Guard Against The "Two Shock Wave" In The Textile Market!

The recent market can be said to be listening to the wind and rain. Once the wind is blowing, the market will react immediately, especially in the raw material market, but such a rise is always lacking in continuity.

Last week, the battle for raw material rose has quietly faded away. With the rising price of international oil prices, the weaving market has returned to its former calm. "It was only a week after the market was thought that the market was down again." A main spin silk business leader said.

Recently, a friend told Xiaobian Tucao that he went to the market to turn around, and the market at 10 o'clock was cold and cheerless, and the whole trade area did not have a lively scene.

No matter what scenario, for textile people, it represents the current market orders are still improving. Affected by the 2020 new crown pneumonia epidemic, the domestic textile industry has been greatly impacted, and the whole industry chain has been stagnant for nearly a month, and some areas have even reached nearly two months.

In the upper and lower reaches, cloth boss can be described as the hardest part of the year, describing it in a vulgar way, like "rats entering the bellows" - both sides suffer from anger. "Now we are really very difficult, last year's inventory can not go now, raw materials rise, we dare not raise prices, afraid of a rise, the remaining orders have gone up." A manufacturer of polyester taffe said.

"Super large single" failure, the market once again into the tired inventory stage!

In the early stage, influenced by public health events, the chemical fiber protective clothing fabrics had a small "high tide" in the market, and there was a shortage of goods, queues and price hikes all the time. But the market came in a hurry, too. After more than half a month, the super large list had come to an end. Many manufacturers said that the new list was not ideal recently, and the inventory of grey fabric had begun to rise.

"At the beginning of this week, we have not received the large orders. They are all small orders in operation. In the early stage, they changed the machine platform to produce 190T polyester taffeta because of the delivery. Recently, there was no order, but also changed to other products." A textile owner who has more than 200 looms and produces polyester taffeta says.

In May, driven by raw materials, the fabric market also ushered in a wave of stock market. Raw materials rose more than 1000 yuan at a time, stimulating the purchasing atmosphere of the middle end traders, especially in Wuhan, China and the big market, and the low price of goods attracted the mood. In the market, orders for products such as polyester taffe, spring Asian spinning, Oxford cloth and imitation silk all showed different degrees of improvement, resulting in a slight decline in the stock of manufacturers.

But in late days, this wave of heat seems to be subsiding, especially in spring and summer, especially in the season of sale. The market is in sharp decline. Due to the revival of terminal consumption, the expression of orders in autumn and winter fabrics is slower than before.

It is understood that some of the recent inventory of weaving manufacturers climbed again. "The market is only good for a week. Our stock has started to rise in the near future. The factory has been stockpiling for a month and a half. The market is not easy to say, but it feels like the off-season is coming." A memory manufacturer worried.

After all, a large number of foreign customers canceled orders before, basically in the weaving process, resulting in a lot of gray inventory, especially some customers custom-made special products, if orders do not resume, then basically become dead stocks, coupled with the original left behind in 2019, the social inventory is higher than in previous years, resulting in this year weaving mills low inventory pressure greater. According to the sample business data monitored by China silk net, there are about 41-42 days in Shengze's billet storage, compared with the same period last year, with a gain of 4-5 days.

Textile enterprises bosses worry, beware of the second shock wave.

Today, 1/3 of the 2020 has passed, and the impact of overseas outbreaks on the textile market has begun to improve. More than one foreign trade boss and Xiaobian said that orders for coming back or delayed shipment were also being prepared for shipment. However, compared with the same period in the previous year, the volume of sales in the first 5 months of this year has definitely hurt some enterprises in the next two quarters. Deep repair will become the main theme of the market.

From overseas markets, the epicentre of Europe and the United States has passed, but there are still big uncertainties in Southeast Asia. The recovery of market orders will also be dragged down by this. It is understood that in the United States, Spain, Italy and other regions, the order is obviously better than that of Vietnam and other Southeast Asian countries. "At present, we can finish the order at the end of June, but we don't know what will happen next, or we are worried about the continuity of the order." A home textile fabric export supplier said.

Some experts said that the domestic economic activities stopped because of the impact of the epidemic in the early stage. However, with the first wave of impact, the second wave was also on the way, and the second wave impact probability was greater than that of the first wave, mainly because of the impact of overseas epidemic on China's imports and exports.

In fact, every economic activity has a certain cycle. In the 98 year, the market overcapacity was later rescued by the external demand of the world trade organization. In 2008, the subprime mortgage crisis, the demand for foreign trade declined, and the domestic market started four trillion. After 2013, the market once again fell into overcapacity and weak demand. Later, it was eliminated by a series of measures such as environmental protection, security supervision and so on, and the market improved again.

The impact of this year's "black swan" is still ongoing. When it will ease, it will directly determine the demand for recovery and consumption recovery of overseas countries, thus affecting the recovery of the domestic textile industry.