Cotton Sales Are Still In The Doldrums, And Falling Prices Are Useless.

According to the national cotton market monitoring system, the survey data of 1837 households in 87 counties and 14 provinces and cities showed that as of February 19, 2016, the new cotton harvest had ended.

For 93.3%, the mainland sale rate was 77.6%, which was flat with the pre holiday period, and the Xinjiang sale was over.

According to the estimated output of domestic cotton, 5 million 216 thousand tons (national cotton)

The system predicted in November 2015 that as of February 19th, the total processing lint 4 million 636 thousand tons in the whole country decreased by 723 thousand tons compared with the same period last year, which is 1 million 864 thousand tons less than that in the normal years of the past four years.

Among them, 3 million 570 thousand tons of lint were processed in Xinjiang, 2 million 490 thousand tons of lint were sold, 215 thousand tons less than the same period last year, 2 million 672 thousand tons less than the normal years in the past four years, of which Xinjiang sells 1 million 621 thousand tons of lint.

According to 89 large and medium-sized enterprises

As of February 19th, most enterprises did not start processing.

At present, the national processing rate is 95.6%, an increase of 4.4 percentage points over the same period last year, an increase of 0.9 percentage points over the normal years of the past four years, of which the processing rate in Xinjiang is 97.6%, and the sales rate is 51.3%, an increase of 5.3 percentage points over the same period last year, a 22.9 percentage point lower than that in the normal years of the past four years, of which the sales rate in Xinjiang is 44.3%.

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As the upstream and downstream textile enterprises returned to normal, there was a small quantity of shipments in the last two days. The shipment was basically the order before the holiday. As the number of enquiries increased, a small number of new orders were also placed. As a whole, the market after the festival began to start, and the market development was mainly after the first fifteen months.

This week (February 15th -21), all fields just started to resume production, and the textile market of Hebei Lu Yu did not show any improvement.

Raw materials: one week after the start of the week, there are some cotton textile enterprises and the cotton processing enterprises inside and outside the country are still in a semi vacation state, so the market starts slowly, but this week's cotton quotation has a reduction of 100-200 yuan / ton, and the current quotation is also tentative for cotton enterprises, because there is no support for downstream orders.

Industry analysis: it is expected that domestic cotton prices will likely show a downward trend in the first half of the year, and cotton prices will basically reach a dynamic balance at home and abroad in the second half of this year.

The price of PET staple is at 6400 yuan / tonne this week, and the price of viscose staple fiber is currently maintained at 12800 yuan / ton.

Yarn: by the end of this week, the operating rate of the textile enterprises in Hebei and Henan provinces has reached 95%. Only some small factories and inefficient enterprises are still hesitating, considering whether they can persist after starting.

At present, Shandong, Hebei, Henan and other places of small and medium-sized spinning low and medium yarn enterprises, because of fierce competition, conventional products are low risk, low profits, plus the overall cost is basically calculated at a loss, the result of a vicious cycle can only be shut down.

Besides, many cotton textile enterprises enjoying preferential policies in the early stage of Xinjiang's factories and factories will produce large quantities of conventional yarn coming into the mainland this year, which will seriously impact on the mainland counterparts. Therefore, many enterprises in this situation are actively looking for a way out, adjusting their product mix, carrying out pformation operations, and dragging themselves out of the vicious cycle of marsh and embarking on a virtuous circle.

Although there are ideas, but the process is painful and long, only to see if we can stick to it.