China'S Cotton Production Boom Index Declines, Xinjiang Price Subsidies Must Grasp Comparative Parameters

< p > the Cotton Research Institute of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, the national a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > the cotton industry < /a > technical system research points out that China's cotton production prosperity index (CCPPI) slipped again by 39 points in 2013, and the highest point of the year was 200 and the lowest point 153 fluctuated.

In 2014, CCPPI will continue to decline. It is predicted that the national cotton industry will show a trend of "resuming" growth and "shrinking" expansion of cotton spinning.

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< p > China Cotton boom report 2014 predicts that the domestic cotton prices will drop rationally and the price differentials will be narrowed by the double beneficial effects of the growth of textile and clothing exports and the narrowing of domestic and foreign cotton prices.

Affected by the global economic recovery, the export of textile and clothing will increase, and the number of cotton textile cotton will also increase.

At the same time, the sliding quasi tax base of imported cotton increased to 1000 yuan / ton, reducing the additional additional quantity, and the import of raw cotton is expected to be controlled.

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< p > domestic consumption will decrease and pressure will also be reduced under the condition of consumption recovery growth and appropriate import control.

However, due to the cancellation of temporary purchase and storage policy and the high cost of cotton planting, farmers' expectations for cotton prices and cotton planting income have declined, and the stability area has become more difficult.

According to monitoring, the intention of cotton planting in the mainland has been reduced by more than two percentage points, and the intention of Northwest cotton reduction is also expanding.

At present, cotton seeds are selling in a busy season. However, the market of cotton seeds is not booming.

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< p > the report thinks that this year our country will take the price subsidy measures in the < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp > > Xinjiang < /a > pilot target. The production of agricultural products adopts" a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > target price subsidy < /a > "is a beneficial attempt of" the market plays a decisive role in the allocation of resources ".

Therefore, to grasp the original intention of Xinjiang cotton target price subsidy design, we must first grasp the capital intensity of target price subsidy.

It is suggested that the output value and pure income of the main products should be selected as the comparative parameters of the target price subsidies, and the net income below a certain target should be regarded as the base value of the target price subsidy.

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< p > according to the monitoring and early warning data of cotton production in China, the average net income of cotton planting in the northwest cotton region in the first 3 years (2011~2013) is 827.8 yuan / mu, assuming that the average value of net income in the past 3 years is 766.03 yuan / mu as the base value of the target price subsidy, the unit area subsidy base fund is 256.1 yuan per mu, and the corresponding cotton seed cotton price is 7.33 yuan / kg, that is, the price per kilogram of seed cotton is reduced by 1.06 yuan, which is reduced by 1.06 yuan compared with the average value of 8.39 yuan per kilogram in the previous 3 years.

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< p > report recommends that agricultural insurance be launched at the same time.

Northwest cotton target price fund 256.1 yuan / mu is based on the normal year.

If the disaster occurs in cotton area or the disaster situation is heavy, this subsidy is obviously a drop in the bucket. Therefore, agricultural insurance measures should be adopted.

First, we should ensure that the insured rate is increased and the compensation rate is increased. This is an effective measure to solve the problem of agricultural production reduction and poverty reduction.

The two is to learn from the US cotton disaster compensation practice. When the yield is lower than the expected value, the insurance compensation starts in time. The government only pays for the part of the income loss which exceeds the expected income of more than 10%, while the other income losses are still borne by the farmers.

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