The Stock Market Is Strong At The End Of The Year, Do You Know?

At the end of each year, the stock market is "garbage time". It is hard to slump and difficult to rise when the business is down.

People can only reduce their expectations on the basis of this year's fruitful results, pick up individual stocks, disperse positions, and be patient, waiting for the coming year and creating brilliant future.

This week, in addition to

The other three indexes are taken out of the sun line except for 36 points.

The Shanghai Composite Index rose 50 points, the Shenzhen Composite Index rose 150 points, and the medium and small board rose 142 points.

The Shanghai Composite Index also broke through the high 3678 points of the autumn grabbing market and hit a new high of 3684, confirming my prediction.

Next week there will be only 4 trading days ending on the end of the year.

I still expect that the market will remain strong.

Above, it is expected to impact, or even take the 3699 line of the year, perfect ending.

Below, there are two strong support: one is the five week moving average, 3520 points this week (next week will rise), two is the 60 day line, this week at 3469 o'clock (next week will raise).

If there is no accident, next week, the stock market will shrink in this area and finish the stock market paction in 2015.

The main points are as follows:

The central economic work conference and the central city work conference have set the main tasks of next year's economy: to go to real estate inventory, to excess capacity, acquisition and merger, reform and innovation, pformation and upgrading, and increase direct financing.

This will give investors of all styles good expectations for the stock market next year.

A large number of chips are in the hands of institutions.

Due to the stock market crash this summer, the government launched the 1 trillion and 500 billion bailout, the national team has a large number of chips, 21 brokerages rescue alliance once again promised not to reduce the following 4500 points.

In this way, the turnover of institutions for year-end closing accounts is much lighter than in the past year.

This year, the Shanghai Composite Index has little or no profit margin.

Last year, the Shanghai Composite Index rose from 2115-3234 to 52.9%.

This year is a small year, from 3234 - 3627 points this Friday, or only 12.1%, Shen Zhi index rose only 17.8%.

In the first half of the year, the profit taking has been basically digested in the stock market crash, and the profit margin accumulated throughout the year is also very limited.

The rule change of IPO stimulates the willingness of the market to do more.

From January next year, IPO will be abolished by cash advance and replaced by market value.

This has prevented the huge fluctuation of stock market triggered by the big move of the two purchase funds in the past, and made the market trend more stable.

In addition, the demand for new year's supplementary annual reports led to the relative vacuum period of expansion in January, causing investors to treasure the chips.

If 3 trillion new funds are to be profitable in the stock market, they must buy a certain amount of stock and join the long queue, so that the demand for the market in the end of this year and the beginning of next year will be greater than supply.

This is the reason why the volume of recent trading volume has shrunk, but it has been able to repeatedly push the diving market and relax the market.

The main disadvantage is that in January 8th of next year, the ban on "no more than 5% of major shareholders can be reduced for half a year" will be expired in the stock market crash.

By then, 2800 shareholders have been suppressed for six months, the large shareholders to reduce impulse, will focus on the eruption, this is with the usual restricted stock small batch gradual lifting of the ban is very different chips big expansion.

It is expected that quite a lot of stocks will encounter the black swan event, resulting in a short-term imbalance between supply and demand, and the share price will fall.

Especially since this year.

Small and medium-sized board rose 77.9%, the gem rose 89.9%, a large number of shares rose several times, the largest number of the history of the one hundred or two hundred yuan of high priced stocks.

There is no doubt that the desire of large and medium-sized shareholders to reduce their holdings is even higher.

In particular, the major shareholders of some listed companies have taken a fancy to the market that they prefer 10 to 10, 10 to 15 and 10 to 20, and forget that the stock price has already overdrawn the value of the risk ahead of time. The high delivery scheme can be used as a bait to stimulate the market to advance the stock price in advance, while the large shareholder will take advantage of the high price reduction, and even the gold company will hold on to it.

People must keep a high level of vigilance against the high priced stocks that are likely to be sent up to catch up, guard against being caught in the high position, make timely and decisive changes in stocks, and gain profits and avoid risks.

Therefore, since December, the stock price of one hundred or two hundred yuan in gem has shown a trend of continuous downward trend. The adjustment may continue to January, and it will also be affected by the diversion of funds after the opening of Shanghai strategic emerging board next spring.

More and more rational investors have been aware of the risks, fear and discourage and are making profits.

Once the gem becomes weak and weak, it will also affect the mood of the main board investors.

Secondly, the bad news is that the CBRC and the CIRC issued a document recently to check and standardize the source of huge sums of money raised by the insurance fund to raise the price of cards, quickly extinguished the tide of risk raising and raising stocks and the tide of stock raising, and there was a continuous dive and capital fled, thereby reducing the vitality of the market.

Again, some of the financial services, industrial institutions, private equity funds and public funds, need to pay dividends at the end of the year, cash some chips.

Therefore, next Thursday, if too impulsive, pull up the large cap stocks, the end of the year will be too high, to prevent the risk of flight escape.

I also hope that at the end of the year, the index will be lower, and the chances of individual stocks will be bigger and safer.

It's ideal at around 3600.

The last 4 trading days at the end of the year will be the norm.

Can we see whether there will be a lot of money coming into the market after the 3 trillion new funds are thawed next Tuesday?

In the case of large market share and shrinking trading volume, stock funds can only find opportunities in small and medium sized, medium and low price, potential high growth, restructuring and upgrading stocks, venture capital stocks and ST shares.

In particular, we should pay close attention to the continuous volume of new stocks in the low position just after entering the field.

The strong trend of these plates to win the market in December has shown the vitality of this hot spot. They will still be the most potential and rising market hot spots in spring next year.