This Year, Capital Outflow Pressure Will Ease Exports And Is Expected To Stop.

According to the data released by the General Administration of customs, China exported 1 trillion and 140 billion yuan and imported 737 billion 540 million yuan in January, down 6.6% and 14.4% respectively from the same period last year.

The trade surplus reached 406 billion 200 million yuan in the month and expanded by 12.2%.

In response, Xu Gao, chief economist of Everbright Securities, said in an interview with reporters that the pressure on capital outflow will be eased as the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike is expected to decrease, the pressure of RMB depreciation will be reduced and the stability of exchange rate will be enhanced.

Hao Daming, an analyst with Huarong securities, said that import and export decreased in January, both of which were lower than expected. There may be disturbances in the data of Spring Festival.

The actual situation needs to be judged by the data in January and February. It is predicted that the export growth rate in February will be higher than that in January.

Policy orientation still needs steady growth, especially investment and

Put it in a prominent position, and continue to increase the intensity of steady growth.

Shen Wan Hongyuan analyst Li Huiyong said it expects this year.

Or stop.

On the one hand, the external environment in 2016 will be slightly better than that in 2015.

IMF predicts that the global economic growth rate will be around 3.4% this year, a slight increase of 0.3 percentage points over last year. The trend of global economic recovery will continue, and the external demand is expected to improve.

"On the other hand, accompanied by RMB

The adjustment of the RMB's real exchange rate and the excessive suppression of exports may be eased.

Overall, China's export or stop fall in 2016 will be expected to boost China's economy.

Li Huiyong said.

Zhang Gang, an analyst at Zhongyuan securities, said that in January, foreign trade data showed that the current macroeconomic situation in China still showed a low level of operation. Investors would still expect regulators to introduce corresponding policies in the future to boost the economy.

"The poor export figures in January were mainly due to the sluggish export of labour intensive industries.

Import and export data will also have a certain impact on the stock prices of listed companies such as Electromechanical, textile and other labor-intensive industries.

Xiao Benhua, executive director of the Pudong Research Institute of Shanghai Finance University, said in an interview with the Securities Daily reporters.