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Polyester Staple: May Opportunities Are Hard To Find

2011/5/4 10:02:00 39

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Staple road from early March

Fall

By the end of April, it had dropped 2000 yuan / ton (the highest 15500 yuan / ton, the lowest 13500 yuan / ton).

Range

13%, there are no signs of stopping. Short staple companies are already losing their strength and are using production and production cuts.

Last year's fourth quarter prices, like lightning in the sky, flashed through the rainy season.

Spun

Act as

cotton spinning

Can the important part of the industry be in the future?

Quotation

It is still too early to conclude this part of cotton and other staple products.

The corresponding cotton is also a big dive, the internal and external plates are also falling, and the stock of cotton yarn is serious. Some enterprises have stopped production or reduced production, and the order of large cloth is almost none.

yarn

The sharp fall has not stopped yet. The peak season has become a reality. The coming of the off-season is even worse.

The whole textile industry is once again at the critical moment of life and death. Whether it can be in an invincible position in this wave of decline, short staple as a larger enterprise and relatively concentrated, whether it constitutes an aircraft carrier to cope with the unfavorable situation of the current market, is the time for the short fiber enterprises to reconsider.

In April, the cash flow of polyester staple 1.4D38MM was guaranteed to be 13365 yuan / ton, and the cash flow rate was 80% yuan / ton according to the raw material settlement price. According to the current raw materials PTA, MEG10500 yuan / ton and 8800 yuan / ton, the cost of raw materials was 12030 yuan / ton, and the production and sales cost of 1600 yuan / ton amounted to 13630 yuan / ton, and the staple fiber market price was 13600 yuan / ton, basically guaranteed production.

If the raw materials are settled at PTA, MEG11450 yuan / ton and 8950 yuan / ton, the cost of raw materials is 12890 yuan / ton, all the cost is 14490 yuan / ton, and the staple fiber has already suffered serious losses (the settlement has more than one hundred yuan rebate, and there is no freight, the actual spot cost is 200 yuan / ton higher than the settlement cost), the outer disk follows the internal market down, Zhangjiagang now reported 1800 US dollars / ton FOB, the lowest 1750 US dollars / ton, and the export in March was better than 110 thousand tons.

Short fiber load 77.6% stock for 14.5 days, early inventory dropped sharply and began to pick up recently.

Cotton grade 329 cotton is 28900 yuan / ton, and most cotton spinning enterprises in Hebei, Shandong are three cotton 25800 yuan / ton for local cotton and 25300 yuan / ton for four grade cotton.

A large cotton textile enterprise in Shandong has adjusted 1500 yuan / ton in the two day, and now the three class cotton purchase is 25500 yuan / ton. According to the situation, cotton suppliers are already in a panic. A large number of cotton enterprises are going to the enterprises and how many of them have been purchased. The whole market of Shandong has been disrupted, the yarn has dropped sharply, especially the cotton enterprises are losing a lot of money. Some of them have cut down their production. Some cotton spinning enterprises with one hundred thousand spindles have large stocks in the previous period, and have already stopped production. 40 cotton yarn has dropped 5000 yuan / ton, more than 1000 tons of stocks, and the loss has been heavy. Cotton spinning has the potential of being further licensed.

Weaving enterprises fell along with the decline of cotton yarn. Cotton cloth of 22 yuan per meter has fallen by 4 yuan. Most of the weaving enterprises are in stock for more than a month and a half. The order has not been determined yet, waiting for the Canton Fair to improve.

Pure polyester yarn and polyester cotton blended yarn are better than pure cotton yarn. Pure polyester 32 yarn market price is 19500 yuan / ton, and there are still more than one thousand yuan profit.

Short fiber load fell, inventory began to rise, cotton decline, the downstream has not improved, raw materials PTA is still in the shock, MEG stable but the conditions for substantial rise is not yet available.

The best strategy for short fiber enterprises is to reduce inventories and wait for the next opportunity.