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    The First Wave Of Cold Wave In 2012: "Keeping People Hard"

    2012/3/28 17:27:00 6

    Lack Of Talent And Salary Inflation


    For enterprises, in order to "keep people" began to take pains to increase salaries, welfare benefits, reimbursement for home travel expenses......

    More enterprises to prevent employees from job hopping, play the "strong trick": the year-end bonus that should be issued at the end of the year is released after the Spring Festival, and half of the year before, and half of the year after year, these phenomena can be regarded as a big bright spot of the spring Festival in 2012.


    Enterprises can no longer rely on simple people.

    Pay

    How to "keep people" will become one of the difficult problems for Chinese enterprises in the future.

    After experiencing financial crisis, European debt crisis and inflationary pressure, Chinese enterprises will face the test of "retaining people".


    In 2011, the frequency of job hopping among individual job seekers was somewhat higher than that in 2009. In 2009, many employees who chose "lying trough" joined in the recruitment market which was constantly warming.

    Job hopping

    There are not only a large number of professional and technical personnel, but also middle-level management personnel.

    Statistics show that the average turnover rate of employees in various industries reached 18.9% in 2011, the highest since the financial crisis in 2008.

    In the traditional service industry, the turnover rate reached 21.2% in 2011, and the turnover rate in the manufacturing industry was as high as 20.5%.


    The demand for talent has directly pushed up its wage level. At present, at least 21 provinces have raised the minimum wage, an average increase of 21.7%.

    The more than 10 cities have announced that the minimum wage in 2012 will rise by more than 10%.

    The sharp rise in the minimum wage has raised the overall payroll cost of the enterprise.

    Of course, in the last two or three years, almost all of the costs that have been raised have been driven by real estate prices and prices, and have raised the expectations of employees for wage increases without relentless.

    Some agencies predict that the average salary increase of all industries in the first half of 2012 will reach 9.8%. It is estimated that 2012 salary growth will exceed the forecast of GDP 8% growth next year after 2011.


    The reasons for such a situation are largely due to the reason.

    inflation

    。

    The rise in pay has not directly contributed to the improvement of people's living standard. According to a survey of future worries, 98% of people believe that the living standard has not been improved in real terms after raising salary in 2011, of which 47% said that the living standard of 2011 was lower than that of 2010.


    The rise of costs and the loss of talent have begun to make enterprises unbearable.

    Relevant data show that 96% of enterprises have already indicated that the current employment cost is too high or too high, and 63% of the respondents said that the fast growth of pay has reached the critical point, most of which are less than 5000 employees.


    Although the cost of labor is rising in the short term, inflation is the chief culprit.

    According to the theory of industrial stage, the development of an economy from undeveloped economy to mature industrial economy has to go through 6 stages.

    The changing pattern of industrial form is labor intensive, capital intensive, technology intensive and knowledge intensive, and the corresponding leading industries change from agriculture to light industry to heavy industry to technology intensive manufacturing, service industry to knowledge intensive industry.



    This

    Lack of talents

    To a certain extent, it is more reflected in the lack of high-end talents. Due to the higher elasticity of wage demands and the economic recovery, the pressure of inflation has become a direct incentive for them to "jump job".

    Recruitment statistics from 51job show that the number of job positions released in 2011 has reached a record more than 2 million, an increase of 1/3 over 2010.

    Job openings also mean that almost all of the recruitment posts in the recruitment job are 1/2.

    Some employers even raise the salaries of key positions by more than 30%, and still can not recruit the required talents.


    China's economy has begun to move out of labor intensive, and even some areas have been out of capital intensive, the demand for high-end talents has increased at an instant, and the problem of homogenization of Chinese labor has been exposed directly. The shortage of high-end talents has become one of the ills of future economic development.


    Plus, in the long run, demographic restructuring and demographic dividends are gradually disappearing.

    The proportion of China's 16-65 year old population (labor force) in the total population will decline from 2015 to 61.4% in 2050, almost equal to that of the United States at that time.

    Over the past 30 years, the demographic dividend has gradually disappeared, which is accompanied by the inevitable rise in the cost of human factors.

    Therefore, it can be judged that the rising cost of manpower will be the main trend for a long time in the future.


    Under such circumstances, assuming that the increase of human cost is the same, the higher the per capita net profit is, the more pressure the enterprise will bear.

    If the competition pattern of an enterprise is relatively stable or the market share of the company is relatively high, the bargaining power of the enterprise is stronger, and it is more capable of shifting the cost of labor costs.

    Therefore, to a certain extent, it will speed up industrial upgrading.

    The future situation may be that capital and technology intensive enterprises "eat meat" and labor-intensive enterprises "eat soup".

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