Textile Quotas Or The Cancellation Of Export Quotas Will Be Difficult To Reverse.

Under the influence of multiple factors, the export of Chinese textiles and garments to the US is hard to blowout. The industry expects that the US will not extend the restrictions on textiles to China at the end of this year when the Sino US textile agreement expires.

Zhou Shijian, executive director of the China International Trade Association, has just returned from the US inspection. The main content of this visit is to understand the future trend of the RMB against the US dollar and the policy trend after the end of this year's Sino US textile agreement.

In an interview with the first financial daily, he said that after many rounds of information, it is unlikely that the United States will continue to impose restrictions on Chinese textile and clothing next year. Even the Americans themselves are saying that the appreciation of the renminbi has already closed the Chinese cheap clothes outside the US door. There is no need to worry about the "blowout" of Chinese textile and clothing to the US market after the expiration of the agreement.

According to us customs statistics, the US customs clearance rate for the 21 categories of textiles and clothing restricted to China is only 31.1% this year (up to July 21st).

Because of the appreciation of the renminbi and the subprime mortgage crisis affecting the market demand, China's textile and clothing exports to the United States are far below the US limit. Zhou Shijian believes that the current US restrictions on Chinese textile and clothing are actually not necessary.

According to Chinese customs statistics, the export of clothing and accessories in mainland China was $49 billion 960 million in 1~6 months this year, up 3.4% from the same period last year.

Apart from the significant decline in the US and Hongkong (a considerable part of the clothing re exports to the United States), some important markets such as Europe and Japan have seen some growth in major export countries or regions.

Among them, exports to the US in the first half of the year amounted to $6 billion 370 million, a negative growth of 7.8% over the same period last year, and dropped to 11.6% in June, compared with 5 billion 190 million in the 1~6 months this year, with a negative growth of 20.1% in Hongkong.

Cao Xinyu, vice president of China Textile chamber of Commerce, told an interview with our reporter that the export situation was not optimistic in the first half of this year. It is estimated that the situation in the second half of the year is difficult to improve, mainly due to the market in the United States.

According to the current situation, it is expected that the US will no longer impose restrictions on Chinese textiles at the end of this year when the Sino US textile agreement expires.

"In addition to the fact that China's textile and apparel exports are not optimistic about exports to the US, the deadline for us to use special safeguard measures to impose restrictions on Chinese products is also up to the end of this year, according to China's entry into WTO" 242 clause ".

However, even after the abolition of the US quota next year, Chinese enterprises still need to pay attention to the fact that trade protectionism tends to rise in the face of economic downturn. It is possible for the us to take anti-dumping, countervailing and other trade remedy measures to protect China's textile industry.

Cao Xinyu said.

It is understood that in 2005 the global textile integration, due to the rapid growth of China's textile and clothing exports to the United States caused trade friction, in November 8th that year, after several rounds of negotiations, the two sides reached agreement on textile issues, signed the Sino US memorandum of understanding on textiles and clothing trade, the United States from January 1, 2006 to December 31, 2008 for the 21 categories of Chinese textile and apparel for three years.