Yu Hongxing'S Interpretation Of The Stock Market Will Remain Volatile In The Late Stage
This week we will analyze the motherboard and observe the running state of each cycle.
First look at the monthly line, the pressure of the current monthly line is the October line, corresponding to 3060, the highest rush to 3069 this month is the obstruction of the October line pressure. After finishing the pressure of this position, it can directly see the height of 3350.
The most important support on the monthly line is near line 2960 in May, which is a concussion at the end of the year. If there is a chance of low absorption for 2960,
At present, the market is viewed from the monthly line, which is running in the 3070-2960 interval and is going to break through the pressure of the October line. The market will be broad and wide, which is also not afraid of falling down. Because the position and state of the index shown by the top and bottom of the monthly line are obviously at the bottom of the monthly line level, and there is no room for adjustment. Most of them are worn at the bottom for a longer time. Finally, we must launch a decent market, so the second half of the year is bright, but it does not exclude the twists and turns of the road.
Let's take a look at the recent two waves on the weekly line, which are 2638-3097 waves, rebounded for 10 weeks, then adjusted for 4 weeks, and this market is just tenth weeks from 2781. On the one hand, it is just blocking the window of time, on the other hand,
Technical index
It's overbought, so this week's adjustment is normal. That's why I pointed out that the market was going to be volatile last week.
Then the question is coming. Will there be a 4 week adjustment like the 3097 high point? I don't think so. The reasons are as follows: first, the rebound from 2781 is a completely new market, and the channel line is also successful. But 2638-3097 of the rebound line is not pure gold, and it belongs to the pure technology rebound.
rebound
理應比2638-3097的反彈更具持續性,而5178以來的歷次反彈就只有2850-3684的反彈是形成了通道金叉的,那波反彈持續了17周,所以就算本次行情只是技術性的反彈行情,從時間上看,也遠遠沒有結束;二是我們觀察前面兩波反彈,2850-3684,反彈了近834點;2638-3097的反彈,反彈了459點,按最小空間459計算,行情最少也應該是3240或之上,而本月前期高點3069與之相差甚遠,而實際上本次行情的性質應該比2638-3097,甚至比2850-3684的空間應該要更大,也就是空間應該在834之上,也就是行情最少也應該在3600附近,所以空間上行情也不支持結束;三是近三周的反彈,行情持續放出頂天量柱峰,這也是5178以來首次出現這種技術形態,這代表目前的行情與5178的歷次反彈性質都不同,而是5178以來的一次全新行情,它的時間空間理應更長更大。
1) the market is far from over, and the support strength of short-term observation is 3007. Once this position is lost, it can be referred to low absorption near 2968; 2) at present, the weekly bear bull line is located at 2969, and the closing of the weekly line has not fallen below this position. Every time it falls down, it is a low chance to absorb, and it will also repeatedly shock and rebound.
Let's look at the weekly line.
technical conditions
At present, the pressure on the weekly line is 120 weekly line 3062 and 60 weeks line 3300. The 3069 high point of this month is the result of blocking the 120 month line pressure. After shaking and finishing, after breaking this position pressure, it will further operate near the 60 week line 3300. At present, the support of the weekly line is 2994 5 weeks line. If there is a situation of breaking the 5 line, there will not be much room for downwards. If it is affected by the bad air, it will hit the periphery line of the line, and dare to suck down.
Let's take a look at the daily line, the daily line or the competition for the 5 day line. There will be another chance to attack 3100 near the 5 day line. At present, the short line support is near the 20 day line 3007. The lowest point on Friday is just down this position. Next week, we will continue to observe the gains and losses of this position. Once we lose 3007, we will further seek support from 2968.
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