"100 Lecture Room": A Shares Are In The Rough Winter.

This week, the stock market plunged from 3130 to 2900 after last week.

Most of the stocks in the market are unbearable. A bear market is a bleak winter.

We have consulted several market experts and researchers.

One, Tian Peng: now it is not far from the bottom of the stage.

We should choose blue chips and hold 30% positions.

Or small and medium-sized securities stocks.

But at present, "bear and fog is long", be careful to go up, so the positions are strictly controlled.

(annotations: as the stock market fell by nearly more than 700 points in the short term, it dropped by 20%. It has reached 2867 points near the last 2850 points and dropped to 2883 on Friday.

It is also possible to fall below 2800 or even 2500.

So he suggested 30% positions.

)

Two, Govan: the probability of breaking down 2850 points is large, the positions should be strictly controlled, and the fewer the better.

Shareholding should be carefully chosen and not defective.

(remarks: the stock market trend is analyzed by Govan.

However, the situation of the securities market in the first half of 2016 is very different.

Some people see very empty, think the economy is bad, the whole bear market.

But others see better.

However, at present, Govan has always believed that the stock market is in a bear market.

Better not buy than hold.

)

Three, Shen Jing: more than 3000 points are not the bottom, should drop more than 200 points.

If it falls to around 2850 points or even below, it will plunge sharply, but it will buy if it falls.

Whether to buy securities stocks or not?

If you want to buy securities stocks, it is better to buy securities B (Fund).

(annotations: facts have proved that he is accurate in his judgement. He is also worried that many days before the Spring Festival, many people will be afraid to spend more time in the night because they want to raise funds.

He thought: after the Spring Festival, it became more stable.

Last month, Shen Jing repeatedly reminded him that there would be a fall after the new year's day, which would cause psychological pressure on the reduction of the 5% major shareholders.

The market has indeed developed along this direction.

But at present, he thinks: reducing the responsibility to be occupied.

The "window guidance" of the exchanges has been limited.

)

Four, Su Gang: we can not see clearly the general trend. We are very worried.

Cut and cut.

Five, Song Jiangfeng: I can't see clearly. I have a lingering fear.

(Song Jiangfeng is a very high level of performance. In the second half of 2014, at 2000 o'clock, he enlarged the company's convertible bonds: Xugong convertible bonds and Zhonghai development convertible bonds, and bought CITIC Securities of 12-13 yuan.

When we arrived at 5000 in 2015, we came to Fudan University to advise us to stop holding shares.

It is pointed out that China's mid car crash is an unknown sign.

An intermediate large adjustment began.

At present, they take stock company stock, half warehouse, this ratio can enter, attack and retreat.

Understandable.

)

Six, Wang Jian: more pessimistic.

It is very difficult to be the bottom of the stage. After the end of V, the round bottom will be reliable, and the index may still fall sharply, but the pressure of individual stocks still needs to be released.

At present, it is difficult to operate and move as little as possible.

(Wang Jian is a gold medal guest in a city TV program).

Pay attention to medicine and assets.

。

Overall analysis: in a word, at 2870 points, the high hands have begun to do the short difference.

But always half warehouse.

The main disadvantages are:

This week's economic hot spot: the State Council has agreed to register accounts for 14 million black households and no households (mainly children), which is a good thing.

14 million people are equal to 3 Singapore! In addition, some people think that 90 million people who can have a second child are nonsense.

The fertile people are mainly women born after 80 and 90. After 70 or 60 years, how do women in 40-50 years of age have a second child? 80 and 90 are the most alone. Only 1 million 400 thousand people are willing to give birth.

It is estimated that at most 4 million -500 million people will have a second child (because the cost of childbirth is very high, mostly in developed countries and moderately developed countries).

He who can give birth to a second child must take care of it.

1, the reduction of large shareholders: but at the moment, it seems to be suppressed by management, and the more they want to reduce, the less they want to reduce.

2, in the current situation, if the IPO is devolved to the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, they will take care of the market in order to grab the capital to grab the market, and will carefully push the registration system.

(especially in 2 years).

But it gives people a lot of psychological pressure.

3, the depreciation of the renminbi: I have always believed that there will be no derogatory effect, foreign exchange reserves of US $3 trillion and 500 billion, and the trade surplus between China and foreign countries is always favorable. Sino US trade is also surplus, and the US $200-300 billion per month, plus the purchasing power of RMB is strong, and the GDP growth is over 6%.

It should not be derogatory.

Moreover, the advantages of depreciation are greater than the disadvantages, which is conducive to the export of 90% of small and medium-sized enterprises.

4, the issue and listing of new shares.

The issuance of new shares will be valued at market capitalization, but with a trillion dollar market value, the winning rate will be very low, and those who fight new shares will lose money and have to go to the two tier market to rush for gold.

But too much pressure is still going on.

Exchanges and Securities Regulatory Commission should firmly control and limit, help the market and people to overcome the difficulties of the current stock market.

But in short, the stock market is still in the bear market, we should strictly control the positions, and make sure that we should be cautious.

In the near future, we should focus on no loss, and not on the basis of income.

Remember, especially before the Spring Festival.