China'S Cotton Situation In November: China'S Cotton Prices Rose Steadily During The Announcement.

At the end of November, cotton picking and sale basically ended, and the progress was slightly slower than the same period last year. According to the China Cotton Association survey, the total output of cotton in China was 5 million 905 thousand and 700 tons, unchanged from the previous period, down 3.35% from the same period last year. The processing speed of new cotton has been accelerated, and the processing volume has exceeded last year. The sale of cotton yarn is relatively smooth, the start-up rate of spinning enterprises has increased, output has increased slightly, and cotton procurement has been intensified. In the middle of the month, the state decided to turn in some new territories cotton, and the Sino US trade consultation progresses positively. Under this influence, the domestic cotton market has stabilized steadily and the spot price has risen slightly. New cotton has been listed on a large scale, the processing speed of cotton enterprises has been accelerated, and commercial inventories have increased substantially at the end of the year, reaching the annual high point.

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At the end of November, the picking and selling of Xinjiang was basically over, and the picking of the Yellow River valley was over. As of November 30th, the national picking rate reached 99.15%, which was 0.81 percentage points slower than that of the same period last year. The sales progress was slightly slower than that of the same period last year, which was 92.21%, which was 2.04 percentage points slower than that of the same period last year. The price of seed cotton monthly sales rose steadily, at 5.46 yuan / kg, and the growth rate was 8.12%, down 13.2% from the same period last year. The total cotton output remained unchanged in the previous period, which was 5 million 905 thousand and 700 tons, down 3.35% from the same period last year. According to the subregional perspective, the estimated output of cotton in Xinjiang is 5 million 39 thousand and 500 tons, a decrease of 1.90% compared with the same period last year. The output of the Yangtze River Basin was 360 thousand and 500 tons, down 11.34% from the same period last year. The forecast output of the the Yellow River basin was 467 thousand tons, down 9.84% from the same period last year.

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In November, the processing speed of new cotton was speeded up, and the processing volume exceeded that of last year. By the end of November 30th, the total processing volume of the country was about 3 million 507 thousand tons, an increase of 0.65% over the same period last year. The purchase price was lower than last year, and the average purchase price of grade 3128 seed cotton in the 400 type cotton processing enterprises was 5.50 yuan / kg, down 15.90% compared to the same period last year. The purchase amount of seed cotton is decreasing in Xinjiang area and processing will end earlier than last year. The processing of the ginning mill in the mainland also entered the middle and late stages, and the seed cotton purchase increased. However, because of the price lower than last year, cotton farmers are reluctant to sell.

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In November, affected by the progress of Sino US trade negotiations, the textile market continued to pick up the trend in October for the first half of the month, and the purchasing power of cotton increased. However, the market in the second half of the month turned pale, and the market resumed weakness. Textile production increased slightly, yarn production increased by 0.7%, down 2.1% compared with the same period last year, and cloth production increased by 0.4%, down 3.5% compared to the same period last year. The raw material inventory of spinning enterprises is generally low, and the enthusiasm of replenishment has been improved. As of November 30th, the cotton stocks of textile enterprises were 723 thousand and 200 tons, up 13 thousand and 600 tons from the end of last month, representing a decrease of 143 thousand and 300 tons compared with the same period last year.

According to customs data, textile and apparel exports in November amounted to 22 billion 70 million US dollars, a decrease of 3.5% compared to the same period, a decrease of 4.3% over the same period last year, of which 9 billion 950 million US dollars in textile exports, 2% lower than the same month, down 3.5% compared with the same period last year, and the export volume of garments was 12 billion 120 million US dollars, a decrease of 4.7% over the same period, a decrease of 4.9% over the same period last year. 1-11 months, textile and apparel exports totaled 246 billion 880 million US dollars, down 2.7% from the same period last year, of which 109 billion 260 million US dollars in textile exports, a slight increase of 0.1% over the same period last year, and 137 billion 620 million US dollars in clothing exports, down 4.7% from the same period last year.

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In November, Sino US negotiations progressed smoothly, the market was relatively optimistic, demand for textile enterprises improved, and spot prices of cotton rose steadily. At the end of the month, China's cotton price index (CC Index3128B) was 13092 yuan / ton, up 121 yuan from the end of last month, and the monthly average price was 13060 yuan / ton, up 337 yuan, down 2502 yuan compared with the same period last year.

International cotton prices fell, and the difference between cotton prices inside and outside came down. The price index of China's imported cotton FC Index M is 75.63 cents / pound, up 0.36 cents in the month. The end of the month is 76.04 cents / pound, less than 0.96 cents / pound at the end of the first month, and 13256 yuan / ton under the 1% tariff, which is 164 yuan higher than that of the domestic stock at the same period, narrowing 283 yuan from the end of last month.

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In November, the new cotton market reached its peak. At the end of the month, the stock of cotton increased sharply, reaching a high point in the year. According to the China Cotton Association survey: by the end of November, the total cotton business inventory in China was about 4 million 496 thousand and 700 tons, an increase of 1 million 272 thousand and 400 tons from last month, up from 233 thousand and 700 tons last year.

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In November 14th, the State Grain and material reserve bureau and the Ministry of Finance issued a notice to strengthen the management of central cotton reserves, further optimize the reserve structure and improve the quality of reserves, and decide to turn in some new cotton. From December 2, 2019 to March 31, 2020, the total round trip time was about 500 thousand tons, and the central cotton reserve was purchased through the national cotton trading market.