Zhejiang Huzhou Silkworm Meets Again "Waterloo"

With the end of the purchase of mid autumn cocoon, Huzhou's silkworm production in 2014 has been initially decided.

According to the statistics of the business sector, 51603 pieces of silkworm eggs were raised during the Mid Autumn Festival, which decreased by 15366 compared with the same period last year (22.97%), 2204.4 tons of silkworm cocoons, 533.4 tons less than the same period last year, and 19.48 reduction. The output value of cocoons was 64 million 105 thousand yuan, a decrease of 39 million 134 thousand yuan compared with that of the previous year, and the reduction was as high as 37.9%.

According to the analysis of the business department, it is estimated that 213072 silkworms will be reared throughout the year, compared with last year (compared with last year), a decrease of 37214, a decrease of 14.9%, a 10011.5 ton of cocoon production, a reduction of 1726.1 tons, a decrease of 14.7%, and a 329 million 819 thousand yuan reduction in Cocoon Output, a decrease of 152 million 464 thousand yuan compared with the same period last year, with a reduction of 31.6%.

The year-on-year decrease is very small in history.

Analysis of this year's sericulture production and price reduction in such a large proportion of the main reasons for the following three aspects:

First, the market factor, the purchasing price of cocoons is not as good as expected, and the fluctuation is too large, which greatly dampens the enthusiasm of sericultural producers.

The cocoon price of 1765/ in 2014 spring decreased by nearly $200 / 1949 compared with the same period last year. The price of cocoons declined all the time, which seriously affected the enthusiasm of mulberry garden management and silkworm rearing in the autumn of silkworm farming.

The average cocoon price of the Mid Autumn Festival is only 1450 yuan / weight, which is 435 yuan / load lower than the 1885 yuan in the same period last year, and the decline rate has reached 23%. This undoubtedly gives the silkworm farmer who is already not confident enough.

Two is

The stability and development of sericulture is restricted by the decrease of labor and the aging of mulberry, the loss of suitable land resources and the deterioration of natural environment.

Three is

Because of the special climate (more rain) in autumn this year, coupled with the low enthusiasm of producers and the relaxation of management, serious damage to mulberry insects in autumn, mulberry leaf yield and leaf quality declined, which directly affected the silkworm rearing and cocoon production in autumn.

It can be said that after several years of slow decline year after year, sericulture production in Huzhou encountered "Waterloo" in 2014, which may become a turning point for Huzhou sericulture production to enter a rapid recession.

Huzhou's sericulture industry needs urgent attention, thinking, research and practical countermeasures.

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China Chemical Fiber Industry Association recently released the report on the operation of China's chemical fiber industry in 1~8 months.

The report shows that the output of 1~8 chemical fiber is 28 million 822 thousand and 100 tons, compared with 26 million 908 thousand and 900 tons in the same period last year, an increase of 7.11% over the same period last year.

The chemical fiber industry association of China has compared the growth rate of chemical fiber industry in recent years, indicating that the trend of continued rapid decline has been reversed this year, and the growth rate of production is basically stable.

From this year's month, the growth rate of chemical fiber production increased month by month, from 0.86% in 1~2 to 7.11% in 1~8, indicating that market demand is gradually recovering.

The growth rate slowed down in July and August, indicating that the momentum of development is still weak.

According to the National Bureau of statistics, the total profit of China's chemical fiber industry reached 13 billion 158 million yuan in 1~8 months, an increase of 15.56% over the previous year, 10.66 percentage points higher than the 4.9% in the first quarter, 3.97 percentage points lower than that in the first half of the year, indicating that the economic benefit of the chemical fiber industry in the two quarter has improved significantly compared with the first quarter.

However, in July and August, the industry entered the off-season, and the deficit expanded to 23.11%, an increase of 5.27 percentage points compared with the same period last year, and the deficit of loss making enterprises increased by 22.74% over the same period last year.

According to the industry, the total profit of polyester industry increased by 13.71% compared to the same period last year, a 28.78 percentage point increase over the first quarter of -15.07%, 8.61 percentage points lower than that in the first half of the year, and the spandex industry continued to maintain good returns, while the total profit increased by 69.92%, but the growth rate gradually dropped. The profit of the man-made fiber was mainly manifested in the operation of the acetate fiber and viscose fiber industry, but it was still more difficult to operate in the -15.07% industry.

The profitability of the chemical fiber industry increased year by year, with a profit margin of 2.84%, an increase of 0.27 percentage points over the same period last year. However, compared with the 10 year profit margin, the current profit margin has not reached the average level.

From the industry start-up rate, the load of the main sub sectors this year is more obvious than that of the same period last year.

The operation rate of spandex industry is the most eye-catching, maintaining at least 90%; viscose filament and viscose staple fiber are basically over 80%; polyester staple fiber and nylon industry are relatively poor; the running rate of polyester filament is fluctuating greatly, and the operating rate during the Spring Festival period falls below 50%, of which the sliced spinning enterprises almost all stop, and the direct spinning enterprises are slightly less.

With the recovery of downstream demand, the starting rate of polyester filament industry has gradually increased. From late April to the end of May, the average operating rate of the industry reached more than 80%, but in June, it began to enter the off-season, and the operating rate dropped rapidly. At the end of July, it dropped to a minimum of 65%, and rose to 70% in August.

Taking a look at the trend of chemical fiber market for many years, the chemical fiber market has been in second low position in 10 years, and it does not have the space to fall sharply. However, the pressure of new production capacity of polyester and polyester raw materials is still large this year, and the contradiction between supply and demand is still more prominent. Therefore, we should not be blindly optimistic.

China Chemical Fiber Industry Association expects annual output to reach 43 million 500 thousand tons, an increase of about 6%.

The gross profit of the industry will increase over the previous year, and the quality of operation will be slightly improved.