Does The Us Raise Interest Rates And Get The Chinese Economy'S Face?

Interest rate is one of the main tools of the central bank's monetary policy.

The impact of interest rate cuts on the economy and stock market is two-sided and complex.

The central bank's interest rate increase means tightening monetary policy. From a simple logic, it means that the stock market will be less capital and the stock market will fall.

But from a comprehensive perspective, raising interest rates means better economic data, lower commodity prices and suppressed inflation, which are good themes for the stock market in the long run.

In view of the fact that the stock market in the world is not the reverse of the economic and stock market and the interest rate cycle, Japan's interest rate dropped to zero in the 90s of last century when the stock market bubble burst. In the past twenty years, the stock market and the economy remained at a low level. The US has resumed growth since 2014, and the monetary policy has turned to neutral. The interest rate is facing an increase in interest rate expectations, but the stock market has risen from 15000 to 18000 points.

In particular, it is against the US's interest rate increase as an important reference factor when predicting the rise and fall of China's stock market.

The rise and fall of China's Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets are mainly determined by various factors in China, which are the lowest in the world.

The United States implemented loose monetary policy in early 2009, and the interest rate dropped to zero.

Leading the world stock market to the present.

However, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets remained at a 2000 point interval until May 2014.

The US interest rate cut will not rise in China, so why does China's stock market raise interest rates?

Regrettably, many domestic

In particular, some professional market people are always used to consider whether the United States increases interest rate as a primary factor to judge the ups and downs of the stock market.

On Tuesday, the media announced that there were two important and valuable news: first, the State Security Administration's company bought shares such as Bank of communications and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank; the two is the National Social Security Fund Ordinance, and 600 billion of the national pension and social security funds are stepping up the pace of admission.

However, on Tuesday, the stock market did not go up but fell.

Asked the reasons for all aspects of the market, they said that the United States announced the night to raise interest rates.

As a result, Yellen spoke in the evening: "we must be cautious in raising interest rates".

On the second day, Wednesday, China's major indexes rose sharply.

Most investors are happy when the stock market rises, but why do they wait until the US postpones interest rates to buy Chinese stocks? The idea of paying too much attention to the increase in interest rates in the US does not suit the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets.

Interestingly, the Fed chairman Yellen's speech at the beginning is: "affected by the slowdown in China's economy and the fall in oil prices......"

That is to say, whether or not the United States raises interest rates will have to refer to China's economic conditions, oil prices and other commodity prices. It also depends on the color of the Chinese economy. The world's manufacturing, trade and export is the largest country in China.

The United States is only in the high-tech, financial services industry, and its comprehensive national strength is ahead of China.

Therefore, if Chinese investors buy or sell stocks, they should first be concerned about the national policies on the stock market. When the social security fund is again entering the market on a large scale, when the pensions and safe companies are coming in again, you are still hesitant, depending on whether the US raises interest rates or not.

The world is changing day by day, and the idea of speculates should keep pace with the times and adapt to the new situation and new era.