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Zhang Yansheng: China'S Economy Can Not Exceed The United States In A Short Time.

2010/8/26 16:35:00 46

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National Development and Reform Commission Expert Zhang Yansheng said today if

China's economy

It slows down when it comes to obstacles, and can not exceed the United States in a short time.

Professor Zhang Yansheng, director, researcher and doctoral tutor of the Foreign Economic Research Institute of China's national development and Reform Commission, visited China on the 26 day. He read the information released behind the topic of "China's economic responsibility" and read the topic of "China's GDP super day" recently.

Yan Sheng Zhang

Speaking of the differences between China and the United States, there are two trends in the world at first. One is that we will become more open, more and more dependent and convergent. The so-called convergence means that our development will get closer and closer. From this perspective, the world trend is convergent. The assumption of convergence is that the trend is extrapolated, that is, tomorrow's future is the same as it was yesterday.

Just now I said, that is to say, we will find that the trend will not be extrapolated, and some trends will be reversed. Just now I mentioned Japan, that is to say, when we look at Japan, we will find that in 1985, Japan's per capita income is roughly 80% of that of the United States. In 1995, Japan's per capita GDP is 1.5 times that of the United States. We extrapolated according to the trend, then 05 years, Japan should be higher, the United States should be lower, but later it was found that Japan stagnated, but the United States entered the IT revolution and new cycle, and quickly opened the US and Japan.

Zhang Yansheng said that when China overtook the United States, he assumed that China maintained a high speed, while the United States always kept a relatively low speed, so China would one day surpass the United States.

But the development of history is always wavy. We have Valley tops and valley bottom, and the United States also has.

So this view is not optimistic from my point of view, because when we look at China with our own eyes, we will find that the growth advantage that supports us in the first thirty years has come to an end. In the new competitive advantage, if we encounter obstacles, our economy will slow down, so you will find that the gap between us and the United States is not as optimistic as people think, and it can be surpassed in a relatively short time.

Zhang Yansheng said, "we are United States."

disparity

The first is talent. The reason why the United States can develop so fast, and the comprehensive strength is so strong, that he has a lot of talents in globalization. We have 1 billion 300 million of China, and truly become a country with strong national strength. To attract the best talents in the world to China, and to call the internationalization of talents, what kind of efforts do we need to achieve this? We find that our legal system, system, quality of life, and the conditions achieved in every respect are not achieved in five, ten or twenty years.