Xinjiang Cotton Has Entered The Picking Season Or Boosted Cotton City.

The total area of cotton in Xinjiang and the regiment decreased by 6 million 140 thousand mu, with a reduction of about 15.3%, and the total yield reduction was estimated at about 730 thousand tons, with a reduction of about 15%.

There are two factors to explain this: first, the predicted reduction is too large.

Because it is calculated according to the average yield per mu, but the actual situation is that the area of Xinjiang's reduction is mainly based on low yield and secondary cotton fields. Two, Xinjiang experienced a rare high temperature in August this year, though cotton production is still higher than last year or even.

Therefore, this year's cotton production in Xinjiang is unlikely to be reduced to millions of tons, as predicted by some people, only under 730 thousand tons.

At present, Xinjiang cotton has entered the picking season. On the one hand, cotton farmers are actively recruiting flower pickers. On the other hand, ripener and defoliant agents are being sprayed on machine picked cotton, and only wait for leaf mining.

Xinjiang has become the focus area of cotton in the whole country. All cotton parties are concerned about the quality, output and price here.

I remember last month, a cotton futures personage said that the specific value of cotton production in Xinjiang can not be clearly stated now, but this data is very important, not only affects the price of new cotton and futures trend, but also will make certain use for the next round out plan of cotton reserves.

Indeed, in 2015 cotton production in Xinjiang affected many people's hearts.

Then, in 2015, how much cotton output in Xinjiang? Xinjiang cotton just entered the picking season, at present, the specific output is not good judgement, but according to the relevant government agencies statistics last year data, we can roughly estimate.

According to the statistics of the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region agriculture department, in 2014, the cotton planting area in Xinjiang reached 29 million 670 thousand mu, of which the basic farmers' planting area reached 17 million 860 thousand mu, and the agricultural production and operation units reached 11 million 810 thousand mu, and the total output of cotton reached 3 million 100 thousand tons.

In 2015,

The cotton planting area was reduced by 4 million 790 thousand, and the area decreased by 16.1%.

If the average yield per square metre of cotton in Xinjiang is calculated in 2014, the reduction in 2015 will be estimated at around 500 thousand tons (the specific calculation is 3 million 100 thousand tons, 29 million 670 thousand mu * 4 million 790 thousand mu).

In April 16, 2015, on the three two session of the China Cotton Association, the Xinjiang production and Construction Corps

Liang Dongya, general manager of the company, said that the cotton output of the Corps reached 1 million 760 thousand tons in 2014.

According to the statistical results released by the Bureau of statistics of the Corps, as of June 25, 2015, the cotton planting area of the Corps was 9 million 150 thousand mu, a decrease of 1 million 350 thousand mu from the previous year and a decrease of 12.9%.

According to the cotton yield per mu of the Corps in 2014,

The reduction in production amounts to about 230 thousand tons (the specific calculation method is 1 million 760 thousand tons * 10 million 500 thousand mu * 1 million 350 thousand mu).

The above theoretical data are only personal predictions of the author, and the actual figures are based on the figures issued by the relevant statistical organizations.

If the yield reduction data plus the number of cotton production in the mainland is reduced, it may boost the cotton market this year.