The Rebound Will Start From The Steady Growth Of Blue Chips.
This week, the stock market has shrank sharply. The stock index has three trading days less than 300 billion in a week, and the weekly turnover has reached a new low of nearly seven months. On Tuesday, when the Shanghai index hit a low of 3011 points, the single day turnover was just 20% of the largest turnover in June 8th this year, 1 trillion and 300 billion.
The reporter counted the change of A share turnover from peak to trough in the past 10 years, and each time the volume of a single day slipped to 20% of the peak, it indicated that the market had entered the mid-term grinding stage. The biggest drop in space in the next three months will not exceed 10%, with a maximum increase of more than 20%, and the average yield is positive. This is a positive signal from the extreme contraction of the market this week.
The stock index has been grinding around 3200 points. Some investors are in a dilemma. There is not much time left this year. Is there any chance of making money?
Minsheng securities launched a new heavy report that: firmly optimistic about the "911- double 12" will launch a wave of intermediate rebound during the market, and now need to wait for the bottom of the market shock to end the "starting gun": the market to break the current volume of extremely tight stalemate, and there is a clear upward trend of volume.
The broker said that the market experienced a downward shock in August, and the valuation level of Shanghai Composite Index, small and medium sized board and growth enterprise market as a whole went down. Compared with 5178 hours, the valuation level of the Shanghai Composite Index has basically reached the corresponding level of valuation at the end of October 2008 at 1664 points (15 times valuation). From the comparison of historical spots and valuation levels, big blue chips have fallen out of value, and small and medium-sized ones are still not cheap.
Steady growth logic is gradually fermented. From the Politburo meeting to the special session of the State Council, the policy level has deepened the understanding of the pressure from economic growth at home and abroad, and steady growth has become a major contradiction. The focus of government work is returning to steady growth.
On the theme, we should closely follow the direction and field of the steady growth policy, and suggest that we should pay attention to three main lines: first, smart city upgrading and upgrading: underground pipe gallery construction, urban parking lots, sewage disposal, upgrading of distribution network, inter city rail transit construction, and pension facilities; the main line two is rural poverty alleviation: farmland water conservancy, poverty alleviation and relocation, shantytowns transformation, rural network transformation and rural broadband; the main line three is industrial upgrading transformation: innovation. Entrepreneurship Modern logistics, green park transformation and new energy.
This week's panic fall is a stopover, but people are looking forward to it. Retaliatory rebound Nor did he come. The whole stock market went up and down from the heavy taste, and became the two step of "small and refreshing". In fact, some people are not suffering, because the time when real money is self willed.
If we leave the field in May, we will be alone. Now, the two balance has returned to 1 trillion, which is roughly the same level at the end of 2014, indicating that the leveraged cow is dead and the reformed cattle are starting again. A shares 。 Of course, there is no investment. If you are trapped, you can only wait and be saved.
On Tuesday, the Shanghai Stock Index collapsed in the vicinity of 3000 points, indicating that the position reached a short-term equilibrium point, and many parties were reluctant to cut meat at 3000 points. On Friday, when it rebounded to 3200 points, it hit another 252 billion 700 million. This shows that in the absence of incremental capital, market sentiment is low, and the desire to chase up is extremely weak. Therefore, short-term traders can participate in the hot speculation at the 3000 point -3200 box.
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