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    Central Bank Survey: Less Than 10% Of Those Who Want To Speculate In Stocks.

    2011/9/17 8:30:00 24

    Central Bank Survey: Less Than 10% Of Those Who Want To Speculate In Stocks.

    Central bank yesterday released the third quarter of 2011 savers

    Questionnaire investigation

    The report shows that under current prices, interest rates and income levels, 82.8% of urban residents tend to "

    savings

    "The choice of" stock investment "has dropped to its lowest level since 2009.

    For the second half of the housing price, 41.1% of the residents are not expected to fall.


    Central bank survey: people who want to speculate in stocks are less than 10% or 80% and still want to deposit their money in banks.


    70% residents believe that prices are too high.


    Residents' satisfaction with price is still not satisfactory. 72% of residents believe that prices are "high and unacceptable", an increase of 3.8 percentage points over the previous quarter.

    The confidence index of residents' future income is 54.3%, down 1 percentage points from the previous quarter, and residents' expectation of future income is still not optimistic.


    The current employment experience index of residents is 39.1%, down 1.6 percentage points from the previous quarter, and is at a higher level since 2009.

    The future employment expectation index of residents is 50.2%, down 1.1 percentage points from the previous quarter, of which 69.2% are expected to be "good" or "basically unchanged" in the next quarter, and 11.9% of them are expected to have "poor employment".


    80% more residents tend to "save".


    At present prices, interest rates and income levels, 82.8% of urban residents tend to "save", 17.2% tend to "more consumption", investment willingness to fall.

    Among the main investment modes, the residents who choose "real estate investment" account for 23.6%, which is 1.4 percentage points higher than that of the previous quarter, and is still the first choice for residents to invest.

    Others are "funds" in turn.

    Conduct financial pactions

    The product "21.3%", "bond investment" 14.2%, "stock investment" 9.2%, "stock investment" fell to the lowest level since 2009.


    Among all kinds of consumption, the willingness of residents to purchase cars is at a high level and tourism consumption is seasonally falling.

    Among them, the willingness to buy cars is 12.9%, the developing small and medium-sized cities are the main vehicle buyers, and the willingness to travel is 24.2%, down 5.4 percentage points from the previous quarter.


      

    40% residents

    Expect

    House prices remain flat in the second half of the year


    On the current level of housing prices, 75.6% of residents believe that "too high to accept", an increase of 1.3 percentage points over the previous quarter, the highest value since 2009.

    For the second half of the housing price trend, 41.1% of the residents expected "basically unchanged", a slight decrease of 0.3 percentage points over the previous quarter, 37.9% of the residents expected to "rise", a 1.7 percentage point increase over the previous quarter, 8% of the residents expected to "drop", 0.2 percentage points lower than the previous quarter, and 13% of the residents considered "not allowed to see", down 1.2 percentage points from the previous quarter.

    In the next quarter, the number of residents who wish to buy houses will account for 14.2%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous quarter.

    (Chen Chunlin)


    Disk reaction


    The rescue market is good to stimulate the external stock market to go up, A shares go higher and lower, turn green again.


    Good market to stimulate the rise of the external stock market


    Yesterday, France and Germany said that the euro zone would not abandon Greece's stimulus. On the 14 day, the three major stock indexes of the New York stock market rose for third consecutive days, while the Dow Jones and the S & P index closed up 1.3%, and the NASDAQ index increased 1.6%.

    Hongkong stock market 15 days following the periphery opened 141 points, the trend was repeated, and finally closed at 19181.5 points, up 136.06 points, an increase of 0.71%.

    The Hang Seng Index sees 19269.41 points all day, with a low level of 18935.08 points, with a turnover of HK $67 billion 898 million.

    South Korea's stock market also rose sharply on the 15 day, thanks to the positive effects of the euro zone.

    In addition, China's Taipei stock market rose yesterday, up 157 points, or 2.17%.


    The upside was hindered.


    Overnight, the European and American stock markets continued to rise, and the A share market also showed a weak rebound. However, because of the lack of positive financial support, the weakness of the stock index went down.

    Market micro funds left the field, the amount of outflow continued to shrink compared with the previous few days, the market wait-and-see sentiment is strong.


