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    Interpretation Of The Stock Market: 3000 Points Can Be Gradually Built In The Middle Line.

    2015/9/5 15:55:00 23

    Stock MarketA ShareMarket Quotation

    3000, the investors in the medium and long term, with the undervalued stocks, have reached the position of gradually setting up positions. Even if they are caught for a short time, if they insist on "undervalued + long holding", they will be able to make profits or even win the market.

    Short term investors are now in a position to rebound.

    Good at catching up and lowering the leek, please note that the current position, please change your habits, select the undervalued growth stocks can hold, even if the current does not rise, it does not matter, and eventually will increase, for fear that you will change for a good rise, after buying will be adjusted; and you sell the opposite and began to rise.

    In the near future, the Shanghai Composite Index came to 3000 points near a lament and fell to a minimum of 2850 points.

    Empty eyes think that it will fall to 2500 points, and even have a bearish 2000 points. Of course, there is no lack of thinking that the 2850 point is the bottom of this round of adjustment.

    In short, the view is divided here.

    What I want to say here is that it is better to underestimate the value of stocks than to predict the position.

    Therefore, we set aside the spot prediction and analyze the opportunity cost of 3000 points only.

    From the macroeconomic perspective, the downward trend of economic growth, the pressure of deflation is serious, and the industrial growth rate has dropped in July, showing some downward pressure, and there is no substantial support for the rise of the stock market.

    However, judging from the trend of stock market in different countries, the ups and downs of the stock market do not fully reflect the quality of the economy.

    Buffett once said that after the US stock crash in 1929, the best year for the Dow rose was in 1955, while 1955 was a pretty bad year for the US economy.

    It was from that year that the Dow Jones index opened its 29 year bull market in 2004.

    It can be seen that stock market is a barometer of macro-economy, but the correlation between short-term trend and macroeconomic is relatively low.

    Besides, China's economy has reached a low point now. At the worst time, it has arrived. What else is there to fear? Since the two quarter, China's economy has shown signs of stabilization and recovery.

    Judging from the current policy, whether the reduction of interest rates, the reduction of excessive speculation in stock index futures, the thorough investigation of securities crimes, the thorough investigation of rumours, or the issuance of certificates, all show the strong expectation of the country in stabilizing and recovering the stock market.

    Although the performance of the stock market is still not satisfactory, do not underestimate the control of the management.

    Follow up, if we can not stop, the country will introduce more powerful measures, there are still many cards in the country.

    According to foreign media reports and disk observation, around four p.m. on Wednesday afternoon, the big business quickly pulled up. Is this the general capital to do? Therefore, in the short term or even 4500 points, the policy is favorable to the stock market, and there will be no major bad news.

    From the perspective of funds, although the current stock fund game, in fact, the chips do not flow as many as you think.

    It is reported that the securities account

    Bond

    There is no significant outflow, which means that money is still in the securities account, just waiting to wait and see.

    Moreover, the short market left is a potential bull market. Investors will step in after 3 lines, and technology investors will enter after shrinking.

    In short,

    Capital side

    There is no pessimism imaginable.

    Look at the technical side, I usually only see the volume and moving average, the technical aspects of the public in the face of emotional control is useless.

    Personally, it is considered that technical analysis serves the fundamentals and can not be used as a decisive basis.

    But comprehensive technical analysis shows: "the 2850 point has been confirmed as the bottom of the near term, and the short-term market is expected to continue to rebound, but the volume of the future market can determine the height of the market rebound, and it is also the key to challenge the pressure near the 3200 point."

    Select two representative, most technical analysts believe that this time there is a rebound demand, short-term see 3200 points.

      

    Emotional plane

    It can be categorized as the biggest factor in helping to rise and fall.

    That is to say, most retail investors are not strong enough to manage their emotions when faced with investment difficulties.

    In fact, in the face of investment predicament, the better the managers who manage their emotions and maintain emotional stability and less emotional influence, the better their stock performance.

    At the 3000 point, the killing has already killed most of the people, who can stick to it, or are good at leek leaways, or have experienced and good old stock holders.

    The three positive lines change the three views. At this relatively low level, the negative impact of emotion on the stock market has become smaller, but it is brewing positive emotions.


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