"El Nino" Force, This Year Or Encounter Warm Winter, Autumn And Winter Fabric How To Do?

Recently, as long as you pay attention to the news, you will find that there are many words such as rainstorm, flood and flood situation. Since July, heavy rainfall has occurred in many places in China, and various rainstorm early warning has been continuous. Moreover, since July 4, 212 rivers in China have been flooded beyond the warning level, of which 72 rivers have exceeded the protection level, 19 rivers have exceeded the historical record, and Taihu Lake has exceeded the warning water level for 15 days. All kinds of signs show that this year we will face another flood disaster similar to that in 1998.

?

?

?

People can't help but ask, what's the weather like this year and why there is so much rain? In fact, one of the important impacts of El Nino on China is the "El Nino" flood. The super El Nino in 1998 once brought great flood to our country, and this year's flood is also related to it. But El Nino's impact on us is obviously not only flood, but also a phenomenon we can not ignore - warm winter. ?

The impact of warm winter is usually ignored by people, and even many people are looking forward to warm winter. However, for us textile workers, if it is a warm winter this winter, it will certainly be worse during the epidemic period.

As we all know, there are usually two peak seasons in a year, the first is March and April in the first half of the year, which mainly focuses on spring and summer fabrics; the other is September and October in the second half of the year, mainly in autumn and winter fabrics. In the spring and summer peak season of the first half of this year, due to the outbreak of the global epidemic, a large number of orders were cancelled and delayed, and most textile workers missed it. If this winter is a warm winter, then the impact of the superimposed epidemic will certainly make the autumn and winter peak season greatly reduced.

In warm winter, autumn and winter fabrics may not be available

Because one of the main functions of autumn and winter clothing is to keep warm, the factors that affect it are limited, that is, the change of weather and the level of temperature. Therefore, the sales of autumn and winter clothing can be said to depend on the weather, and the related autumn and winter fabrics have not been able to escape the influence of the weather.

It was a cold winter from the end of 2016 to the beginning of 2017. During that time, Nisi, polyester taff, imitation memory, double-sided cloth and other winter fabrics were hot. Orders of hundreds of thousands of meters and millions of meters have been pouring in. Dyeing factories are also actively cooperating for this feast. Even many dyeing factories directly give up other fabrics and give the green light to Nissin and polyester taff fabrics all the way to ensure that the production of these fabrics will be completed within three days.

From the end of 2019 to the beginning of 2020, it is a warm winter, and the winter fabric will feel the "cold" in the warm winter. As a common fabric for down jacket, the price of grey fabric of 380t Nisi textile has collapsed directly, falling from 4.5 yuan / m to about 3 yuan / m. It is difficult to see orders of several hundred thousand meters or more of winter fabrics in dyeing factories. Not only in this, down clothing and other winter clothing is everywhere low-cost sale, individual market down jacket actually only 150 yuan.

The clothing market is affected by the cold weather. This year's rate is likely to be warm winter, and will continue to repeat the textile market from the end of 19 to the beginning of 20.

Orders cut by 2 / 3, brand service enterprises lack confidence

This year, due to the impact of new crown pneumonia, the textile market in the second half of the year is lack of demand and confidence, and a large number of orders are likely to be cut.

Nike, the US sports giant, said it had cancelled about 30% of factory orders before the autumn and end of the year shopping season. H & M said it would sell some off season spring stock in the fall.

(Lauren CO) has cancelled about two-thirds of its autumn apparel orders in the US. ?

????……

The epidemic situation led to the lack of enthusiasm of major garment enterprises in the second half of the year, and the reduction of order cancellations has been normal. Once the warm winter may be settled down, it will be worse, which will lead to the fall of fabric orders in autumn and winter on the basis of today's prices.

?

?

Whether the textile peak season in the second half of this year will come as scheduled has become a mystery. After all, the large amount of inventory left over from last year's warm winter has not been fully digested. Once again, warm winter will seriously affect the speed of inventory digestion, and will also limit the release of new orders. Moreover, there is no sign of improvement in the epidemic situation of the new crown overseas. The second half of the year for textile workers may be more difficult than the first half. Carefully layout the fabric market in autumn and winter, and prepare sufficient liquidity to prepare for the coming severe winter.