June Magic Spell May Not Be A New Round Of Structural Market Is Brewing.

Since the opening of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets in China, P has met the five World Cup, and the corresponding market performance is three down two.

This is not statistically significant.

However, some people feel that the "Curse of the World Cup" is very effective in overseas markets, and it will also be visible in the domestic market.

There seems to be some truth in explaining why the stock market began to fall in June.

However, those who disagree with this view say that the first reason is that the performance of domestic stock market and overseas stock market is often not synchronous, so there is no reason to say that the "Curse of the World Cup" will also care for the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets. Secondly, the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock markets are mainly the Battlegrounds of the middle aged and the elderly. After 80 and 90, they basically do not sell stocks.

Since the latter is the main force of watching, the world cup can not affect the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets.

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< p > < strong > "magic spell" is a false proposition < /strong > < /p >.

< p > objective, a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp" > World Cup < /a > as an event attracting billions of fans around the world, it can not affect social life, and economic activities are no exception.

But this effect is pient, and it is also limited to the surface level.

As a barometer of the economy, the stock market cannot change the direction of its operation because of the world cup, just as the world cup can not change the operation of the real economy.

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< p > as for the month when the world cup is held, the stock market falls more or less. This is probably just a coincidence.

After all, the world cup is about two weeks old, and even if investors watch the ball's influence on the operation of the stock market, this situation will not run through the whole month.

Therefore, the theme of the "World Cup curse" is mainly entertainment color, which is a bit like the octopus Paul who predicted the world cup.

Every prediction made by it is very journalistic, but everyone knows it is just a good joke, and it may not be able to take it seriously.

In this regard, perhaps we can only say that for the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, the so-called "Curse of the World Cup" is a false proposition, not necessarily obvious.

Of course, it brings some topics to the dull stock market, but this topic can not be taken seriously.

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< p > < strong > June, the trading center is expected to increase, < /strong > /p >

< p >, what will be the performance of Shanghai and Shenzhen a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp" > stock market < /a > in June? The real problem is that the situation of the real economy is still grim.

At the same time, the macro environment is gradually improving.

A lot of people have noticed the recent "micro stimulation" policies which are frequently increased. From stressing that finance should better support the real economy, reduce the deposit reserve ratio to a clear, timely and moderate regulation of loan to deposit ratio, all of them have issued a signal of dynamic adjustment of monetary policy.

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< p > in terms of the capital market, the credit increase in May exceeded expectations and the interbank offered rate remained downward.

It can be expected that the "money shortage" of last year will not be reproduced at the end of June this year.

In the face of stabilization of capital and even some signs of easing, stock market generally does not have the possibility of a substantial decline, especially when the index itself is in a low position.

Therefore, in general, the stock market will not fall in June, and its trading focus will be even higher than that in May.

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< p > of course, the emergence of such a situation may not be clearer until the IPO is fully activated.

At present, the issue of new shares is plaguing investors to a large extent. After all, there are more than 40 companies that are going to issue.

According to the regulations already published, once these companies have completed the relevant formalities, they will be able to decide the issuing time within one year.

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< p > experience shows that in practice, everyone is rushing ahead without catching up.

Although the relevant parties also expressed the intention of balancing the issue of IPO and listing, investors still want to see these intentions implemented in concrete ways.

Therefore, the market has also formed a paradox, that is, we are afraid of IPO on the surface, but the more we do not issue new shares, the less we dare to touch stocks.

Perhaps, when the new shares are issued as expected, the "bad" boots will come down and investors' mood will be stable. The stock market is expected to stabilize and go up.

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< p > < strong > new round < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp > structure < /a > market is brewing" /strong > /p ".

< p > in fact, investors have been able to see this trend in recent years.

Since late May, small and medium-sized market capitalization stocks represented by gem have become active again.

Almost every rebound in the market is related to them.

And every time the stock index falls, it is not because of heavyweight movements, small and medium capitalization stock adjustment.

It is not difficult for investors to see that the new framework of structural market appears to have formed.

The IPO, especially the vast majority of new shares belonging to the small and medium-sized market capitalization of emerging industries, is likely to stimulate the structural market dominated by such varieties, as in 1 and February this year.

Of course, the market can not be repeated simply, but now it seems that the big pattern of stock index operation will not change fundamentally.

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< p >, however, what needs to be mentioned is that because the heavyweight stock basically does not have the rising condition, the stock index only relies on the small and medium-sized market value subject stock to be difficult to go up obviously.

Therefore, even if the stock market has risen in June, the author estimates that it is difficult to have more than 3% of the space, and the volume will not be significantly enlarged, the upper limit is usually below 170 billion yuan.

In other words, the stock index is still in the box arrangement, but the sorting position has moved up.

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In the world cup P, the Chinese football team has not been able to enter the world cup, but this does not prevent Chinese fans from watching it enthusiastically.

Similarly, in June, the stock market basically did not have the trend of all aspects of the market, but this does not prevent Chinese investors to achieve wealth accumulation by grasping the structural market.

Since the structural characteristics of the market in June are relatively prominent, it is suggested that investors should pay close attention to it when watching the ball.

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