The Era Of Change Is Coming: The Pressure Of Multiple Regulation Is Not Solved.

The grand blueprint of the "millennium plan" Xiong an new area made the stock market triple jump last week, but when the raging fire was about to spread, a more rapid and fierce fire fighting took place this week. Following the iron fist to control the high handed to the chaos, the Xiong an continuous trading theme stocks are all suspended, and then first borrow the Guangdong, Hongkong and Macau big bay area will study and formulate the development plan, and the Inner Mongolia autonomous region will soon be set up 70th anniversary, launched the theme stock shunt funds and drastic wages, finally, the stock market failed again in 3300 points. So, is there any opportunity for the future market?

First, the technology has shown the band top signal.

The five K line in this week is a cross between the sun and the sun, which shows that there have been obvious differences in the market and with the release, which means that the chips have been loosened and the degree of money game is increasing. At the same time, this week reached a maximum of 3295 points, which echoed with the 3301 points in November 29th last year. On the same day, the market traded 348 billion 100 million unilaterally, and this week's high day turnover was 326 billion 600 million, lower than the previous high point, which constituted a technical double head. We can see from the weekly line that the fall of the Yin line this week is 1.23%, which is a complete victory and dominate the market. After hitting 3044 points in January 16th, it has been running for thirteenth weeks. It is a cyclical inventory. Therefore, it is inevitable that the band callbacks are inevitable.

Of course, this band callback does not constitute a midline level. This is because, since last year, 2638 points have bottomed out, the index is subject to the 120 week line. At the same time, the bottom of the 3044 points has formed the starting point of the middle line, and the 3044-3295 point 13 week operation is the first wave of the new track on the middle line. The average line has formed a combination of long lines in the middle line. After the formation of this trend, it will be difficult to change. Even this callback will only be completed in the way of yin and Yang, and the duration will be 3-5 weeks.

Of course, the Shenzhen index is lagging behind the market and the gem index is even weaker. At present, the gem index's daily line is still digesting the hang up plate formed after a sharp fall after last December 2nd, and the magnitude of every trading day is not large. In addition, an interesting sign is that the 1783 point band of the gem has been in a state of heavy volume for three months since it bottomed out. This shows that it is instead a smoking area. Although the information technology policy of gem is extremely bad, it may be making a big market in the future. At present, the MACD index of the gem is going to be two times under the axis. Once the two golden fork is formed, it will start a big round this year, and it will take 3-5 weeks.

Two, multiple regulatory pressure short term pressure unsolved

The amount of information this week is huge, and there is internal reason for the leakage of the market. From the perspective of appearance, the speculation of Xiong an theme stock attracted limited funds in the field, making the other stocks in the market drop in hunger and thirst. Similarly, it was the suspension of the Xiong an theme stock, which made the market unable to stir up speculation and lack of confidence. Without the market of leading sheep, there was no benchmark, which brought the market down. However, in essence, it is because of the multiple negative factors on the market, or the market has not been in the right way to run. Therefore, we have to mention some policy factors.

One of the reasons is the uncertainty of the world situation. This week, the periphery is falling into an eventful year. The US side has started operations against Syria and Afghanistan. On the other hand, the entanglement with North Korea is also in the firing line. The gold plate has seen many changes in the stock market, and has shown a significant increase in the band. However, other stocks outside gold have already felt the pressure all over the world. Once there is a world-class unpeaceful factor, all stocks including gold stocks will be in a predicament.

Of course, it is difficult to see the approximate rate of the above events. From the perspective of the SFC, we can see from the perspective of refinancing, high dividend spanfer, futures and hype themes. Strong supervision has never stopped. Where there is a vision, the eye of regulation will be stared at. supervise The hand will stretch to where. Now, apart from the securities industry, the other two sessions have already started.

One line and three will exert great strength, large-scale and all-round supervision, forcing many unqualified funds out of the stock market, forcing many unreasonable investment behaviors to fade out of the stock market for a long time. The market feels the icy cold wind in the justice of regulation, and the popularity has been seriously frustrated, and the adjustment is inevitable.

Three, risks and opportunities coexist in the changing era.

This week Yin and Yang alternate K line, and appeared in the plate, such as bank stocks also encountered a big single sell, all of which reflected the fund's unease.

Liu Shiyu recently raised new requirements for cash dividends of listed companies. A share market It caused a strong reaction, so that the company sent the group to a higher limit, especially those who sent 10 to 30. Later, they sent the high turnover to low delivery every day. In fact, dividends can be made, but dividends are actually in addition to interest. Investors have to pay taxes and eventually lose more. Therefore, the author believes that the regulator should expect the listed companies to restore dividends to have the function of investment value, rather than to intervene in the listed companies' dividends and not to send them to higher levels. In this way, high delivery and spanfer New shares In recent years, there should be a resumption of high quality themes.

This week, the theme of the big bay area in Guangdong, Hongkong and Macau has been on fire for three days, and the theme of Inner Mongolia has changed on Friday. These types of false subjects are not worth the speculation. I believe that this news is balanced by the overheating of Xiong an. This theme has a certain value, because it has support and interaction with Hongkong, but it must be much weaker than the value of Xiong an New District, because the big bay area is improved, and Xiong an is a reform, so it is even more impossible to allow the stir fried.

Finally, let's talk about whether the concept of "Xiong an" is worth speculation. Xiong an's premises are not allowed to fry, do not stir fry, do not stir fry; similarly, Xiong an stock is not allowed to fry, not to fry, not to fry. Xiong an ticket, to invest, is a big investment in a thousand years. Many small and beautiful tickets, which benefit from the construction of Xiong an, can be invested. The flexibility of these companies is large, generally only a few billion billion market capitalization, Xiong an new district has just started, there will be any planning and construction policies and news at any time, so every drop of the layout of Xiong an down shares, is a good opportunity for investment.

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