    Yesterday two cities out of high shock trend, trading volume slightly larger than the previous day.

    At the close, the Shanghai stock index reported 2479.05 points, down 5.78 points, or 0.23%, and clinch a turnover of 55 billion 860 million yuan; the Shenzhen composite index reported 10848 points, up 25.62 points, or 0.24%, and traded 49 billion 170 million yuan.


    From yesterday's industry tracking situation, 3G, plastics, electronics, development zones, automobiles, chemical fibers, military industries and other sectors are among the top gainers, and coal, banking, pesticide and fertilizer, Internet of things, insurance and other sectors are among the top ones.

    Bank shares are not showing any strength. The stock market is dragging down the index from red to green. CITIC Bank has dropped 1.91%, leading to a decline. Minsheng Bank, Beijing bank, Shanghai Pudong Development Bank and Huaxia Bank are among the top loser.

    {page_break}


    Net capital inflow of real estate topped the list yesterday


    The monitoring data of the panoramic data decision terminal showed that the total net outflow of funds was 170 million yuan in Shenzhen and Shanghai two cities yesterday, of which the net inflow of institutional capital was 1 billion 64 million yuan, and the net outflow of retail funds was 1 billion 234 million yuan.

    According to the new wealth industry, 15 of the 27 industries recorded net inflow of funds and 12 were sold out.

    The net inflow of the real estate sector is 175 million yuan.

    (Guan Xiaofeng, Xu Jianhua, Yin Wu)


    Expert advice


    A shares have been cheap vegetable prices, do not shout down Peter Lynch three proposal or reference.


    At present, the dynamic price earnings ratio of A shares is less than 13 times that of the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 index and Shanghai stock index 180. The dynamic P / E ratio is less than 10 times, while the dynamic price earnings ratio of bank shares is less than 7 times. Obviously, the valuation of the A share market has been lower than that of the Shanghai composite index at 998 and 1664 points. If the market is still frothy, it only exists in small and medium capitalization stocks.


    It is no joke that A shares have been lower than the price of vegetables. Before reviewing, the valuation of the bottom moments of A shares is not difficult to find. Stock prices are quite cheap now.


    In November 9, 1992, the Shanghai Composite Index reached 386 points, with an average price earnings ratio of about 15 times, with an average net market rate of about 1.5 times, and then rose to the first high of 1558 in February 16, 1993.


    In July 18, 1994, the Shanghai Composite Index of 325 points, the average price earnings ratio of about 12 times, the average market rate of about 1.2 times, after the kite turned up to 1053 points in September 13, 1994;


    In January 18, 1996, the Shanghai Composite Index reached 512 points, with an average price earnings ratio of about 19.44 times, with an average net market rate of about 2.44 times, and then increased to second historical highs in June 14, 2001, 2245 points.


    In May 24, 2005, the Shanghai Composite Index reached 998 points, with an average price earnings ratio of about 15.87 times, with an average net market rate of about 1.7 times, and then went up to the third highest historical point in October 16, 2007, 6124 points.


    In October 27, 2008, Shanghai Composite Index reached 1664 points, with an average price earnings ratio of about 14.24 times, with an average net market rate of about 1.95 times, and then rose to 3478 points in August 4, 2009.


    But even so, at present, the Shanghai stock market index will once again refresh 2437 new low remarks are still lingering in the ears. Is this the rational judgment of investors or the fear of excessive fear?

    Let's take a look at the collapse of the US stock market in 1987. When many people became millionaires into extreme poverty, mental collapse and even suicide, Peter Lynch made three suggestions: first, do not panic and throw it out at all.

    Second, we must have the courage to firmly hold shares in good companies.

    Third, we must dare to buy stocks of good companies at a low price.

    Peter Lynch believes that a slump is the best opportunity to make big money: "great wealth is often only made in the stock market crash."


    Is the A share the cheapest now?

    Which companies are Peter Lynch's good companies?

    According to the insiders, during the collapse of the market, many of the main business performance stocks were severely wrongly killed. There are some super high quality white horses that will increase by 20 times net profit this year and less than 10 times the price earnings ratio. They will become huge opportunities for Peter Lynch.

    No matter whether it is the best time to buy now, insiders warn that these stocks need to be closely watched.


     


     

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