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    You Must Understand These Questions.

    2015/5/29 16:01:00 38

    Distribution Of Social WealthStock Speculation

      

     

    1. about yield


    If you have 1 million, 100% of your earnings and 2 million of your assets, if you lose 50% next, then return to 1 million. Obviously, it's much easier to lose 50% than to earn 100%.

    2. about ups and downs

    If you have 1 million, after the first day, the assets will reach 1 million 100 thousand after the daily limit, and then the second day limit will result in the remaining 990 thousand of assets. Conversely, the first day will be down, the second day will be limited, and the assets will still be 990 thousand yuan.

    3. about volatility

    If you have 1 million, earn 40% in the first year, 20% in second years, 40% in third years, 20% in fourth years, 40% in fifth years, sixth in sixth years, and $8 in assets, and the annual yield of annual yield is only below zero, even lower than the coupon value of certificate coupons.

    4. about 1% per day

    If you have 1 million, you don't need a daily limit every day, you only need to earn 1% to leave the field. Then you can calculate your assets by 12 million 32 thousand in one year and 250 in each year, and you can sit 145 million after two years.

    5. about 200% per year

    If you have 1 million, 200% consecutive years 5 yield, then 5 years later you can also have 243 million yuan of personal assets, obviously such a high yield is very difficult to sustain.

    6. about 10 times in 10 years.

    If you have 1 million, hope to reach 10 million in ten years, 100 million in twenty years, and 1 billion yuan in thirty years, then you need to achieve 25.89% annual yield.

    7. about filling positions

    If you buy 10 thousand yuan when you buy a stock of 10 yuan, now you fall to 5 yuan to buy 10 thousand yuan, the holding cost can be reduced to 6.67 yuan, not 7.50 yuan you imagined.

    8. about holding costs

    If you have 1 million yuan and invest 10% in a stock, when you make a decision to sell, you can try to keep a market value of 100 thousand yuan, then your holding cost will drop to zero, then you can hold it for a long time without any pressure.

    If you are very optimistic about the development of the company, you can also leave 200 thousand of the market value of stocks. You will find that your profit has increased from 10% to 100%. Don't be complacent, because if the stock falls more than 50%, you may still lose money.

    9. about asset portfolio

    Whether there is a risk asset A (5% per annum) and the risk assets B (-20% to 40% per annum), if you have 1 million, you can invest 80 000 risk free assets A and 200 thousand risk assets B, then the worst income of your whole year may be zero, and the best return may be 12%, which is the prototype of the CPPI technology applied to capital preservation fund.

    10. about short selling

    If you have 1 million,

    Margin trading

    If you short a stock, the maximum rate of return you may have is 100%. If your short stock falls down, there is no upper limit on the rate of return, so don't be permanently short if you don't believe that human society will move forward.

    11. about gambling profits

    After analyzing the 1000 data of Macao gamblers, the probability of winning and losing is 53% and 47%. Among them, the average profit of the winner is 34%, while that of the person who loses the money is 72%.

    Guarantee fairness

    Relying on the weakness of human nature, we can continue to make profits.

    The same goes for the stock market.

    12. about the future of money

    If you deposit 10 thousand of your descendants into the bank, the annual interest rate is 5%, then 200 years later, it will go to 1 million 315 thousand. If the country's monetary issue growth rate stays above 10% (now China's broad money M2 is 107 trillion, the annual growth rate is 14%), the total amount of China's currency will break through 14 billion 745 million 250 thousand trillion yuan in 100 years.

    It is only a matter of time if the currency system collapses at this rate. Not only China but also the whole world will face the reconstruction of monetary system.

    The growth rate of currency issuance will gradually move down to less than 2%, and the rate of return of 20% a year will not be easy for Chinese people to realize.

    13. probability of successful investment

    If your investment success rate is 60%, that means you invest 100 times continuously, including 60 profit and 40 loss.

    If you set the stop and stop losses to 10% and -10%, that means the final yield is 350% (1.1^60*0.9^40=4.50).

    Interpretation: Yes, small partners have been blinded by your eyes, 3.5 times the yield! And next you need to think about how you can ensure that your winning rate is 60%. Don't take it for granted. This success rate is almost impossible for most people.

    14. about stop loss

    Soros said he didn't care about the odds of winning and losing, and he hoped to make more money than when he was losing money.

    Let's assume that our profit margin is 10% per stop, and each stop is -5%. Then invest 100 times continuously, assuming that the winning probability is 50%, which means that your final yield is 803.26% (1.1^50*0.95^50=9.0326).

    Interpretation: Yes, you are not mistaken. The yield is 800%.

    The premise is that you can firmly stop the damage and stop the profit. Secondly, can you guarantee that the probability of 50% will achieve more chance of stopping profits?

    15. about normal distribution

    Many things in the world show normal distribution, for example, the ratio of genius to fools is very small, and most of the mediocre people are also.

    Distribution of social wealth

    The rich and the poor show a normal distribution, and too much of human height, weight and so on are in a normal distribution.

    No matter bull and bear market, the rise and fall of all stocks will show a normal distribution compared with the large ones.

    When you want to get the excess, you must have a certain factor or a capability that has also reached the very small area where the distribution is too high.

    If you do not have this ability, what should I do? Of course, life is the core competitiveness of investment, but do not forget that fate will be normal distribution.

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