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Dialogue IHS Chief Economist: Sooner Or Later, The Fed Will Release More Loosely.

2011/9/22 11:14:00 29

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On the eastern time of September 21st (Beijing time September 22nd), the Federal Reserve announced the latest interest rate statement on Wednesday, introducing the distortion of the $400 billion scale and maintaining the 0-0.25%'s current federal benchmark.

interest rate

Unchanged.

Economists believe that the Fed's prediction of the US economic outlook is negative, and sooner or later, more quantitative easing policies will be launched.

On Wednesday, after the two day September interest conference was concluded, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Federal Reserve announced a 400 billion dollar scale distortion operation to reduce its distortion.

To loan

Cost and avoid recession.

Previously, QE3, which was generally recognized by Goldman Sachs and other financial institutions, was not ready to come out.

In response, Nigel Gault, chief economist of IHS Global Insight, told sina finance that the Fed failed to live up to market expectations, but the initial performance of US stocks remained negative because the Fed mentioned in its statement that there was a "significant downside risk" economic outlook.

Earlier, the International Monetary Fund released the world economic outlook report, which will reduce global economic growth from 4.3% to 4% this year, and said that the global economy has entered a "dangerous new stage", and the downside risk has "increased sharply".

These news exacerbated the market's concerns about the uncertainty of the economic outlook.

After the Fed statement, some market analysts believe that the effect of the Fed is not worth looking forward to, so opponents do not have to overreact.

"We believe that the Federal Reserve is doing its best to avoid a recession in the US economy and the Fed will make more quantitative easing sooner or later to stimulate the economy," he said.

The Fed statement also said it would reinvest its institutional debt and institutional mortgage securities.

The aim of this move is to try to lower mortgage interest rates to support the real estate market.

By reducing long-term interest rates and accelerating the flow of mortgage and capital expenditure, it will attract potential buyers and stimulate homeowners to refinance.

The Fed's "twist operation" in September, that is, by buying long-term bonds to buy long-term bonds, lowering long-term bond interest rates and other long-term investment interest rates, such as long-term loans such as home mortgages, can make businesses and consumers lower.

cost

Borrowing to activate refinancing and housing sales, and to encourage investors to turn to stocks and corporate bonds.