Market Prosperity Monitoring Results, Highlights Data Analysis And Prediction

The monitoring results of the China Textile Joint circulation branch show that In August 2019, the national textile and apparel professional market managers' prosperity index was 49.73, up 0.27 percentage points from 49.46 in July, and the professional market business climate index was 50.93, up 1.76 percentage points from 49.17 in July.

Management boom and business boom

Data show that in August, the textile and garment professional market managers and business climate index rose slightly.

1, the manager's prosperity index increased by 0.27 percentage points.

　　 Data source: circulation branch database

From the manager's prosperity index, in August, the manager's prosperity index was 49.73, up 0.27 percentage points from 49.46 in July, and the operating environment index was 52.26, up 1.61 percentage points from 50.65 in July.

In the sub index, the total operating index was 50.65, an increase of 1.30 percentage points from 49.35 in July; the logistics delivery volume index was 50.65, a 1.62 percentage point increase from 49.03 in July; the passenger flow index was 49.68, a 0.97 percentage point increase over July 48.71; the opening rate index was 49.03, an increase of 48.71 percentage points lower than that in July; the rental index was 49.03, down by a percentage point compared with that in July; the electricity supplier sales index was less than that in July, a drop of 1% over that in July.

2, the business climate index increased by 1.76 percentage points.

　　 Data source: circulation branch database

From the business climate index, the business climate index of the total index is 50.93, up 1.76 percentage points from 49.17 in July, and the operating environment index is 52.70, up 3.27 percentage points from 49.43 in July.

In the sub index, the sales volume index was 52.48, an increase of 4.18 percentage points from 48.30 in July; the average selling price index was 51.84, up 4.39 percentage points from 47.45 in July; the profit index was 52.06, which was 3.62 percentage points higher than 48.44 in July; the comprehensive cost index was 48.87, an increase of 48.44 percentage points lower than that in July; the stock index was 48.87, down by a percentage point compared with that in July; and the electricity supplier sales index was less than that in July, a percentage point higher than that in July.

Highlight data analysis

1, the professional market is still in the off-season.

In August, the proportion of total market share increased by 25.81%, up 6.46 percentage points from 19.35% in July, and the proportion of the increase in market logistics delivery was 25.81%, up 9.68 percentage points from 16.13% in July. In August, the professional market sentiment index rebounded on the basis of July, but sales continued in the off-season. The total operating index was 50.65, the logistics delivery volume index was 50.65, the passenger flow index was 49.68, and the standard off-season is still continuing.

2, the overall cost index of business declines.

In August, the ratio of cost increase to merchants was 13.48%, up 9.22 percentage points from 4.26% in July, and the composite cost index was 48.87, which was 1.98 percentage points lower than that in July, indicating that the cost pressure of merchants in August is greater than that in July. In August, merchants increased investment and increased costs in the following aspects: design and production of autumn clothing, buying and selling of buyers, and series marketing activities of autumn clothes listing.

Prediction index

Data show that managers, the next management boom index is 53.55, an increase of 0.32 percentage points from 53.23 in July, and the next operating environment index is 53.23, up 0.65 percentage points from 52.58 in July. In terms of business, the next business climate index is 52.98, up 2.13 percentage points from 50.85 in July, and the operating environment index for the next period is 53.26, up 2.48 percentage points from 50.78 in July. In September, the professional market will soon usher in the selling season. Managers and merchants are more confident of sales in September.