80 Golden Monkeys Will Rise To 10000 Yuan.

25 year history of stamps:

Every wave of market The Chinese Zodiac It's all mainstream.

When the price of "80 golden monkeys" once again approached 10000 yuan mark, the stamp market also saw a hot spot. Beijing international, which just ended 10 days ago Stamp At the coin fair, the price of the Meilan bamboo chrysanthemum toothless small edition was 60 yuan, and it went up to 180 yuan when it was released. market The price has jumped to 200 yuan, so that the booming postal market is subject to new stimulation.

"This wave of market is different from any market in 25 years". When the market began to worry, the postman with 20 years' experience was full of confidence. "Now the postmen only dare to hoard varieties that can digest a lot, and this market is sure to go on."

The first wave of market:

Market timing in 1994

Gong Qianghua is a postal clerk from Shun Fang, who began collecting stamps in junior high school in the 80s of last century, and has been collecting stamps for more than 20 years. He did not catch up with the market in 1985. But in 1991, when the whole country was caught in the "Zodiac craze", he seized the opportunity. "At that time, many post offices, post offices, and watching the stamp prices were rising every day, I was eager to try."

At first, he just kept buying and waiting for his natural appreciation. In another wave of market that began in 1994, he began to have the sense of "money generating money". Gong Qianghua, who was in a small town in Hunan, began to buy stamps in big cities. After knowing the price difference of different varieties, he began to enter the field of investment, cheap, expensive, and earn a certain price difference.

The Chinese zodiac is still the main force in this wave. Zhong Hui, who has many years of experience in the market, recalls that the first round of the price was about 320~340 yuan, while most people's wages were around 500~700 yuan. However, at that time, the price of "80 golden monkeys" had reached about 300 yuan / piece, and the proportion was very high in the whole package. Zhong Hui disclosed that most of the mail dealers in the market started collecting stamps, and most of them entered the market at this time.

The second wave is:

After the big market in 1997, businesses shrank by 90%.

The biggest market in 1997 was the highest peak in history. The most popular stamps in the post market were stamps in Hongkong and Macao, which rose by 30~50 times. The first round of Chinese zodiac is still the most popular plate.

"At that time, the post market could be said to be impenetrable, and everyone bought stamps, because they knew that as long as they buy it tomorrow, they must be promoted," Zhong Hui said. At that time, the hype was very blind. There were also banknotes, gold and silver coins that were equally crazy with stamps.

This wave of market has not lasted for a long time, and the tide has been ebbing quickly. In this wave of "drumbeating and spreading flowers", the businessmen who ran out early became rich, while more people were covered up, and the number of stamp collectors decreased, and the number of post merchants dropped out.

"After that market, the market began to shrink, and the existing businesses are probably just 1/10 of the peak period". Gong Qiang Hua, after this big crash, is still insisting, "I am still optimistic about stamps".

The postal market, which was badly hurt, was silent for several years, and the postmen who left the market could not see any improvement and had little to go back. "They dare not copy the bottom, because no one knows where the bottom is." Gong Qianghua said. {page_break}

Two small rebound

Stimulate the market but return to the weak

In 2001 and 2004, there was a slight rebound in the post market, but the days were weak and soon subsided.

It is understood that the two small rebound is due to the stimulation of major themes, and businessmen also attributed this to the postal "policy bailout". Before and after 2001, a variety of small version of the volume reduction issued, including hundreds of thousands of circulation volume "Spring Festival" small sheets, nearly a million Olympic "conjoined" and 1 million 600 thousand "snake" award small version.

This small rally represented by the mini Clivia Clivia and Liao Zhai, the former rose from 8 yuan to 30 yuan, and the latter rose from 8 yuan to 40 yuan. However, after 10 years or so, the price of the two kinds is still more than 10 yuan, and the number of postal operators who entered the market in 2000 or so has not been "solved".

The rebound in 2004 was also stimulated by the release of the new compact format "two" in 2003. At that time, the minimum volume issued by minitype sheets was 400 thousand, which was at most 700 thousand ~80, and the good varieties increased by more than 10 times. Such as "Mao Zedong" small version and "Lishu", from several yuan to tens of dollars, then prices continued to rise, the current price can reach more than 100 yuan.

Current market quotation

Big speculation, big change, reason.

The "Olympic market" in 2008 was victimized by the financial crisis. The waiting time for postal operators to wait for a long time was strangled. Some market participants revealed that stamps had already invested a lot of money in stockpiling, leading to a major blow to the whole industry. Some experts also revealed that the collapse was also caused by the "biggest dealer in history" in Beijing. The main Olympic hype and three big monkey versions led to the collapse of the market.

Fortunately, the new market is coming one year after another. The market is experiencing the wave of the market is also the zodiac ticket as the "leader", there are market participants believe that the main reason is that the rise in the number of coins market is large, so that funds are concerned about the stamp board did not start, and then with the old post as a breakthrough to start this round of speculation.

When the "80 golden monkeys" returned to 9500 yuan / dollar after falling back to 7000 yuan / price, the market also had more doubts: when will this wave of market begin to go downhill? Gong Qianghua, who is accustomed to the big waves of the market, is confident. He believes that after the 2008 turmoil, the market has changed its mind, and its style has changed. It is no longer a speculation, but a product that stores only digestibility.

For example, the recent rise of gift companies in the post market will choose the stamps with strong theme, and the market will consume more, so the postmen will only fire these goods. "I still like stamps, and will look for subjects with market demand, so I have confidence in the stamp market and will never give up stamps," Gong Qianghua said categorically.