housing is also weak. "Profiteering" is hard to achieve in the short term: "the purpose of this round of land pfer policy is to narrow the gap between the rich and the poor and raise the standard of living of farmers, which is not good for real estate investment."
Qu Junhui believes that if we can get the support of the local government and rely on the government to concentrate on land for a certain project, we may be able to better balance the risks and costs of the policy. It is not an ideal way for the fund to intervene alone or to negotiate with the peasants one to one.
A real estate researcher told a reporter that, according to their survey, after the introduction of a series of farmers' policies, farmers' expectations of land pfer prices are now generally raised, but the risk prevention awareness and level are still poor, which is also the reason why some domestic capital, even if the opportunity is not easy to try, is more prudent.
But he said foreign funds may be less concerned because they are not familiar with the national conditions.
Qu Junhui believes that from the perspective of feasible investment, based on the situation that farmers want to go to the city and the townspeople want to return to nature, if they can pfer dozens of acres of land to build farms or villas in the future, or develop vacation and leisure projects, maybe investment in real estate projects may occur.
VC and PE are also cautious about the investment opportunities of land pfer.
The long term stability of land contractual management right is a good investment for project investment, but it is only a prerequisite for investment.
We will not intervene in the investment of land intensive or pfer links.
Softbank China investment manager Zhang Siliang said that the agricultural sector he focused on was mainly the upstream industry chain (such as seed industry development and innovation) or downstream processing and sales links.
The chief executive of the Sequoia China said that the investment opportunities in the agricultural sector mainly exist in the large scale agriculture related areas and the rural consumer market.
Investors told reporters that agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery projects of individual soldiers could be greatly improved if they could rely on capital strength to obtain land in the process of farmland pfer and to promote industrialization or innovation in agriculture.
In 2006, Sequoia Capital Shen Napeng invested in a project in Fujian.
The main content of the project is fruit and vegetable cultivation, but through large-scale and standardized planting and processing, sales channels remain relatively stable (for example, to WAL-MART and Southeast Asia), and the growth rate has been considerable.
Jin Haitao, chairman of Shenzhen innovation investment company, once revealed six main directions of the company's investment in agriculture: first, agricultural products improvement, such as Jingchu seed industry; followed by agricultural and sideline products deep processing, such as "miss you" jujube industry; third is scale farming; fourth is the chain operation of agricultural products and farm animals, fifth is circular economy farm; sixth is the integration of existing agricultural resources.
The chief executive of the foreign fund told reporters that, even from the perspective of investment in agricultural industrialization, the rate of return on investment in the agricultural sector will be relatively high because of the huge consumption demand that will be formed in the domestic demand for domestic demand in the future, and it is not easy to be affected by the economic cycle.
"If the purchase price of other agricultural products such as grain is further increased in the future, the benefit of agricultural investment will be more obvious."
However, there are different views of the fund.
A PE source said that the fund's agricultural investment projects were configured as defensive considerations. In the economic downturn cycle, energy and agricultural projects can resist recession, but the returns will not be higher than the traditional TMT projects.
"This year's agricultural project will appropriately control the amount of investment, and the investment of a single project will not exceed 20 million dollars.
More than 10 million dollars will be prudent to invest, and millions of dollars will be relatively easy.
The source said.
In addition to resource integration, food safety has become one of the most important concerns of PE.
Zhongxing capital, a person told reporters that the fund's agricultural investment projects generally require resources to be controlled, such as suppliers to form a scale, if it is a single decentralized supply, the fund will not generally consider.
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