June Foreign Trade Index: Insufficient International Market Demand, Foreign Trade Marketing Price Rise Or Fall

In June 2019, the foreign trade prosperity index closed at 694.24 points, down 6.90%, down 0.07% from the beginning of the year, down 8.53% from the same period last year. The foreign trade price index closed at 168.58 points, rising 2.14%, rising 7.40% compared with the beginning of the year, rising 14.47% over the same period, and the foreign trade confidence index at 1136.89 points, a decrease of 13.63% over the same period.

In June, the export volume of textile and clothing in Keqiao District of Shaoxing was shrinking, and textile exports showed a downward trend. The first challenge facing the global economy is trade protectionism. Aggressive trade protectionism has brought a serious negative impact on the world economy. China insists on building an open world economy and opposing protectionism, which has injected positive energy into the gloomy world economy. China and the United States are willing to resume trade talks between the two sides as the leaders of the two countries meet and restart trade negotiations. However, Sino US trade negotiations are still full of variables, and spinning and clothing enterprises are still more cautious about their orders and production. Export textile enterprises have further accelerated their transformation and upgrading. Trade between China and the countries along the "belt and road" has become a growth highlight of foreign trade and import and export. The construction bonus of "one belt and one road" helps Keqiao textile and foreign trade development, and the export price of textile and clothing has been boosted. Keqiao textile and garment export enterprises have leapt from the low end to the middle and high end, and strive to explore fashion trade, fashion design, fashion products, and constantly extend the fashion industry chain. The export prices of innovative products are rising, resulting in the 20190625 phase of the foreign trade prosperity index decreasing, and the foreign trade price index rising.

1. Under the background of Sino US trade friction, the index of foreign trade prosperity is down.

In June, the prosperity index of foreign textile enterprises in Keqiao District of Shaoxing city decreased, because the Sino US trade negotiations were still full of variables. Overseas buyers' stock purchases partially retracted, and the volume of newly added single volume and export volume of foreign trade enterprises decreased. Among them: the foreign trade prosperity index of chemical fiber filament fabrics decreased by 6.06%; the foreign trade index of chemical staple fabrics decreased by 5.19%; the curtain curtain foreign trade prosperity index decreased by 20.28%; the foreign trade prosperity index of soaked, coated and coated textiles decreased by 51.37%; the foreign trade prosperity index was lower than the other.

1, the Sino US trade negotiations are still full of variables.

Sino US leaders' meeting in Osaka results in a "neutral" preference. Although the United States has suspended tariffs on US $350 billion export commodities to China, the premise is to require China to import large quantities of American food and agricultural products; and all the procedures of the US tax collection have been completed and ready to be implemented at any time, and the resumption of trade consultation between China and the United States is just the starting point of the trade war. The differences between the two sides still exist, and the content of the agreement and the attitude of the negotiations have not yet been found to change. Chinese enterprises still have to make preparations for this "protracted war and war of attrition". Under the circumstances of China's textile economic growth decline, structural overcapacity, lack of international market demand, export growth decline or even negative growth and so on, how to go against the trend has become an urgent problem for many textile enterprises.

2, Sino US competition, Southeast Asian gains: Vietnam's many textile and garment factories have filled full year orders.

It is understood that many textile and garment factories in Vietnam have been filled with orders for the whole year, and the export volume will break through 40 billion US dollars. The Vietnamese people's Daily: 6000 textile and garment enterprises account for 15% of Vietnam's total exports, making Vietnamese textile and apparel one of Vietnam's fist economic sectors and making Vietnam one of the three largest exporters of textiles and clothing. Under the background of Sino US trade friction, China's apparel trade orders are struggling, and Vietnam's garment manufacturing industry is striding forward. This can not but cause industry vigilance.

Two, the price of innovative products is rising, and the foreign trade price index is rising.

In June, the foreign trade price index showed a rising trend. Among them, the foreign trade price index of chemical fiber and filament fabrics increased by 18.52%; the price index of curtain and curtain category increased by 2.91%; the total price index of foreign trade increased.

1, the number of orders in Southeast Asia has increased.

ASEAN has surpassed the United States as China's second largest export destination, and the number of China's textile products to ASEAN is also growing rapidly. Market orders in Bangladesh, Vietnam and other Southeast Asian countries are increasing. With the rise of China's "one belt and one way" strategy and the gradual shift of the textile industry, ASEAN countries such as Vietnam and Bangladesh have become an important transit point for China's textile exports. The added value of innovative products has been buoyed up by the ring, and the price index of foreign trade has been rising. In the next few years, the export of textiles to Southeast Asian countries is expected to grow at a faster rate. The export of fabrics in Southeast Asian countries is increasing, and the demand is bigger and bigger. It is a stable source of tourists in the next few years.

2, grasp the development opportunities of information technology and speed up the transformation of new and old energy.

At present, Keqiao district is firmly grasping the development opportunities of information technology, such as industrial Internet, cloud computing, big data and artificial intelligence, and speeds up the transformation of new and old energy. On the basis of finishing the printing and dyeing industry agglomeration, it is vigorously promoting the Internet construction, intelligent transformation and digital convergence of textile industry, with remarkable results. At present, around the textile industry chain, Keqiao has also cultivated many textile industry internet service platforms and enterprises, such as online Textile City, tile fence culture, Aaron mall and circular wisdom. The textile industry is an important pillar industry of the national economy and an industry that can be widely used by the industrial Internet. With the increasing demand for the personalization, functionalization and fast fashion products of the textile terminal consumers, new modes and applications based on the industrial Internet are emerging in the textile industry, which play an important role in the innovation and development of the industry. Pulling the price index of foreign trade increased. In the future, the textile industry will actively explore the industrial Internet platform system, the construction of industrial Internet demonstration base, the industry solution plan, the upgrading of enterprise digitalization, and the birth of new modes and applications through the industrial Internet, so as to create a good environment for the development of the industrial interconnection network in the textile industry.

3, Osaka meets to "cool down" Sino US trade frictions.

On the evening of June 18th, state leaders should make an ordinary call with President Trent of the United States to confirm that the two sides will meet during the G20 summit in Osaka and exchange views on "fundamental issues concerning the development of Sino US relations". This is a very important crossroads for the continued stalemate trade war between China and the United States. It is reported that after the exchange of telephone between leaders of China and the United States, the pessimistic mentality of the market has been gradually restored. The futures market and the chemical fiber market should go up. In addition, the import cotton market also showed signs of warming, and some port businesses in the early days stopped selling and waiting. With the recent small business mentality, cotton operators' enthusiasm has picked up.

Three, the next forecast of foreign trade index

For the export situation in July 2019, textile and garment exports are expected to show a slight upward trend. China's textile and garment industry is bound to fight against the wind and waves and set off a new wave of development. The implementation of the "one belt and one way" strategy has pointed out the direction for the internationalization of more Chinese textile enterprises. For many years, participation in the exhibition is one of the most effective ways for textile enterprises to enter and understand the market. Through this mode, not only can Chinese enterprises connect with the local industry faster and more accurately, the local industry can also deepen the recognition of Chinese textile and garment enterprises, and promote the win-win situation of the two industries. Many enterprises accelerate the pace of "going global" and layout the global industrial chain. In the new era of textile industry, the textile industry of Keqiao has entered the new era of "technology plus fashion" and "two wheel drive" high quality development. In response to changes in the international textile and apparel consumption patterns and procurement needs, many excellent enterprises focus on high value-added links, upgrading to R & D and lean management, and textile trade will also usher in new opportunities for development.