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    Market Price Forecast Track Of Fur Fur Fox, Raccoon And Mink In 08 Years (1)

    2008/1/23 0:00:00 135

     

    First, the current situation of fur market.

    How can we describe the current fur market?

    Insiders say clearly.

    It should be said that there is a steelyard in the heart of the farm. It can also weigh the market.

    The overall market situation of the fur market is poor circulation and low price.

    There are different varieties of skin.

    Fox fur has fallen below 300 yuan / Zhang Guan since January 2007, so far, the price has been hovering around 200-300 yuan / Zhang Zhijian, and the paction is light.

    After the fall of the raccoon dog in spring 2007, the current price is running at a low level. The raccoon skin (cooked board) is only 150-170 yuan / Zhang in the market, compared with 400 yuan per year last year.

    The price of mink skin is also not optimistic. Last year's mink skin was over 400 yuan / Zhang, the female mink was 120-150 yuan / Zhang, today's mink skin is 190-195 yuan / Zhang, the female mink is 80-95 yuan / Zhang, and the paction is not smooth.

    The reasons for the current fur market are various.

    There are both international and internal factors in the international market.

    Two, market prices of fox, raccoon and marten.

    The market price of fox fur has not exceeded 300 yuan / Zhang since 2007 when it fell below 300 yuan / Zhang in January.

    The market price at present is 250-270 yuan / Zhang (referring to 20 catties above Fox), until there is no sign of price rebound.

    Since the fall of this spring, raccoon dog skin is almost a thousand miles away.

    Up to now, the price is 140-150 yuan / Zhang.

    The price of raccoon leather has dropped by 2/3, and today's price is less than that of last year's 1/3.

    Mink prices fell by half compared with the same period last year.

    From the above analysis, we can see that the three carriages of fur market entered into a trough in almost the same period in 2007.

    This phenomenon has never appeared in the fur market in the past twenty years or has been similar, but it has never been so obvious this year.

    The appearance of this phenomenon is accidental or inevitable; it is believed that the industry is benevolent and the wise are wise.

    Three, divide the market, analyze the market, look at the market and grasp the trend.

    The fur market is very complicated.

    As a whole, it is a multitude of things. There are many varieties in its varieties. From the perspective of factors affecting the market, it has many and many uncertainties.

    Then, how should we know it and understand it and get closer to it?

    One of the most important methods is "cutting the market".

    The so-called "cutting market" is to effectively divide the fur market.

    For example, the fur market can be divided into fox fur market, raccoon skin market, mink market and so on.

    This is a segmentation method.

    Then the market of subdivision is analyzed and studied.

    Take the time as the dividing line, for example, "spring market", "autumn market" and "winter market".

    One of the advantages of market segmentation is to simplify the market level and make it easier to analyze and understand the market clearly.

    Further subdivision can be carried out to "Fox spring market", ",", ",", "

    Cutting is for analysis and research. We should analyze and study the market, which is beneficial to our fur sales.

    Looking at the market, the trend is to analyze and locate the fur market from the macro interface.

    The purpose of fur market is to grasp the price trend of fur.

    Looking at the market can also be regarded as a distant market.

    Sometimes the observations in it do not know the true colors of the market.

    Just like "do not know the true colors of Mount Lu, only in the mountains."

    To really see Mount Lu, we sometimes need to retreat two or three miles to get the true face.

    This is also applied to the judgement of the market.

    Sometimes, it is a comprehensive market that extracts guidance from it. Sometimes it comes from the historical trend of development and the law of price changes in the past few years.

    Such research needs more in-depth study by the fur and leather industry.

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