China Leads Cotton City To Pay Attention To Research Value
Extended storage and torsion. cotton The expectation of the market is that the interest of traders in the stock market has been greatly reduced, and the pressure of selling cotton has already increased sharply. The recent drop and storage of RPG means that the future can be launched. market Of Reserve cotton There will be more and more; if we shoot 5000 tons a day, it will be 50 thousand tons in 10 working days, which means that there will be enough guarantee for 30 thousand tons per day in the future. At present, the market's worries about supply are disappearing, and the selling pressure of inventories is increasing. Another month into the new cotton year, although the new cotton will not be listed soon, but market psychology will no longer worry about the supply of cotton.
However, cotton will not be "bear" anymore. The condition for cotton to continue with "bear" is that the cash available on the market is not enough to supply the reserve cotton, which is more than demand. At present, we do not have this condition. The new cotton year also needs the replenish of cotton to meet the needs of production. As long as the market needs cotton reserves, the cotton will not bear. Therefore, the cotton market is returning to a rational state.
Don't worry about American cotton leading the market. Because some people buy American cotton, the United States cotton can rise; and only cotton yarn sales, Chinese yarn price rise, will someone buy the United States cotton. Therefore, China can only lead the cotton market. If China's cotton prices drop and cotton yarn prices fall, the interest in buying cotton will surely drop. At present, the rational throw and storage of cotton reserves has made the cotton market return to reason, and the stability of cotton prices has been a goal pursued by management for a long time, and this goal is being realized.
From the graphic point of view, the bean oil may have the shape of the head and shoulders. It is worth buying at 30 cents / pound, stopping 1 cents / pound, about 3%. If 10% capital is used, the scale of the stop loss is 3%, acceptable; if the bottom of the head and shoulders is formed, it will break through 35 cents / pound. Now, the current position will not only return far more than 3% (when breaking 35 cents / pound, the return is 17%), and the most important thing is that you find the end of the situation, which will help enormously in the future. This is the game, pure game, not a little basic research.
You can also continue to look at the empty space, as long as your reasons are adequate. If you look right, the above operation is bound to stop. Technical methods do not need opinions, so those who praise technical analysis despise research. They constantly stop their losses and find the opportunities they want; their ability to fight against them needs to be particularly strong, otherwise they will soon collapse. Investors who study carefully and then trade can be less vulnerable, because they are far less likely to be hit than those who live on technology trading.
In the long run, the value of research is far greater than the value of operation. If the research is well done, the operation is very simple, just order, not much skill. The technical investors are very demanding on the operation. He needs to find the key point - the price point and the point of time, that is, the point of time and space, but the probability of finding it is very low, so it is very difficult. And investors based on fundamental operations only need to find out an interval, for example, the price of cotton can be up to 300 yuan at 12500 yuan per ton, which is easy to close. Therefore, research is of great value. People with high operation level are wizards who can not reproduce; ordinary people are more suitable to conduct transactions through research.
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