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Hubei'S New Cotton Market Is Complex &Nbsp; Spinning Enterprises Decide To "Hold Together For The Winter".

2010/10/20 14:14:00 57

Enter 2010

cotton

Since the year, futures,

Match up

The cotton prices of all kinds of throwing and storing are all strong, and the price of seed cotton continues to rise. The cost of textile cotton is increasing continuously. The situation of purchase and sale is extremely complex, and the chain of industrial risks is tight, and the market wait-and-see sentiment is strong.

The cotton situation in Hubei province has the following characteristics:

1, seed cotton clothing low, poor grades, water content seriously exceeded the standard.

Influenced by climate

Environmental Science

And other factors, cotton quality has declined this year, the average grade was 3.3 last year, and this year's main grade is weak 4, the proportion of 3 grade cotton is less, 2 grade cotton is rare.

In the early stage, the average linen percentage was less than 37%, the water content was 17 - 18%, and some reached over 25%, which was 3 above the 13% of the normal year.

With the advent of the cotton concentrated listing period, the quality has improved earlier.

2, the purchase price continues to rise, the risk of cotton processing enterprises increased.

Seed cotton purchase showed a high trend and a strong upward trend.

From the beginning of September to 4.1 yuan / Jin for the current 5.6-5.8 yuan / Jin, some areas also surpassed 6 yuan / Jin, and the average purchase price of the whole province was over 5 yuan / Jin, an increase of 67% over the same period last year.

After the listing of new cotton, the acquisition cost price has always been ahead of the futures contract price. The spot price of cotton is ahead of the futures price, which is higher than the forward contract price of 2000 yuan to 3000 yuan / ton. Cotton purchasing processing enterprises can not realize futures hedging, and at the same time, the cotton purchasing and processing enterprises are at the cusp of price, and are very worried about the future market.

3, cotton farmers are actively selling, and high priced incomes are run by cotton traders.

Cotton growers have basically accepted the current purchase price of seed cotton. Most cotton farmers believe that the purchase price to 4.8 yuan / Jin has been very impressive, and this year's acquisition conditions are very loose, so the sales attitude is positive, there is no hoarding mentality, and some cotton brokers hold a gamble mentality, slightly hoarding.

At present, the total output of the province accounts for more than 40% of the total output, and the sales progress has accelerated over the previous year.

However, this year's high cotton price has not been fully implemented in the hands of cotton growers. Although the average price of the purchase has been over 5 yuan / Jin, the average price of cotton farmers in the province is only 4.5-4.6 yuan / kg, the difference is about 0.4-0.5 yuan / Jin, which is higher than that of 0.2 yuan per year, and the difference profit is earned by Cotton Traders and cotton brokers.

4, the competitive environment is bad, and rush to buy and compete, resulting in a decline in quality.

The cotton resources in our province are nearly 450 thousand tons per year, far from meeting the production needs of more than 130 400 and more than 600 200 type enterprises and many small factories in this province. In addition, over the past few years, the sale of cotton seeds across the province by neighboring Cotton Traders has made a great deal of outflow of seed cotton in our province.

Unlicensed cotton traders are active and abnormal. They go to the countryside to string households and go deep into the field. Cotton farmers have just picked the seed cotton and become a hot commodity. Some even break the green peach and seed cotton. The moisture content is as high as 30-40 points, which seriously exceeds the national standard of moisture regain and is controlled by 10.5%.

Some small factories do not distinguish between grades, do not recognize water, do not choose "three silk", buy in the daytime, process at night, sell every other day, withdraw funds, and purchase by cycle. What is worse is that all cotton and short fiber can be mixed into lint, and only cotton bags and cottonseeds are left after processing.

Many of the 400 large factories have no choice but to relax the water standard. Within 15 points, cotton is a normal standard. The enterprises with standardized management will adjust the water content of 10 points to 13 points. This year, "super moisture" cotton is very common.

5, the gap is widening and the price of cotton is soaring.

The above scale enterprises in the province have about 10 million spindles of textile spindles and about 1 million tons of cotton, while the annual output of the whole province is only about 450 thousand tons, and the annual gap is over 50%. This year, the textile industry has developed rapidly and the demand for cotton has increased. It is estimated that the textile cotton will reach 1 million 200 thousand tons, and the supply and demand gap will reach 60% or more.

Relying on exports and domestic demand, the textile industry has gradually escaped the impact of the financial crisis and the situation has improved markedly.

But after entering the year of 2010, because of the appreciation of RMB and the increase of labor cost, especially the cost of raw materials such as cotton, the good situation is hard to maintain.

Textile mills generally reflect the affordable cotton price of 23000 yuan / ton. In the face of the current uncontrolled rise of cotton prices, some textile factories have decided to switch to chemical fiber and other alternatives, and some have to reduce production and orders, or even close down production and prevent losses.