Polyester Filament Gives Rise To Price Signal. In June, Can The Market Of Weaving Become Better?

Last weekend (May 26th), Xiao Bian's circle of friends was cleaned by the same news.

The polyester filament manufacturer, which has been falling for 1-2 months for a long time, is also unable to bear the situation of "falling or falling". The signal of price rise is issued at the end of the month.

This downstream is quite "coordinated", many weaving factories have entered the market to buy goods, and the production and marketing of polyester market is expected to burst.

According to statistics, Jiangsu and Zhejiang polyester filament production and sales overall rebounded significantly last weekend, the average estimate of two days is 240%, and the higher manufacturers are 800% in production and marketing.

On the 27 day, the production and sales of polyester and silk products in Jiangsu and Zhejiang were still good. The average production and sales in the market were estimated to be slightly higher than 300%, while the higher production and sales were 700%.

In terms of price, on the 26 day, the price of polyester filament has opened up a trend of big stability and small increase. On the 27 day, the discount range of polyester filament manufacturers has been reduced, and the POY and DTY of polyester plant in Jiangsu has increased by 50-100 yuan / ton, and the FDY of Shaoxing factory has risen 100 yuan / ton.

Then the price of polyester filament will not take the opportunity to pull up, but also to see whether the oil, PTA, MEG and other upstream products can have good assists, but for these two days, polyester filament is still a look forward.

01 weaving factories are buying goods, and raw material inventory is the key.

The current round of production and marketing burst out of the table, which is beyond many people's expectations. Many market participants are guessing who has given the power of the polyester filament price increase. Can we only pry a round of market quotation by simply raising the price notice?

Xiaobian wants to say, "heaven, earth, and people"!

Let's take a look at the role of the weaving Market in the rise in price.

The raw material inventory of textile mill is relatively low.

Polyester filament has opened up a downward path since April, to a large extent, that the downstream weaving factories are not enthusiastic about stocking their raw materials, and have been purchasing on demand, resulting in whether the raw materials are up or down, and most downstream products are purchased according to their own production and there is no stockpiling plan.

From the samples of Chinese silk net, we can see that raw material inventory of weaving factories is relatively low at present, and the average falls to about 7-10 days, which has dropped by nearly 10 days.

According to convention, the general weaving factories will store up 10-15 days' raw material inventory for turnover, thus locking down the cost of the order, but this year the market is quite special.

After the Ching Ming Festival, orders in the entire textile market were not as good as expected, and conventional chemical fiber fabrics began to appear in the market.

Entering the May, this phenomenon is even more obvious. The production and sale of the main road products headed by polyester taffy and spring Asia spinning are difficult to make flat, and the market stock is rising, which results in the weaving factory being more prudent in raw material operation, and the raw material has been in a state of yin and down. Driven by the mentality of buying or selling, the weaving factories are more likely to meet the rigid demand or consume raw materials, which leads to the relatively low inventory of raw materials.

It is also based on this that the price of raw materials will increase, and people will choose to enter the goods more or less. After all, the normal replenishment operation is still needed, but the original plan is centralized and ahead of schedule.

02 can raw materials increase the market price of grey cloth?

"In fact, a slight increase in raw materials is not a bad thing. At the very least, the price of grey cloth will not drop. Some wait-and-see customers will take the opportunity to take the cloth, which can bring the atmosphere of the whole market in a short time."

A weaving boss in Wujiang said.

Indeed, for the current "warm boiled frog" market, some external stimulation may be needed to break this stalemate. Next, will the weaving Market improve in June?

Xiaobian wants to say: "difficult."

1, the domestic demand market is weakening.

At present, in late May, the market atmosphere is generally showing. Many textile bosses indicated that orders were received in mid June, and there was no new sign.

For manufacturers who only make market goods, they are not satisfied with the poor products, low price competition and shrinking profits.

Gray cloth prices have also been in a downward channel, such as 150D*300D extinction Oxford cloth prices from the beginning of 4 yuan / meter fell to 3.55 yuan / meter.

The boss of a factory in the field is even more upset. A textile boss in Northern Jiangsu Province has said that he hasn't received the bill for a month. His stock in the factory is piling up. The inventory and production protection is the first consideration for him.

Entering the June, the market will soon enter the traditional textile off-season, and the demand will be further weakened.

2, the rise of the textile industry in Southeast Asia and the accelerated pfer of foreign trade orders.

With the disappearance of China's demographic dividend, the Southeast Asian region led by Vietnam is threatening. Many international brands are showing signs of overseas factories or orders shifting.

"We have always said that the reduction of terminal demand is not really a reduction, but rather that some orders have been pferred. Now, some brands have set up factories in Southeast Asia and other Southeast Asian countries, where they can buy locally and buy locally. After all, the conventional low-end products still have price advantages."

Yang general, a trader in Shengze, said.

Because of this, the days of routine products are even more sad.

At present, the domestic textile industry and foreign trade market have seen different degrees of pressure. After all, they want to return to the original (2018), but there are always two sides. When the conventional products are getting desolate, many textile enterprises have a good job in the market by virtue of their own products.

For example, recently, the Red Net reflective fabric with red chattering, can replace T400's T800 fabric with high cost performance, one meter cloth sold to 85 yuan camouflage fabric, and thin fabric like the down jacket of the cicada.

It can be seen that the more difficult the situation is, the better opportunity for renewal.

Although the price of raw materials has risen in the market, there is a "fire" in the market, so that everyone has a stir, but sensible textile people also understand that unless the market has another unexpected event, such as device overhaul, crude oil inflation, PTA rise and other large market, otherwise, in the case of relatively weak terminal downstream, the resistance of raw materials is still relatively large, but the probability of falling is also not large.

In the face of the current market situation, weaving monologue's inner monologue is: customers are great, raw materials have been losing for a long time, and stabilized steadily; in terms of grey cloth, raw materials are rising, artificial prices are rising, house prices are rising, water and electricity rises, environmental protection and safety supervision continue to work. It is not easy for us to operate. Now the profit of grey cloth is very low. Please don't bargain with us, buy it as early as possible!