Expert Analysis: 2008 Domestic Fur Market Bullish

The development of fur industry depends on the situation at home and abroad, the change of climate and the trend of popularity. Since 07 years, the fur industry has entered a low level, the fur industry has been hit hard, and the price of fur has slipped to the end. In the face of the changing situation, I think the fur industry should assess the structure of its industrial development, the cost of fur farmers and the trend of fur industry in the future, laying a solid foundation for the new glory of fur industry. Climate change is the direction of clothing development, fashion color is the driving force of the clothing industry. As long as clothing sales are good, its raw materials and accessories will have opportunities for development. Fur, as an excipient of clothing, can play its fascination in its popular dynamic. 06 years of warm winter and 07 years of cold winter have made a large-scale adjustment to the development of clothing, which has weighed heavily on the fur industry of accessories. As for the situation at home and abroad, the US case now leads to the depreciation of the US dollar. Among them, the euro and yen have appreciated nearly 20%, and Europe and Japan are buying big American products. RMB appreciation of 16%, so that domestic exports fell by 20%, directly restricting the development of the economy, making the financial situation worse. This is only part of it. More importantly, the price of agricultural products and oil has increased by 30%. Some countries have been reluctant to let crops export, and food and food tensions have become the focus. As the saying goes, people eat food for the day. The rise in grain prices has led to a series of price reactions. At the same time, it will have a greater impact on the low fur culture. Farmers have been very upset about the low price of fur, and the grain has risen by 30%. How should we do the breeding of fur animals in the spring of 08 years? This requires estimating the estimated cost. Take raccoon dog as an example. At present, the average price of raccoon skin is about 120 yuan, and the cost is 140 yuan, and then the cost is calculated. It's about 200 yuan / year (one year). Now prices have risen by 30%, and the cost of farming has also risen. It takes about 250 yuan to get the skin from one year to the winter, and think of the price of leather at present compared to the cost of later farming. Who can accept this? In the current situation of aquaculture, the Finland auction in April gave us a signal to move forward. Although the euro has appreciated nearly 20%, it can offset the increase in the price of the auction, but after all, it is a good thing to rise, which will certainly bring power to the farmers. As far as I know, at the auction, the price of raccoon skin is stable, the average price is 70 dollars, the development of fox fur is good, the price is about 10%, the average price is nearly 90 dollars, and the mink buyers exceed 600 people, which has created a miracle since the auction, basically increased by 15%, and the mink of different species increased by more than 20%. It has created a brilliant auction. At the same time, it will also promote the development of China's fur industry, so that we can wait quietly. Time will prove everything.