The Upward Trend Of US Dollar Volatility Remains Unchanged.

< p > < strong > 1: fundamental analysis < /strong > < /p >

"P", which was affected by the tension in Iraq, last week's last trading day (June 13th) increased the market's risk aversion and triggered a buying. The US dollar rose against a basket of major currencies.

In addition, a slight rise in US Treasury bond yields also supported the US dollar rally, and the market was not affected by the weaker consumer confidence in the US in June.

On Friday, the rating agency's S & P upgraded the UK sovereign rating outlook from negative to stable, with a current rating of AAA, and the pound continued to maintain its growth against the US dollar on the same day.

< /p >

The three major indexes of the United States closed all the way up, with the increase of P > a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp" > stock market < /a >, but the increase was not large. The S & P rose the highest, closing up by 0.31%; most of the major European stock indexes went down, and the three major indexes continued to fall and expand their declines compared with the previous day. The market speculated that the Bank of England would increase interest rates and drag the FTSE 100 index down by nearly 1%, and the Greek stock index fell nearly 3%.

With regard to international gold, Ukraine has not stopped in recent days as tensions continue to escalate in Iraq. The overall tense international situation plus gold prices, which have been considered near the cost price, have risen 4 in the past week. The newspaper closed at $1276.70 / ounce on Friday.

< /p >

As of P, > a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp" > market > /a >, as of the end of the day, the exchange rate of 1 euro was 1.3540 US dollars, which was lower than that of the previous trading day of 1.3549 US dollars; the exchange rate of 1 pounds was 1.6959 US dollars, which was higher than the 1.6922 US dollars of the previous trading day; 1 Australian dollars for us $0.9398, lower than the previous day's 0.9420 US dollars; 1 dollars for Yen Yen, higher than the previous yen's yen.

This week, the focus of attention deserves more attention. Five major central banks have announced the latest interest rate decisions.

The most important concern is that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce interest rate resolutions at the 02:00 hours in Beijing on Thursday (June 19th) and the latest economic (310358, fund) assessment. The chairman Yellen (Janet Yellon) will hold a press conference after the announcement of the resolution, and any comments on the interest rate rise or idle economy will also be concerned.

< /p >

< p > on the resolution of the Federal Reserve, the market consensus is expected to continue to announce a reduction of US $10 billion in the size of the monthly purchase debt, and financial markets will listen carefully to the clues about when the Federal Reserve will start raising interest rates.

The policy tightening time point expected by every interest rate policymaker and the view of tightening pace will be closely examined.

Although the US economy was not satisfactory in the first quarter of this year, the market blamed it on the bad winter weather.

Many analysts believe that the fundamental trend of US growth will remain stable.

< /p >

On the other hand, Australia will publish a summary of its June 3rd policy meeting on Tuesday, P.

In the last interest rate decision of the RBA, retained intervention in the Australian dollar remained high. The description in this summary may still be a topic of concern to the market.

Britain will announce the latest interest rate summary on Wednesday. The market now expects that the number of voters who will maintain interest rates and QE policies will turn to 8:1 (previously 9:0).

If there really is a member who supports the interest rate increase in the minutes, it may further boost the pound's rise.

The Bank of Japan will publish its monthly policy meeting on Friday, analysts say, and the outlook for economic optimism is not expected to change.

ING said in the investor report, "unemployment is still low and employment opportunities are steadily increasing.

In addition, cash salaries have also improved slightly, and the growth environment of Japan's economy is better than that of 1997.

< /p >

Today, Monday, June 16th, there are not many important economic data in the world. In Europe, investors need to focus on the CPI value of euro zone P.

Under the expectation of further easing of the ECB's policy, if the CPI value of the eurozone is lower again, the time and intensity of the ECB easing policy will be advanced again.

Secondly, it focuses on the data from the US side, including the New York fed manufacturing index, international capital net inflow, industrial output and housing price index.

The Federal Reserve resolution will be introduced next week. The release of numerous US economic data on Monday may give the Fed more guidelines.

Next, investors will pay close attention to the annual assessment of the US economy released by IMF on Monday.

After the IMF released the US economic assessment report, IMF chairman Lagarde will also issue a press conference to discuss the report.

< /p >

< p > < strong > Two: technical aspect analysis < /strong > < /p >

< p > < a href= > http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp > Gold > /a > dollar strategy: < /p >

< p > gold continued to rise after a slight concussion on Friday. At present, the technology average line is well arranged, and the future trend is still much more.

Day < /p >

< p > operation is recommended to try to buy more near 1277, target 1290 < /p >

< p > main strategy: 1277 near do more, target 1290, stop loss 1272 < /p >

< p > Euro versus US dollar strategy: < /p >

Generally speaking, Euro P is still weak. In terms of operation, investors are advised to pay attention to the support of the euro around 1.3510, and the pressure on the euro above is 1.3580.

Europe's data will be more important, and investors need to pay more attention to the operation.

< /p >

< p > main strategy: 1.3560 near short, target 1.3510, stop loss 1.3580 < /p >

< p > pound versus US dollar strategy: < /p >

< p > main strategy: 1.6950 near do more, target 1.7000, stop loss 1.6930 < /p >

< p > US dollar to Japanese yen strategy: < /p >

< p > main strategy: 101.80 near do more, target 102.20, stop loss 101.60 < /p >