After The Spring Festival, The Domestic Stock Market Or Current Counterattack Market Is Not Lost.

This Spring Festival, I quietly at home with family rest, really is a kind of recuperation, this process to observe the world is particularly meaningful, especially feeling, particularly easy to stimulate the sixth sense.

The Spring Festival in the monkey year is obviously very unusual. During this period, the turbulence in the international market is quite exciting. The discovery of gravitational waves in the field of science and technology, and the craziness of Stephen Chow's new movie Mermaid box office when I was a child, were very unforgettable. All of them made me feel good about spreading my thoughts. Just now, when the vacation is over, let's make a conclusion. The summary here focuses on the stock market, and looks forward to the future of our stock market after the Spring Festival through the global stock market Spring Festival.

Some people say that if we want to calculate the global market in February 5th, I would like to say that we have not yet closed the market in February 5th, when we fell close to 1 points closed, and the global market also fell on that day. Basically, the US Dow Jones is also around 1 points. In essence, it is nothing. Besides, we must truly record the global fluctuation during the Spring Festival, which is also the period when we strictly suspend the market. Therefore, there is no need to be included here to compare statistical thinking.

Focus on the US market: the US market is the most concerned market in the world, so its game will bring different degrees of influence to the global market to a large extent. We can find that the big pattern of the Dow Jones index has always been in a bull market pattern, but its operation is fluctuating in the range from 2014 to 2016, the low point is around 15000, the high point is around 18000.

The Dow Jones index has come back from 18351 points in May 19, 2015. We can clearly see several low points. The lowest point is 15370 points we saw in the early August 24, 2015. The second low point is 15450 points seen in January 20, 2016. The third low point is 15503 points seen in February 11th during the Spring Festival.

Found that no, the low point has gradually raised the trend, the recent two low points constitute a short-term double bottom, coupled with the first low point of the previous stage, and then form a phase three bottom state, the highest to the minimum, the maximum adjustment rate is about 16%, the exact point data is actually 15.5%.

This is essentially a reasonable adjustment of the bull market. In this way, you will find that the US market is healthy.

From the microscopic point of view, we can see that the US Dow Jones index is a combination of Yang and Yin in the last 2 trading days of the Spring Festival. In February 12, 2016, the trend of 1 multipoint decline in February 11th was eaten by 2 points. This combination, combined with the double bottom formed in the short term, is a trend of technology that is conducive to the continued upward trend.

If we go there, we might as well make a guess. If the next upward continuation, double bottom formation, and even the three bottom also gradually form, we can see that the US market span almost 2 and a half years of interval turbulence, will hopefully come to an end. In conclusion, the low point once confirmed effective formation and future breakthrough, the 2 and a half years of fluctuation is a very beautiful rise relay mode. From the current situation, the probability of the final formation is very large.

Many people are talking about how the Jones index crashed. In fact, it is clear and clear that the media or many people did not carefully study the expression of arbitrariness and exaggeration that only looked at the trend of the short term in a few days. Compared with the highest 5178 points in June 12, 2015, we reached the low point of 2638 in January 27, 2016 before the Spring Festival, and the 3 wave disaster fell by nearly 50% in half a year. The exact data is 49%.

Well, some people also fell short than the Dow Jones index slightly larger Nasdaq market, similar to the Chinese gem market to say, that crash, okay, let's see, its latest high point is last July 20, 2015, is also the highest point in history, the spot is 5231 points, this and the Dow Jones index saw the high time in May 19, 2015, a full delay of 2 months.

The first low point is also August 24, 2015, see 4292 points; the second low point is also in January 20, 2016, see 4313 points; third low points and the Dow Jones index low time is also consistent is February 11th, the low point is 4209 points, the difference is that these third lows are lower than the previous two low points.

Of course, we must also see that the world capital market is indeed turbulent and violent, and the crude oil market is indeed a collapse. Many listed companies have also demonstrated a wave of collapse. But on the whole, we must also see that the world is in rebirth because of the economic turmoil, and the whole is still heading for a better future. Looking at the fluctuating data of the US market as a whole, I believe many people will not expect that the world is so volatile that its essence is still so healthy. There is no reason why it will not be more positive in the future.

During the Spring Festival, the discovery of gravitational waves in the scientific and technological circles is not a stimulus to the future of the world. This is a wave, but it may trigger.

Finally, we will lift up another big wave to push the world forward.

Thinking about gravitational waves, and thinking more about the subtle fluctuations in the market, please look forward to the contents of next column of Wu Guoping. This time, we just want to tell you that the world is still beautiful, despite the overwhelming panic and pessimism of the media or most people. Although we have hit hard, the new future is also brewing.

Why should we take the bull?

Let's take the lowest point 4209 points to talk about, the highest to the minimum adjustment range is about 20%, the exact data is actually 19.5%, which is larger than the Dow Jones index. Even so, compared to the decline in our A share market, what is that?

At this time, we may as well take a look at the decline of our gem index. From the highest 4037 points in June 5, 2015 to 56% at the lowest 1779 in September 2, 2015, it is amazing.

Three months, oh, we have to deal with the stock market crash. We must think about the past. In the Chinese market, it is not easy for us to survive and go to the present.

So, NASDAQ falls ten to twenty points. What is that?

However, why do we see the low point later than the Dow Jones index? Why do I understand this? My understanding is that it is because Nasdaq's emerging industries, even in the real bull market, will slow down a bit even if the adjustment is made. Therefore, the adjustment time is late; why the latter will fall larger and see the lows even later, which is easy to understand. For the listed companies in the emerging industries, once the adjustment of the real bull market is carried out, they will eventually be unable to withstand the impact of the stage of panic. Finally, it is easy to appear the trend of a sudden plunge. This sudden collapse will easily result in a slow adjustment. Coming here, we might as well look back at the Nasdaq market, which is later than the Dow Jones index.

However, no matter what, the two markets are the normal adjustment in the big bull market, even in the global economic crisis, which is said by the daily media, still showing vigorous vitality.

We take

Compared with our market, the data is clear and interesting. In China, the gem represents the index of emerging industries, which does not show a relatively backward role in the adjustment. Instead, it presents a role of a leading indicator. When it falls, it first falls and the bottom time is also ahead of schedule. What does this mean?

Very simple, this shows that our market has not formed such a strong vitality market, this is essentially different from the United States, the United States has been running in a bull market, we are cattle and bear alternately, speed is extremely fast, so the gem represents the index of emerging industries in the specific volatility is also very exaggerated.

Of course, in essence, there are problems such as our system, listed companies and so on. This is not elaborated here, but we must make it clear that the past fluctuations in our market, especially in 2015 to the present, compared with the United States, you should be aware that the real collapse is not others, but us.