In 2018, The Foreign Trade Market Of Shengze Fabrics Was Stable, And The Orders Of Cold Proof Fabrics Increased At The End Of The Year

As usual, The peak market season in the second half of the year depends on the domestic market orders and foreign orders 。 The market order has become a thing of the past. It came late and went very quickly. It ended in just two weeks. Then the only hope for a prosperous market in the second half of the year is the foreign trade order.

　　 Although Sheng Ze Textile market For example, the proportion of domestic sales orders is larger than that of export sales orders, but foreign trade also accounts for 40%, nearly half of which is also a large area. Therefore, The foreign trade order in the second half of the year will certainly affect the entire textile industry.

In recent years, foreign trade exports have been plagued by trade wars, especially the friction between China and the United States. Recently, the trade friction between China and the United States has eased, so whether the overall foreign trade situation has also improved? What influences the foreign trade market? So what is the answer? Let's explore it together.

　 What international markets are the export landlords of Shengze's foreign trade textile enterprises to cover at present? How about the recent foreign trade volume?

First of all, let's find out which foreign trade orders are mainly distributed international market 。 Recently, the China Silk Metropolis Collection and Editing Center has investigated several sample enterprises, and it is reported that there are many foreign trade orders in Southeast Asia, Europe, America, Japan, South Korea, South Africa, etc. According to the survey on the proportion of specific export regions, orders exported to South Korea and Japan accounted for the largest proportion, accounting for nearly a quarter. In addition, Bangladesh, Vietnam and other Southeast Asian countries also account for about 22.5% of the market orders; The orders in the United States, Italy and other European and American markets are also equal, accounting for nearly 21%; Other regions also have a certain share.

　　 Zekang Textile It is a foreign trade enterprise mainly engaged in Chunya textile, polyester taff, peach skin velvet and other fabrics. It is sold to Bangladesh, the United States, Japan and other places, and its main market is Bangladesh. Mr. Tang Zekang Textile said that the orders in September this year were OK, and the foreign trade orders since November have also improved, almost the same as the same period last year. Manager Chen of Sanfeng Outdoor Textile also said that in the middle of November, all brands began to place orders in a centralized manner. Compared with the same period last year, the order volume was about the same period, but throughout the year, the market felt better than last year.

The quantity of foreign trade orders is OK, and compared with domestic sales, the situation is optimistic. In terms of domestic sales, they all said that the market was cold in the second half of the year, and the number of orders was much lower than that in the first half of the year, more than half of that in the same period last year. Therefore, this year's foreign trade orders will have a profound impact on the whole market. Of course, the decline of domestic sales also affects foreign trade to a certain extent, but fortunately, it has little impact, so this year's foreign trade enterprises have a considerable life.

　 What are the main factors affecting the development of foreign trade in recent years, and how does the exchange rate affect the development of foreign trade?

When asked about the factors that affect the development of foreign trade, most enterprises answered that they were affected by foreign trade policies, especially Sino US trade. Although the Sino US trade war has not yet reached the fabric industry, many textile bosses said that they would not easily accept orders from the US market this year, or reduce the order volume, or do not consider entering the US market. In the context of the Sino US trade war, many other countries have made adjustments to tariffs, so tariffs are also an important factor affecting enterprises' order taking.

President Xu of Ouyuan Textile said: "International policies still have an impact on our orders, because our current orders are sent to Bangladesh, Vietnam and other places, but they are also only for processing. The final customers are European and American markets, so Sino US trade has a certain impact on end customers. If end customers reduce their orders, there will be fewer orders transmitted to our company." As a result, Southeast Asia is indeed deeply affected by Sino US trade.

In addition to policy factors, the price, quality and requirements of the fabric itself also affect the order. Manager Li of Vennings Textile, which specializes in producing functional fabrics, such as flame retardant, antibacterial and deodorant fabrics, anti-static functional fabrics, told the author: "Now foreigners are very sophisticated. In addition to cheap prices, quality requirements are also very high, and certificates and test reports should also be provided, which is a very tough hurdle. So if these are not or not up to standard, they will not give you the list. As for functional fabrics, our requirements are higher than those of ordinary fabrics, so doing our own products well is the first prerequisite. "

This year's RMB exchange rate is like riding a roller coaster! At the beginning of the year, the RMB/US dollar exchange rate rose rapidly from 6.5 to 6.3 in more than a month, with a rise of nearly 4%. In April, the RMB began to "fall continuously", and has dropped for eight consecutive times. So far, the decline has reached 8%. As of August 23, the offshore RMB exchange rate has fallen below the 6.84 threshold. Since the beginning of September, the exchange rate has declined again. As of today, the onshore RMB opened at 6.9492 against the US dollar. If this trend continues, there is a great possibility of breaking 7. The current exchange rate situation is very advantageous for the settlement of foreign exchange, but the large fluctuation of the exchange rate will also make the price of Boss Bu vary greatly when he quotes.

