The Collapse Of Commodities Is The Eve Of The Crisis.
every time
crisis
The chances and breakthroughs of the outbreak will not be the same.
Price
The change of system is often the most consistent feature.
The recent collapse of international commodities may be a harbinger of a new round of crisis.
Therefore, our economic policies should be prepared, otherwise, we may repeat the risks brought about by the sharp turn of three years ago.
First of all, let's look at the storm of crude oil prices. Because of the strong US dollar, the international oil price is 6 days following the previous one.
paction
After the day's setback, it fell again, and oil prices in New York and London fell this week, hitting Dan Zhou's highest record since the US dollar.
As of Friday's close, the New York market delivered light crude oil futures in June at $97.18 a barrel, down 14.7% throughout the week.
The London market Brent crude oil futures in June closed at $109.13 a barrel, a 13.31% decline in the whole week.
Some people may be excited because it can reduce the pressure of inflation in China.
Oil prices are the mother of commodities and basic prices, and the drop in oil prices suggests that the current international price system may face major crises.
Silver prices also suffered a sharp fall.
From the end of August last year to the end of April this year, the total price rose from $19 to $48, or up to 150%.
At this time, people exclaimed that the silver Empire came back, but recently, silver fell all the way, even a day's drop was more than 12%, and the decline in four days was more than 25%.
All of these are the bottom of the dollar, and the international economy has felt the pressure of the risk of the dollar system.
Many people say that the collapse of international commodities can alleviate our inflationary pressures, but at the same time, it also brings heavy crises.
A debt crisis caused by the revaluation of the monetary system is brewing and erupting.
These days, the world is not peaceful, and the events of various black swans continue to erupt, which may accelerate the process of crisis.
From Japan's nuclear radiation to the crisis in Syria, Libya, and then to Europe's attitude of being able to provoke war as a result of decline and the high profile of the United States that Binladin was killed, all countries have been tortured by debt crisis.
The emerging countries are oppressed by the US dollar and the domestic inflation rate has risen sharply. This has led the emerging countries to take counter measures to form the pressure on the US dollar.
If the dollar wants to maintain its status as an international currency, it has the responsibility to stop the devaluation of the global crisis.
These low interest rates and quantitative easing monetary policy, to the global commodity injection a stimulant, brought pressure on the whole world.
The act of stealing resources and wealth from other countries by such a depreciation has already been resisted. The dollar must reassess monetary risk as before the crisis, and appreciate it in order to solve the stagflation pressure that the world is already overburdened with.
Besides, historically, not only the US dollar index is down, but the US can benefit from it. In fact, they can benefit from both the rise and fall and the US control. Therefore, the turning point of US dollar and commodity turnover will probably lead to the eve of the crisis.
What is even more frightening is that the debt crisis has stabilising slightly before, and it seems that it has again reached the node of dominoes effect.
Greece's debt crisis has been exposed for more than a year, but it still refuses to restructure its debt.
More recently, Greece has been considering withdrawing from the eurozone, dragging down the euro's exchange rate, and the euro's exchange rate has stabilized slightly after Greece and eurozone officials strongly denied the reports.
However, this clarification is only superficial, because this is not the key to the problem. The key is that it may tear up the hole of a debt crisis, thus arousing people's doubts about sovereign debt.
In order to cope with the recession, the central banks that have stamped money have just felt that printing money is debt and deficit is also in debt. The former is in debt through the price system, and the latter is in debt through the tax system.
Now that price increases are already threatening, it seems unlikely that the latter will expand taxes to repay money.
The risks of deficits and debt systems in Japan and the United States may continue to escalate.
Since S & P points out that the risk of US Treasury bonds may not be groundless, similarly, Japan, which has been attacked by natural disasters, is pouring money into the market without restraint. This is also the most worrying part of the whole netted international economy.
Panic caused by commodities may be the lever fulcrum of the new crisis in the whole world.
Today may be the eve of the outbreak of the new crisis, especially the violent disturbance of the price system, from the high point of the speculation to the inertia of the starting point, which may cause the whole commodity market to fall again. To return to the domestic economic policy, we should make an advance in time according to the upheaval of the international economy to prevent the excessive damage caused by the outbreak of the crisis.
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