Uzbekistan Cotton Production Decline
The United States Department of agriculture's agricultural counsellor reports that Uzbekistan's cotton production forecast has dropped to 4 million 900 thousand packs in the 2008/09 market year.
At present, exports are estimated at 3 million 300 thousand packages in 2008/09, creating the lowest export volume for many years because of insufficient global demand. As a result, stocks at the end of 2008/09 are expected to drop to a historical low. The government announced that the target of planting area decreased in 2009/10.
產(chǎn)量
Due to weather conditions and insufficient irrigation water resources, farmers in Uzbekistan encountered many difficulties in 2008, and the target of seed cotton production set by the state may not be completed. No official data have been released yet, but official cotton production is estimated at 3 million 550 thousand metric tons.
However, due to the above reasons, the actual seed cotton yield may be lower than the official target. Based on projections of 3 million 290 thousand tons of seed cotton yield, the agricultural Counsellor's report predicted that the lint yield in the 2008/09 market would be 4 million 900 thousand tons, down 100 thousand packets from earlier estimates.
生產(chǎn)政策
According to the latest government decree, the cotton planting area in 2009/10 will be reduced by 75000 hectares to 1 million 315 thousand hectares, so the official seed cotton production target will be reduced to 440 tons. The government said that these adjustments need to strengthen national food security while irrigation water resources are decreasing year by year. It is reported that idle land will be used to grow grain, oilseeds and vegetables.
消費量
過去幾年，烏茲別克斯坦積極完成目標(biāo)，希望成為中亞地區(qū)的紡織強國，同時成為國際紡織市場的一個競爭國家。為此，烏茲別克斯坦完成了一些棉花產(chǎn)業(yè)的現(xiàn)代化和結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整工作。觀察人士預(yù)期，國內(nèi)皮棉消耗量增長將超過前幾年。
However, the world's cotton and textile trade is hard to avoid the impact of the global economic crisis, and Uzbekistan's textile industry is also unfavourable. Due to the reduction in demand for textiles in Uzbekistan by importing countries, Uzbekistan's domestic cotton consumption in 2008/09 is expected to be reduced to 1 million 50 thousand bales.
貿(mào)易
The report of the agricultural counsellor predicted that the export of lint was 3 million 300 thousand bales in 2008/09, due to the reduced demand in consumer countries and the decline in domestic production in Uzbekistan.
庫存
Although production is reduced, exports and domestic demand will lead to higher inventory usage than innovation.
Editor in chief: Xu Qiyun
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