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    2011 Quotes: Floating Clouds Cover The Eye &Nbsp; Cotton In Fog

    2011/4/15 10:06:00 63

    Market Cloud Cotton

    The plan for a year is spring, and 2011 is " The 12th Five-Year "The first year of planning, and this spring comes from market And enterprise information also indicates the direction of development of the industry. In March, China's Cotton Textile Industry Association enlarged its fourth session of the two Council and the 2011 China International yarn (spring and summer). Exhibition On the other hand, the prediction and analysis of market prospects and measures to cope with the shortage of labour have become the focus.


    In the spring of 2011, after the rare happy days of 2010, the market prospect It seems to be unpredictable again. March 25th, China Cotton Textile Industry Association fourth times two times Council The enlarged meeting was held in Qingdao. In analyzing the market situation, "complexity" has become the most widely used term.


    This "complexity" is largely due to the difficulty in grasping the trend of cotton prices.


       The peak season is bad, the market is depressed.


    The exhibition has always been the barometer and weathervane of the market. In March 31st, the 2011 China International yarn (Chun Xia) exhibition opened, and its popularity was amazing. However, after careful examination, most of the spinning enterprises still reflect that the peak season of 2011 is not too prosperous.


    The main reason why the market is not strong is the decline in cotton prices. After a period of continuous climbing, cotton prices continued to fall, and yarn prices declined. Because of the prevailing psychology of "buying up and not buying down", the atmosphere of market wait-and-see is strong, and the domestic cotton market and yarn market are in a downturn.


    The author understands that the order situation of spinning enterprises is not very ideal recently, and the enterprises do not agree with them. Because of the rising raw materials, some large, long and many orders have been changed into small, short and small orders. At present, the sale of downstream pure cotton yarn, airflow spinning and grey cloth is still at a standstill, and the inventory of finished goods is increasing. According to the spinning and weaving enterprises in Jiangsu, Shaanxi, Zhejiang and other provinces, the inventory of finished products is mostly over 1 months. At present, the price of pure cotton yarn has dropped by about 3000 yuan / ton compared with the beginning of March, and the price of spinning yarn has dropped by 1000 yuan / ton compared with the middle of March. After the price reduction, orders are still not many, and some of the tight storage parts are still cautious in orders. Most of them are based on small batch orders, and some of the looms are closed because of the high price of raw materials in advance. In the weak spot market of cotton, the confidence of downstream enterprises has been frustrated, yarn and cloth procurement is more cautious, and demand has not really started yet.


       The era of low cotton prices is gone forever.


    Cotton prices always affect the hearts of cotton textile enterprises. In this spring, the trend of cotton prices in the future is still blurred and blurred.


    The crazy rise in cotton prices since 2010 reflects, on the one hand, the strong resumption of China's economic growth during the post crisis era, as well as the rise in inflation caused by excess liquidity and inflationary pressures. Xu Wenying, vice president of China Textile Industry Association and honorary president of China Cotton Textile Industry Association, said that the cotton output in recent years has been decreasing year by year, and the decline of cotton production and the increase of cotton yarn production have made the contradiction between supply and demand bigger and bigger. Under the situation of raw material prices, workers' wages and cotton growing costs, domestic and foreign cotton prices will remain high for a long time, and the era of low cotton prices has passed.


    In fact, textile enterprises have reached a consensus that "cotton gap will exist for a long time and the era of low cotton prices is gone forever". Although cotton prices will continue to rise or fall in the future, opinions differ. But the general view is that with the rising cost of planting, cotton prices are hard to return to the previous lows.

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