In June 13Th, The Regenerated Chemical Fiber Market In East China Was Still Deadlocked.

The supply and demand relationship is always the most important and crucial part to decide the market trend. At present, China's chemical fiber enterprises are relatively concentrated in the East China's textile industry, which has experienced a slowdown in production and marketing and an increase in inventory backlog. According to the survey, small and medium-sized enterprises now have large inventories of 500-700 tons, and large factories are more than 5000 tons.

Up to now, the regenerated chemical fiber market in East China is still deadlocked. Imitating the big (high strength and low elongation) 1.4D*38mm mainstream negotiations, the transaction price is 8800-9100 yuan / ton, the imitation large (ordinary) 1.4D*38mm mainstream transaction price is near 8700-8900 yuan. China chemical fiber 1.5D*38mm, Jiangsu and Zhejiang, the mainstream price negotiations in the vicinity of 8300-8500 yuan / ton, the high-end market price of 8600 yuan.

Looking back at the market trend from May to the present, the mainstream price of 1.4D*38mm in the early May has dropped to 9400-9500 yuan / ton near 10500-10700 yuan / ton, which has fallen by more than 1000 yuan. With the trend closely related to the imitation of the mainstream trading center of gravity reduced by only about 500 yuan, the current transaction in the vicinity of 8800-9000 yuan. Although there is a unified pace in the market's advance and decline, there is no fixed price difference. In the 08 year economic crisis, the gap between imitation and modernization is at a minimum of 300 yuan / ton, and in most cases the price is about 700-1000 yuan / ton. Both of them have two very important characteristics under the background of their special interdependence: the first is the symmetry of the interdependent structure. In the process of most price rises, large chemical fiber will increase and imitation will become faster and faster. The second is the discrepancy between the interdependent structures. When the market is going down, the transmission through the downstream industries still needs a process.

In any case, polyester polyester and short spinning industry is only interdependent, and ultimately determines whether the market is driven by market profit or demand. For the later development trend of reclaim spinning, it has the following notable features: first, the demand growth in the latter part of the product will have a negative growth trend. 6 and July are the off-season in the traditional off-season of textile industry, and the starting situation of the downstream yarn, weaving and cloth industry will have a certain degree of decline than before, when the total demand of the market will continue to decrease. Second, the European debt crisis's damage to the global economic base seems to be continuing. It faces a volatile market and oil price at any time. The downstream textile enterprises have a strong sense of anxiety, and basically do not hoard raw materials. Buying is also very cautious. Third, insufficient support for raw bottle flakes, hot weather in 6 and July and consumption of a large number of passengers in World Expo. The supply of market bottles is abundant, raw materials are abnormally abundant in local flows, and prices will definitely not support the market.

In the short term, whether it is imitation large or medium chemical fiber and small chemical fiber, the first thing for enterprises to solve is to deal with backlog stocks and relieve financial pressure. At the time of the off-season, when domestic and international economic trends are not yet clear, too much inventory backlog is obviously not a wise move. It is estimated that in the coming time, the trend of domestic recycled textile market is not optimistic, and the price declines will be further enlarged.