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A Correct View Of The Current Cotton Market

2011/3/31 10:24:00 64

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After more than a year of market development,

Finance

Since the crisis, with the restarting of the consumer market, the inventory gap in the product market has gone through a new stage.

All sectors have already set up reasonable stocks, and the market circulation has returned from madness to rationality in the process of multiplayer gambling.

Even if some of the participants are trying to see more of the market, if there is no conformity, it will be difficult to make waves.

The author thinks that we should take a correct view of the current cotton market.

For the domestic market.

Do spinning

enterprise

Stock is increasing and price pmission is stagnant now. In a sense, price is back.

According to the current cotton price, enterprises have no profit.

In the previous stage, some cotton textile enterprises were investigated. The inventory of enterprises increased, capital pressure and market risk made enterprises have to consider measures to resolve the current uncertainties.

Under such a state of mind and situation, the pformation of cotton sales is not smooth, enterprise procurement is not active, the role of buyer's market and seller's market in every link of the industrial chain has become the main feature of the market at present.

In March 25th, the China Cotton Textile Industry Association and the China Cotton Association held the enlarged meeting of the directors. The focus of the meeting should be related to the cotton market.

Domestic shortage

cotton

Do you?

Such problems are encountered on many occasions.

Resources are always scarce. See what kind of conditions it is.

If the cost of raw materials exceeds the cost of some consumers, it will depend on how large the sensitive population is.

The proportion of raw material cost to product cost should be lower to the terminal.

The cost of cotton yarn is much higher than that of fabrics, especially for clothing.

On the board of the China Cotton Textile Industry Association, Yang Zhaohua, President of China Household Textile Industry Association and President of China Knitting Industry Association Yang Shibin, said that the price rise of terminal textiles is far from the increase of cotton raw material prices. Besides commercial considerations, the composition of product prices should also be a major factor.

For the international market.

The upside down of international and domestic cotton market prices is not unusual, but the magnitude is so rare in history.

Individuals analyze their reasons. If we have bought cotton from other countries (signed contract agreements and so on), there is no cotton, so the price tag is normal.

If your domestic cotton market passes smoothly, prompting you to come in safely, everyone is happy.

On the contrary, if the external market falls down one day at a price, will the breach of contract be increased with historical experience, and will other troubles follow?

So the operation level of the international market is also very high.

Before making recommendations, we should guard against the operational risks of the cotton textile industry. Now it seems that many links exist in the downstream, but sometimes the fields and links of continuous production are even more helpless.

Continuous production equipment can not be shut off, people can not say scattered scattered.

The fluctuation of inventory and price is our concern. Last year, we earned money by relying on him.

Therefore, the long-term coherence of the international market is the goal of our industry.

This consistency is not only reflected among countries, but also should be considered longitudinally.

Comparing market volatility to war, there is no winner on the battlefield, only temporary advantage.

Market regulation should be soft landing.

In recent days, ICE cotton futures December 126 cents per pound, SM class market quotation should be about 147 cents, equivalent to RMB duty paid 25000 yuan per ton (sliding tax), such a price guidance, if it continues for a period of time, 2011 cotton supply situation should be greatly improved.

At the present stage, under the comprehensive role of various cotton related factors, the potential of increasing production should be limited, but at such a price, it is not known whether the enthusiasm of cotton producing countries in related cotton producing countries can be promoted.

We benefit from the high cotton price, because cotton production is the most in China.

We are also beneficiaries of low cotton prices, because we have the largest number of consumers.

At this stage, we have such a large scale of processing, such a big gap, our industrial chain advantages play so well, such an industry is our traditional competitive industries and people's livelihood industry, to maintain the stability of the industry is very necessary.

It is suggested that the management should coordinate the resources of the two domestic and international markets, and promote the relatively stable operation of the cotton market by stages and measures. There are plans at the macro level, and the specific measures should be flexible so as to promote the smooth operation of the whole industry.