In 2008, The Price Of The Raccoon Skin Market Was Lower Than Expected.
A netizen explained in the column of "market talk" of "fur clothing forum" in China's fur prediction network. "2007 is a year that keeps raccoon dogs unforgettable, because the market has given a deep risk education lesson to farmers.
No one thought that the price of the raccoon skin in 2007 would be so low that the new breed of raccoon farmers last year suffered heavy losses.
What causes it?
Driven by profiteering, the price of raccoon skin has increased in recent years, so that raccoon dogs have gained considerable profits.
So people flocked to raise raccoon dogs, causing the situation of supply and demand, and plunging prices.
Gold and diamonds are precious and scarce. If these two things are as large as steel, they are not so valuable now.
Don't believe in the news of warm winter and export reduction. What matters is the number of products.
OPEC, the Middle East oil producing country, does China have fur beating peke? Can market prices lower and unite to reduce the output of raccoon skins?
Impossible, this determines that farmers must suffer from the baptism of the market.
Long dead, not short!
Many middlemen saw that the price of raccoon skin was very low this year, and they began to hoard their skins. Most farmers also did not sell because of low prices.
They all hold the mentality of the raccoon skin price will rise. In fact, they didn't think about it. Didn't they produce the raccoon skin in 2008?
No breed of raccoon dog is a minority. Most farmers still keep seeds, but only a few species are left behind last year. By 2008, the output of raccoon skin will be very high.
Because the price of the raccoon skin is low, all kinds of skins will not be introduced without introduction. In 2006, a lot of leather traders were put up. The pressure was basically suppressed, and the current price could not be sold.
Once the price rebounded, the market will be thrown down, so the price will not soon go well.
The price of the market needs to shake at the bottom. Only when the funds are eliminated, the middlemen who sell their skins lose money and sell, and they dare not hoard their skins. Most of the farmers do not raise them. When the farmers are desperate for the market, the market of the raccoon dog can turn for the better.
I am not optimistic about the price of the raccoon skin in 2008.
This netizen represents a lot of people's pessimistic views, and many others have begun to use "urgent" mood to "force" the author to declare whether they can raise money in the next 08 years.
Perhaps only when the writer says, "will rise", can this group of people panic to calm down?
In fact, this netizen has overlooked one point, that is, we use much more than in 2006.
According to the author's investigation in Shandong Peninsula, the amount of raccoon skin increased by two times over the past 07 years.
Of course, this data is not very accurate, because the material used in Chinese fur coat is not a pparent account.
For many breeders, the author's voice is: "we can go to see, the popularity of the street wide fur collar raccoon skin consumption is very large, and this year's women's clothing raccoon fur collar also went to the market, it is really a kind of" raccoon skin cheap, willing to use "feeling.
So the price will rise in 08 years, breaking through 200 yuan is not a problem.
In addition, it is important to point out that if farmers want high prices, they will have to cut production and challenge the processing enterprises.
So next year, we will try not to increase production of raccoon skin.
To maintain the current total is to make money.
A netizen sent me an email saying, "Hello, teacher!"
There is a spontaneous fur trading market in our village. Every year, there are local fur traders coming to our village to buy raccoon skin.
Affected by the low price this year, the number of leather traders in the early stage is very large, and the number of acquisitions is also large, and the price is between 120-140 yuan.
This year, I also kept a lot of raccoon skins myself, looking forward to the price rise.
However, judging from past experience, there will be a slight decline in prices in 7 and August next year as a result of too much skin tension this year.
I don't know if my analysis is correct.
What should I do with the raccoon skin in my hands?
I would like to ask you.
For this mail, the author replied very succinctly: "if the price performance is good in the early 08 years, the future raccoon skin will really rot."
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