The National Market Price Is Not "Market", Cotton Farmers Are Injured.
If that's true, I think it's wonderful, but I think it seems to be flickering again.
Why do I say so?
First of all, the first subsidy is now devolved, which should be subsidized by 70% by area.
What is the concept of 191 yuan per mu? Assuming that the average yield per mu in Xinjiang is 120 kilograms, the following are the calculations.
Set a unit yield of Y, Y=120 kg / mu, known 1 kg =0.001 tons, then Y=0.12 tons / mu, the amount of subsidy is Z, Z=191 yuan / mu, then Z/Y=1592 yuan / ton.
That is to say, according to the current standard of 191 yuan / mu, the subsidy per ton is about 1592 yuan.
Because there is news that maybe 191 yuan / mu is not a subsidy of 70% by area.
That is to say, the number of 1592 yuan / ton may be 70% of the subsidy, and it may not be, then add 60% or 50%, or 40%, the three kinds may calculate again.
According to the calculation, 1592/70%=2274 yuan / ton, 1592/60%=2653 yuan / ton, 1592/0.5=3184 yuan / ton, 1592/0.4=3980 yuan / ton.
Similarly, according to the calculation, it can be concluded that the target price is 19800 yuan / ton, then according to 70%, the market price is 19800-2274=17526 yuan / ton, according to 60%, the market price is 19800-2653=17147 yuan / ton, according to 50%, the market price is 19800-3184=16616 yuan / ton, according to 40%, the market price is 19800-3980=15820 yuan / ton.
According to the data from the national cotton market monitoring system, the average price of the national cotton price B index (CNCotton B) is 15370 yuan / ton in 9-11 months, and the difference between 70% and 60%, 50%, 40% is 2156 yuan / ton, 1777 yuan / ton, 1246 yuan / ton, 450 yuan / ton respectively.
Then why is this formulated?
market price
and
monitoring data
Fighting again? 9-11 months, what is the approximate temperature of the cotton market? Probably most people are more aware than the writer. Is the average price of the 3128 month lint 3 months really higher than 16000 yuan / ton? I think most people are not very acceptable.
I recall that at a meeting in the past few months, we were still discussing whether the purchase price of Xinjiang seed cotton could exceed 6 yuan / kg.
Then assume that the average purchase price of seed cotton in 9-11 months is 6 yuan / kg. Under a slight calculation, the seed cotton price is 6 yuan / kg, assuming that the cottonseed price is 1 yuan / Jin and the lint percentage is 38%, then the conversion is made.
lint
The price is 12919 yuan / ton, even if the processing fee of 1000 yuan / ton is added, it is only 13919 yuan / ton.
The national market price is not only much higher than that of the monitoring system, but also higher than the real market price.
So what is the meaning of the market price? I have to question how the proposed market price is calculated. Our cotton and soybean products as a pilot agricultural product have launched the target price subsidy policy. If the market price does not represent the real market temperature, then what is the reference for other agricultural products? Such a high market price can only be a pit cotton grower. If the experience is further promoted, then the pit is all the farmers.
Now that subsidies are needed, subsidies must be put in place, rather than subsidized by subsidies, and they should try to raise or fabricate the so-called market price by all means.
This is not only for the benefit of farmers, but also for the hearts of farmers.
Although farmers haven't read many books, they can't cheat.
If the policy is to say one thing and do one thing, then what is the meaning of doing it? In addition to the profit of the interest group, the overall interests of the society will be smaller, so in any sense, this policy is a failure.
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