In June, The Prosperity Of National Textile And Clothing Professional Market Fell

1、 The prosperity of managers and merchants is falling

Data shows that in June, the prosperity index of national textile and garment professional market managers and merchants fell.

1. The business climate index of managers dropped by 4.30 percentage points

Data source: Statistics of circulation branch of China Textile Federation

Data source: Statistics of circulation branch of China Textile Federation

Among the sub indexes, the sales index was 46.30, down 4.60 percentage points from 50.90 in May; the average selling price index was 45.89, down 3.97 percentage points from 49.86 in May; the profit index was 46.51, down 3.35 percentage points from 49.86 in May; the comprehensive cost index was 50.62, up 1.17 percentage points from 49.45 in May; the inventory index was 52.05, up 1.08 percentage points from 50.97 in May The e-commerce sales index was 48.63, down 1.09 percentage points from 49.72 in May.

2、 Data analysis

1. The rent pressure of specialized market continues to increase

Since the beginning of this year, the rent index of professional market has shown great pressure. From January to February, the rent index of professional market was 29.03, that of March was 48.39, that of April was 47.42, that of May was 46.77 and that of June was 45.81, which continued to decline by 0.96 percentage points. In the first half of this year, the professional market rent index has always been lower than 50 and still continues to decline. It can be seen that the follow-up impact of the epidemic situation is relatively serious in the professional market rent level, and there are many situations such as rent cancellation, rent decline and rent arrears. The professional market may face more new challenges in the post epidemic era. Therefore, it is necessary to adapt to the new situation as soon as possible, adjust its role, optimize and upgrade.

2. The cost pressure and inventory pressure of merchants are slightly relieved

In June, the cost pressure and inventory pressure of merchants eased slightly, and the index rebounded. The comprehensive cost index was 50.62, up 1.17 percentage points from 49.45 in May; the inventory index was 52.05, up 1.08 percentage points from 50.97 in May. In June, the professional market entered the off-season of operation, and all indexes fell down, only the comprehensive cost index and inventory index showed an upward trend. The two indexes are higher than the 50 prosperity and withering line and are gradually rising, which shows that the business pressure of merchants is gradually easing.

3、 The prediction index is all lower than 50

The data shows that for managers, the next business climate index is 48.06, down 0.97 percentage points from 49.03 in May; the business environment index in the next period is 48.06, down 0.65 percentage points from 48.71 in May. In terms of merchants, the next business climate index was 48.01, down 1.02 percentage points from 49.03 in May; the business environment index in the next period was 47.95, down 0.46 percentage points from 48.41 in May. In terms of prediction index, the four prediction indexes of managers and merchants fell down, and the overall level was lower than the 50 prosperity and withering line. It can be seen that the market and merchants still have insufficient confidence in the future situation of the industry, and the sales off-season of the textile and clothing professional market may continue to July.

Attachment:

1. Monitoring methods

"Textile and clothing professional market prosperity index" consists of "manager index" and "merchant index". Using the sampling method, we selected markets and merchants of different business categories such as clothing, fabric, home textiles and small commodities, and filled in the questionnaires of managers' prosperity index and merchants' prosperity index respectively.

2. Monitoring samples

The sample of managers' prosperity consists of 32 specialized textile and garment markets, including Guangzhou Baima clothing market, Beijing Tianya women's clothing building, Jiangsu Dieshiqiao home textile market, Shanghai xinqipu clothing market, Liaoning Xiliu clothing market, etc. The sample of business prosperity is composed of more than 150 merchants, such as Taotao clothing, Muzi thatched house, Ruili Hanshi, zhedi clothing, etc.

3. Monitoring period

The business cycle is monthly, submitted at the end of each month and released at the beginning of the next month.

4. Index composition

In the "textile and clothing professional market prosperity index", the "manager index" consists of four first-class indexes: the current manager's prosperity index, the next manager's prosperity index, the current period's business environment index and the next period's business environment index; "the current manager's prosperity index" consists of the total business index, logistics delivery index, passenger flow index, opening rate index, rent index and e-commerce Sales index consists of six secondary indexes.

The "merchant index" is composed of four first-class indexes: the current business climate index, the next business climate index, the current business environment index and the next business environment index; "the current business climate index" consists of six secondary indexes: Sales Index, average selling price index, profit index, comprehensive cost index, inventory index and e-commerce sales index.

5. Exponential analysis

The positive index includes manager's total business index, logistics delivery index, passenger flow index, merchant opening rate index, rent index, e-commerce sales volume proportion index, merchant sales volume index, average selling price index, profit index and e-commerce sales proportion index. If the positive index exceeds 50, it indicates that the business situation is optimistic, and the larger the value, the more optimistic it is; if the positive index is lower than 50, it means that the business situation is not optimistic; if the value is smaller, the more pessimistic.

The reverse index includes merchant cost index and inventory index. If the cost index is higher than 50, it indicates that the cost pressure of merchants decreases, and the larger the value, the smaller the cost pressure; if the cost index is lower than 50, it means that the merchant's cost pressure increases, and the smaller the value, the greater the cost pressure. If the inventory index exceeds 50, it indicates that the merchant's inventory pressure decreases, and the larger the value, the smaller the inventory pressure; if the inventory index is lower than 50, it indicates that the merchant's inventory pressure increases, and the smaller the value, the greater the inventory pressure. ?