Central Bank Report: Entrepreneurs' Confidence Is Dropping Slightly &Nbsp; Bankers' Confidence Index Has Risen Slightly.

The Central Bank of China released its report on Thursday (16). In the second quarter of 2011, the people's Bank of China carried out entrepreneurship in the whole country. Questionnaire investigation The survey results show that: Entrepreneurs' confidence is at a high level; business conditions are at a high level; market demand is generally stable, domestic orders are high and downwards, export orders are rising and falling, raw material prices are widening, and the ability to pay continues to tighten.

The report shows that the entrepreneur confidence index is 75.8%, down 0.5% from the previous quarter. Business climate index continued to explore 0.5% to 70.6% high; business prosperity forecast index continued. Correction It fell by 2% to 71.4% over the previous quarter.

The report shows that the market demand index for enterprise products is 62.9%, down 0.6% from the previous quarter. The domestic order index was 56.7%, down 0.2% from the previous quarter, and has been down for two consecutive quarters. Export orders index rebounded, rising 1.4% to 52.5% over the previous quarter. The market demand index decreased by 1.9% to 63.2% compared with the previous quarter. Domestic order expectation index and export order expectation index were 57.1% and 52.6%, respectively, down 1.4 and 1.8% respectively compared with the previous quarter.

The purchasing price index of raw materials was 77.7%, down 1.7% from the previous quarter, a 1.5% increase from last quarter, and 72.9% of raw material purchase price index, down 2.4% from the previous quarter. The two indices remain at a relatively high level in the past two years.

The ability to pay is 67.8%, down 1% from the previous quarter, and the ability to pay index is 66.8%, down 1.3% from the previous quarter, and has declined for the three consecutive quarter.

enterprise fixed assets The investment index was 54.2%, up 0.8% from the previous quarter, and the fixed assets investment expectation index was 51.9%, down 0.8% from the previous quarter.

Meanwhile, the second quarter national banker survey completed by the people's Bank of China and the National Bureau of statistics showed that the macro-economic fever has declined, bankers' confidence index has increased slightly, the banking industry index has continued to fall, the loan demand index has risen to a drop, and the monetary policy sentiment index has declined for third consecutive quarters.

According to the survey, the proportion of bankers who think that the current macro economy is "hot" is 38.4%, which is 5.5% lower than that of the previous quarter. The "normal" banker has risen to 54.4%, which is 2.8% higher than that of the previous quarter. For the next quarter's economic trend, 31.4% of bankers are expected to continue to be hot. 59.7% of bankers believe that the next quarter is "normal" and 9% is expected to be too cold. Affected by this, the bankers' macroeconomic confidence index rose to 57% this quarter, an increase of 1.7% over the previous quarter, the second consecutive quarterly increase.

The banking sector's current climate index was 83.8%, down 0.2% from the previous quarter, and the bank profit index was 89.2%, up 3.9% from the previous quarter; the index reflecting the competitiveness of banks was 67.3%, down 2.2% from the previous quarter.

The demand index for bank loans was 82.9%, down 2.2% from the previous quarter. According to the industry, the loan demand index of agriculture, manufacturing and non manufacturing industries was 65.8%, 74.9% and 69.8% respectively. The demand index of real estate and water conservancy and environmental public facilities industry was 60.7% and 60.1%, respectively, which was 1.3% and 1.6% lower than that of the previous quarter. According to the scale of enterprises, the demand index of large enterprises continued to fall, and the demand for loans of small and medium enterprises increased to fall.

This quarter's bankers' monetary policy sentiment index (the proportion of bankers who choose "moderate" monetary policy) is 35.6%, down 3.8% from the previous quarter, and has declined for third consecutive quarters. For the next quarter monetary policy, 33.1% of bankers expect to maintain an appropriate level, up 1% from the previous quarter; 65.5% expect "tighter", a 0.6% decrease from the previous quarter; 1.4% are expected to "loose", down 0.4% from the previous quarter. For the next quarter interest rate, 68.2% of bankers believe that they will continue to "rise", down 5.3% from the previous quarter; 31.6% is expected to be "flat" this quarter, an increase of 5.2% over the previous quarter; 0.2% is expected to "decline".