Is The Market Pessimistic About The Return Of Orders?

Recently, the epidemic situation in India is out of control. According to India's health ministry, more than 300000 new cases have been added for five consecutive days on the 26th. The Indian government even predicted that the outbreak could peak in mid May, with more than 500000 new cases a day.

Coincidentally, many textile workers recall that from September to October 2020, the epidemic broke out in Southeast Asia and South Asia, and a large number of textile orders returned to China, especially in India. So, this year's outbreak of the epidemic in India, will the scene of last year repeat, and will Indian orders return in large quantities as last year?

The market thinks it's hard. The reasons are as follows:

First, India seems to have made plans or psychological preparations for the textile production affected by the epidemic this year. On April 23, Indian Prime Minister modi repeatedly stressed in his television speech that although India is facing the challenge of epidemic situation, he also promised that he would never adopt a strict blockade policy. In addition, modi also called on capital not to flee from India, the government will never be closed down because of the epidemic. If India is not sealed off, all kinds of factories will not fall into a state of complete stagnation. If textile orders can maintain production, then the conditions for order transfer will not be established.

Second, the market will enter the off-season, the impact of orders is limited. At the present stage, although the epidemic situation in India is more severe than last year, it has avoided the peak season in March in the first half of the year. At the same time, there has not been a large-scale stagnation of global textile production in recent half a year, and there is no excessive order backlog, but a slight excess demand. Therefore, in recent years, textile orders are relatively small, and even with the coming of the summer off-season, they are still decreasing. The orders that can be issued have been basically produced in various countries, and the remaining few orders are lack of significance of transfer.

Therefore, the out of control epidemic in India will certainly affect the production of textile and clothing to a certain extent, but it is difficult to bring orders back to China like last year, and even affect the orders of some domestic textile enterprises.