International Cotton Market: Cotton Production, Purchase And Sale In African Cotton Producing Countries
坦桑尼亞-本年度該國產量預計達到14萬噸,是該國歷史最大產量之一,大約為上一年度產量的兩倍。由于當地軋花廠普遍存在資金緊張的問題,所以整個年度的籽棉價格一直很穩定。
大約75%的皮棉已經出售給了棉商們和印度紡織廠。達累斯賽拉姆裝運港擁堵問題已經導致了一些已售合同的毀約,預計這將使得市場上的可售數量有所增加。但是出口商們還并不打算降低報價水平。新花播種工作已經在幾個主要的產棉區開始,根據初次預測,新花產量預計將再次達到14萬噸。
津巴布韋-干旱加之二次生長期導致該國產量只有極少的10萬噸;比原先預計減少了25%。津巴布韋國內經濟處于崩盤同時伴隨通貨膨脹,但這似乎并沒有過多影響到棉農種植棉花的積極性。預計明年的產量將是16萬噸。但這主要取決于出口商/軋花廠是否愿意投入足夠的資金。播種在一些地區已經開始,最遲應該在2009年1月中旬結束。
贊比亞-強降雨使得最初期望今年高產的愿望破滅,4萬噸這一總產量僅僅比上一年度高了一點點,但遠低于06/07年度的7萬噸總產量。明年預計產量將達到06/07年的水平,這是因為棉農對目前市場上籽棉主流收購價格比較滿意。良好的需求支撐明年高產的預期。
烏干達-相比令人失望的07/08年度的1.2萬噸總產量,預計今年新棉產量高達3萬噸。采摘工作已經全面開展,但政府頒布的最低籽棉收購價格對軋花廠來說有點過高,那也使得軋花廠目前還沒有大規模收購。
At present, the parties are working hard to solve this embarrassing situation, and the first shipment time will be delayed before the solution is completely resolved.
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