However, the recent exchange rate does not seem to have much impact on the orders of foreign trade enterprises. Apart from making people happy when settling foreign exchange again, other impacts are not significant. "At the beginning, the exchange rate really brought good profits to the enterprise, but now the customer also knows about the exchange rate, and this part will be taken into account when talking about prices, so the impact of the exchange rate is not big," said President Tang of Zhisheng Textile. President Li of Vinings Textile also said that the quotation to customers only lasts for one week, and if the exchange rate changes after one week, the price will also change, so the exchange rate has no impact on the order.

Although policy factors have a greater impact on foreign trade enterprises' order receiving, policies are beyond the control and prediction of enterprises. Exchange rate is also an uncontrollable factor. In the face of problems caused by exchange rate, many enterprises have already reached a consensus with customers and have taken countermeasures. Therefore, the enterprise can firmly grasp the quality of its own products.

What is the overall situation of foreign trade market in 2018? Is it possible to concentrate on replenishment before Christmas?

Based on these factors affecting foreign trade order receiving, the overall situation of textile foreign trade this year is fair. Compared with domestic sales, foreign trade is preferred. At present, foreign trade orders are relatively stable, and customer orders are placed in an orderly manner. In the second half of this year, small and medium-sized orders are mainly used, which is much smaller than last year. For example, customers may place orders for 20000 to 30000 meters in the past, but now they may place orders for 5000 meters. Although the number of orders is decreasing, the overall market is still stable.

　　 Sanfeng Outdoor Textile Manager Chen said, "There are not many orders in September and October, mainly in the spring and summer of 19. The most popular one is an elastic fabric made of PBT, which has better elasticity than mechanical elasticity, but better color fastness than four side elasticity. In addition, the yarn PBT raw material has its own moisture absorption and quick drying function." In the peak season of September, the overall quantity of foreign trade orders was OK, but some enterprises reported that, There are many foreign trade orders in July and August, but the situation in September is normal. This year's market is opposite to that in previous years. Of course, foreign trade is also affected by domestic sales. The deviation of domestic sales in the second half of the year makes the foreign trade in the second half of the year worse than that in the first half. This kind of joint effect is inevitable.

At the beginning, it was mentioned that when the goods preparation list before Christmas could be issued was a concern of downstream textile professionals. From the reflection of foreign trade enterprises, it can be seen that the stock before Christmas is not obvious now, and orders are placed earlier, so it is not shown before Christmas.

Mr. Tang Zekang Textile said that the Christmas list was ahead of schedule, which was basically completed last month. Some orders for the first half of next year have also been prepared, and some may take some time to release. Manager Chen of Sanfeng Outdoor Textile also said: "In fact, the orders before Christmas have been confirmed. Many of our customers are brand names, and the total sales of clothing are expected. Not surprisingly, orders will be placed from the middle of November until March and April next year." It can be seen that today's foreign trade orders will not be issued centrally before Christmas, Instead, they have prepared more in advance.

Does it mean that the foreign trade orders in the second half of the year will also be flat, and there will be no centralized order placement? In fact, it is not so. Although the list before the festival has been prepared, it does not rule out the possibility of placing another order or replenishing. Russia, the United States and other places will have a cold winter today Winter clothes The demand is a certain amount. Manager Hu of Lihe Textile said that at present, Russia and other places are interested in Fabrics for submachine suit There is a certain demand, and the orders are gradually increasing. Therefore, the possibility of centralized issuance of foreign trade orders from the middle of November to the end of December is also high.

　 How will the foreign trade market develop in the future? What are your expectations?

At present, with the industrial transfer, the textile industry of Southeast Asian countries, especially the garment industry, is constantly developing, but the development of local supporting industries takes time, so it needs to import a large number of yarns from China Gray cloth and fabric And other raw materials. In addition, for some countries in the Middle East, the impact of policy factors is very huge, and changes in the international situation often lead to unnecessary risks. Therefore, the foreign trade market is still greatly affected by the external macro influence, and the market situation next year is not very clear.

However, some Boss Bu is optimistic about his expectations for next year. It is believed that the source of fabrics is China, and there will be more orders in the next quarter if there are fewer orders in this quarter. The price of Chinese products is cheaper than that of Japan and South Korea, the quality is better than that of Vietnam, and the exchange rate is more objective, so the market will not be too bad next year.

[Editor's Note]: I can't give a clear answer to the situation of foreign trade next year. Although foreign trade enterprises are affected by frequent fluctuations in raw materials, Sino US trade war, obvious rise in exchange rate and other factors, enterprises can take product research and development as a powerful weapon, firmly grasp brand customers, and still have a certain share in the market.